PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Neptunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 13:50
Scheduled
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game76.1
Zalgiris Kaunas
Lithuania
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Neptunas
Lithuania
Position#5
Record5-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game84.7
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas
25 Apr 2027
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ZAL119
NEP81
08 Feb 2026
ZAL87
NEP76
04 Jan 2026
ZAL112
NEP77
24 May 2025
ZAL88
NEP75
07 May 2025
ZAL84
NEP49
15 Dec 2024
ZAL91
NEP75
27 Nov 2023
ZAL76
NEP88
08 Jan 2023
ZAL77
NEP46
11 May 2022
ZAL89
NEP60
07 May 2022
ZAL87
NEP71
02 May 2022
ZAL92
NEP88
10 Oct 2021
ZAL98
NEP79
28 Feb 2021
ZAL85
NEP72
13 Feb 2021
ZAL84
NEP72
22 Nov 2020
ZAL81
NEP59
01 Dec 2019
ZAL100
NEP82
09 May 2019
ZAL90
NEP80
14 Oct 2018
ZAL60
NEP75
10 Apr 2018
ZAL94
NEP47
05 Nov 2017
ZAL88
NEP62
19 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP60
13 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP54
05 Mar 2017
ZAL69
NEP78
23 Oct 2016
ZAL77
NEP67
06 Jun 2016
ZAL97
NEP70
31 May 2016
ZAL78
NEP54
25 May 2016
ZAL83
NEP72
31 Jan 2016
ZAL89
NEP57
11 Oct 2015
ZAL81
NEP71
01 Mar 2015
ZAL86
NEP90
02 Nov 2014
ZAL86
NEP48
06 Jun 2014
ZAL90
NEP70
31 May 2014
ZAL88
NEP72
26 May 2014
ZAL92
NEP83
07 Apr 2014
ZAL79
NEP88
23 Apr 2013
ZAL99
NEP83
20 Jan 2013
ZAL111
NEP87
26 Feb 2012
ZAL85
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 90
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 90
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 90
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 90
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 90
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 90
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
18-25
27-16
18-11
23-31
167.9Avg total
89.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.276.1169.3+17.1100%
Season at home (4)95.072.2167.2+22.8100%
Season away (5)91.879.2171.0+12.6100%
Last 10 (10)89.278.7167.9+10.590%
Last 5 (5)88.880.8169.6+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)84.584.2168.8+0.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.478.2171.6+15.292%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 80
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 80
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 80
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 80
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 80
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 80
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
79-99
79
99
-20
78avg 80
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
29-19
20-24
10-24
20-27
11-22
23-21
20-23
28-14
21-18
17-20
30-26
22-18
176.7Avg total
86.8Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.284.7169.9+0.656%
Season at home (5)89.881.4171.2+8.480%
Season away (4)79.588.8168.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)86.889.9176.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)83.089.8172.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)82.795.2177.8-12.50%
vs Similar (11)83.682.5166.1+1.255%
vs Weaker (13)89.585.5175.0+4.162%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
Zalgiris KaunasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/11
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
43.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.039.284.3+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.739.586.3+7.280%-
Last 30 away (15)43.338.982.3+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.281.3+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.685.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.044.088.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.244.086.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.538.383.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
89.4Avg total
45.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.987.5+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.241.686.9+3.653%-
Last 30 away (13)43.844.588.3-0.662%-
Last 10 (10)45.144.389.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)43.249.592.7-6.317%-
vs Similar (11)45.538.584.1+7.082%-
vs Weaker (13)44.543.588.0+1.154%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
70.8%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.620.2
82.1%
70.8%20.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWL
Neptunas
WWLLLWLWWL
#1
League position
#5
+11.2
Net rating
-1.7
106.4
Offensive rating
98.4
95.2
Defensive rating
100.1
59.8%
Effective FG%
51.8%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
43.4%
3-point %
32.8%
69.0%
Assist %
64.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 98.4Defence95.2 · 100.1Shooting59.8% · 51.8%3-point %43.4% · 32.8%Ball care16.4% · 15.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
20/09/26Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas69-93
13/05/26Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas90-93
21/02/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas119-81
08/02/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas87-76
04/01/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas112-77
27/09/25Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas71-84
26/05/25Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas70-98
24/05/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas88-75
07/05/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas84-49
30/03/25Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas67-80
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-83
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HSlask Wroclaw90-82
07/11/26HTaurage82-80
03/11/26ATofas79-94
31/10/26ALietkabelis79-99
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.295.091.8
Allowed / game76.172.279.2
Point differential+17.1+22.8+12.6
Avg total169.3167.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game85.289.879.5
Allowed / game84.781.488.8
Point differential+0.6+8.4-9.2
Avg total169.9171.2168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.