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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Apr 2009
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 106-91
24-20 39-20 22-30 21-21
Position#13
Record49-37
FormLWLLW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game96.1
vs
Position#14
Record45-41
FormWLWWL
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game97.5
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Miami Heat
08 Feb 2027
ATL v MIA
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
ATL117
MIA129
20 Feb 2026
ATL97
MIA128
26 Dec 2025
ATL111
MIA126
18 Apr 2025
ATL114
MIA123
24 Feb 2025
ATL98
MIA86
28 Dec 2024
ATL120
MIA110
09 Apr 2024
ATL111
MIA117
11 Nov 2023
ATL109
MIA117
16 Jan 2023
ATL121
MIA113
27 Nov 2022
ATL98
MIA106
24 Apr 2022
ATL86
MIA110
22 Apr 2022
ATL111
MIA110
21 Jan 2022
ATL110
MIA108
12 Jan 2022
ATL91
MIA115
23 Apr 2021
ATL118
MIA103
20 Feb 2020
ATL129
MIA124
31 Oct 2019
ATL97
MIA106
06 Jan 2019
ATL106
MIA82
03 Nov 2018
ATL123
MIA118
04 Apr 2018
ATL86
MIA115
18 Dec 2017
ATL110
MIA104
24 Feb 2017
ATL90
MIA108
07 Dec 2016
ATL103
MIA95
19 Feb 2016
ATL111
MIA115
14 Dec 2015
ATL88
MIA100
27 Mar 2015
ATL99
MIA86
14 Nov 2014
ATL114
MIA103
12 Apr 2014
ATL98
MIA85
20 Jan 2014
ATL121
MIA114
20 Feb 2013
ATL90
MIA103
09 Nov 2012
ATL89
MIA95
12 Feb 2012
ATL87
MIA107
05 Jan 2012
ATL109
MIA116
11 Apr 2011
ATL90
MIA98
18 Mar 2011
ATL85
MIA106
10 Feb 2010
ATL76
MIA94
18 Nov 2009
ATL105
MIA90
03 May 2009
ATL91
MIA78
29 Apr 2009
ATL106
MIA91
22 Apr 2009
ATL93
MIA108
19 Apr 2009
ATL90
MIA64
14 Apr 2009
ATL81
MIA79
27 Feb 2009
ATL91
MIA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#4
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H04/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
118-110
118
110
+8
A07/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
113-105
113
105
+8
A09/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
122-118
122
118
+4
H10/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H14/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
90-98
90
98
-8
A16/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
L
93-108
93
108
-15
H23/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
L
78-107
78
107
-29
A25/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A28/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
26-18
17-22
21-26
26-31
27-26
32-27
33-26
27-28
26-34
31-12
29-31
34-36
28-24
28-24
32-34
18-21
20-13
26-30
17-15
21-22
22-31
26-19
21-26
24-21
35-18
17-18
14-7
18-24
23-30
31-29
21-25
12-22
17-28
32-25
17-32
24-17
22-25
17-13
18-16
189.6Avg total
94.8Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)97.596.1193.7+1.457%
Season at home (43)98.392.7191.0+5.774%
Season away (43)96.799.6196.3-2.940%
Last 10 (10)94.894.8189.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)86.489.6176.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)90.691.0181.6-0.429%
vs Similar ◀ (19)95.894.3190.1+1.663%
vs Weaker (4)104.095.2199.2+8.875%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#28
W
118-104
118
104
+14
A04/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
H07/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
98-105
98
105
-7
A10/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
122-105
122
105
+17
H12/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A14/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
H16/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A20/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
108-93
108
93
+15
A23/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
107-78
107
78
+29
H25/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H28/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
32-24
18-25
38-27
19-27
11-13
18-14
31-25
25-22
22-32
25-25
26-26
37-26
26-39
34-26
25-14
21-18
13-20
30-26
15-17
24-22
22-19
21-20
21-27
21-24
18-35
18-17
7-14
24-18
30-23
29-31
25-21
22-12
28-17
25-32
32-17
17-24
25-22
13-17
16-18
188.2Avg total
95.6Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)97.897.5195.3+0.352%
Season at home (43)100.395.8196.0+4.567%
Season away (43)95.399.1194.5-3.837%
Last 10 (10)95.692.6188.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)90.487.6178.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)99.5103.8203.3-4.317%
vs Similar ◀ (22)99.698.1197.7+1.555%
vs Weaker (2)106.093.0199.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
Atlanta HawksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H04/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A07/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A09/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H10/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H14/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A16/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H23/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A25/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/04
NBA
95.9Avg total
46.8Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.948.195.0-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.144.992.9+3.267%-
Last 30 away (12)45.252.998.1-7.817%-
Last 10 (10)46.849.195.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.691.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.046.988.9-4.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)47.348.595.8-1.342%-
vs Weaker (4)53.848.2102.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#28
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A04/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H07/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A10/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H12/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A14/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H16/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A20/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A23/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H25/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/04
NBA
93.2Avg total
46.7Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.448.697.0-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.749.9101.6+1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)45.647.493.0-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)46.746.593.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.289.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)47.552.099.5-4.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)47.747.995.6-0.145%-
vs Weaker (2)59.046.0105.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/09AMiami Heat81-71
25/04/09AMiami Heat78-107
23/04/09HMiami Heat93-108
20/04/09HMiami Heat90-64
16/04/09AMemphis Grizzlies90-98
14/04/09HMiami Heat81-79
10/04/09HIndiana Pacers122-118
09/04/09AMilwaukee Bucks113-105
07/04/09AToronto Raptors118-110
04/04/09HOrlando Magic82-88
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/09HAtlanta Hawks71-81
25/04/09HAtlanta Hawks107-78
23/04/09AAtlanta Hawks108-93
20/04/09AAtlanta Hawks64-90
16/04/09HDetroit Pistons102-96 OT
14/04/09AAtlanta Hawks79-81
12/04/09HNew York Knicks122-105
10/04/09ABoston Celtics98-105
07/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans87-93 OT
04/04/09AWashington Wizards118-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeLWWWL74%
AwayWWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864343
Win %57%74%40%
Points / game97.598.396.7
Allowed / game96.192.799.6
Point differential+1.4+5.7-2.9
Avg total193.7191.0196.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%37%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (30)71% (14)44% (16)
Overtime %1%0%2%
Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL52%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLLLW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864343
Win %52%67%37%
Points / game97.8100.395.3
Allowed / game97.595.899.1
Point differential+0.3+4.5-3.8
Avg total195.3196.0194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (24)100% (7)53% (17)
Overtime %9%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers86701681%100.090.7+9.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers87691879%106.999.2+7.7
3 Boston Celtics87652275%101.594.1+7.3
4 Orlando Magic87622571%100.694.0+6.6
5 Denver Nuggets86572966%104.5100.1+4.4
6 Portland Trail Blazers87563164%98.994.0+4.9
7 Houston Rockets87563164%98.194.1+4.0
8 San Antonio Spurs87553263%96.793.5+3.2
9 Dallas Mavericks87543362%101.499.2+2.2
10 New Orleans Pelicans86503658%95.394.9+0.3
11 Atlanta Hawks86493757%97.596.1+1.4
12 Utah Jazz87493856%103.2101.2+2.0
13 Phoenix Suns82463656%109.4107.5+1.9
14 Miami Heat86454152%97.897.5+0.3
15 Philadelphia 76ers87434449%96.997.1-0.2
16 Chicago Bulls87434449%102.4102.9-0.5
17 Detroit Pistons86394745%93.594.7-1.2
18 Indiana Pacers82364644%105.1106.2-1.1
19 Charlotte Hornets82354743%93.694.9-1.3
20 Milwaukee Bucks82344841%99.3100.4-1.1
21 Brooklyn Nets82344841%98.1100.5-2.4
22 Toronto Raptors82334940%99.0101.9-2.8
23 New York Knicks82325039%105.2107.8-2.6
24 Golden State Warriors82295335%108.6112.3-3.7
25 Minnesota Timberwolves82245829%97.8102.7-4.9
26 Memphis Grizzlies82245829%93.999.3-5.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder82235928%97.0103.1-6.1
28 Washington Wizards82196323%96.1103.5-7.5
29 Los Angeles Clippers82196323%95.1103.9-8.8
30 Sacramento Kings82176521%100.6109.3-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks24392221106
Miami Heat2020302191
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