PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 110-104
29-30 29-27 29-19 23-28
Position#28
Record6-23
FormWLLLL
Points / game103.1
Allowed / game108.7
vs
Position#16
Record15-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game100.1
Allowed / game102.0
USANBA· Philips Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Miami Heat
08 Feb 2027
ATL v MIA
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
ATL117
MIA129
20 Feb 2026
ATL97
MIA128
26 Dec 2025
ATL111
MIA126
18 Apr 2025
ATL114
MIA123
24 Feb 2025
ATL98
MIA86
28 Dec 2024
ATL120
MIA110
09 Apr 2024
ATL111
MIA117
11 Nov 2023
ATL109
MIA117
16 Jan 2023
ATL121
MIA113
27 Nov 2022
ATL98
MIA106
24 Apr 2022
ATL86
MIA110
22 Apr 2022
ATL111
MIA110
21 Jan 2022
ATL110
MIA108
12 Jan 2022
ATL91
MIA115
23 Apr 2021
ATL118
MIA103
20 Feb 2020
ATL129
MIA124
31 Oct 2019
ATL97
MIA106
06 Jan 2019
ATL106
MIA82
03 Nov 2018
ATL123
MIA118
04 Apr 2018
ATL86
MIA115
18 Dec 2017
ATL110
MIA104
24 Feb 2017
ATL90
MIA108
07 Dec 2016
ATL103
MIA95
19 Feb 2016
ATL111
MIA115
14 Dec 2015
ATL88
MIA100
27 Mar 2015
ATL99
MIA86
14 Nov 2014
ATL114
MIA103
12 Apr 2014
ATL98
MIA85
20 Jan 2014
ATL121
MIA114
20 Feb 2013
ATL90
MIA103
09 Nov 2012
ATL89
MIA95
12 Feb 2012
ATL87
MIA107
05 Jan 2012
ATL109
MIA116
11 Apr 2011
ATL90
MIA98
18 Mar 2011
ATL85
MIA106
10 Feb 2010
ATL76
MIA94
18 Nov 2009
ATL105
MIA90
03 May 2009
ATL91
MIA78
29 Apr 2009
ATL106
MIA91
22 Apr 2009
ATL93
MIA108
19 Apr 2009
ATL90
MIA64
14 Apr 2009
ATL81
MIA79
27 Feb 2009
ATL91
MIA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
78-112
78
112
-34
63avg 95
H26/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
114-121
114
121
-7
105avg 95
H01/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
114-102
114
102
+12
98avg 95
A02/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
90-110
90
110
-20
74avg 95
H05/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
106-110 OT
106
110
-4
97avg 95
A07/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
117-110
117
110
+7
118avg 95
H10/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
107-111
107
111
-4
98avg 95
A11/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
114-123
114
123
-9
103avg 95
A13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
91-105
91
105
-14
87avg 95
H15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
94-96
94
96
-2
89avg 95
A16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
14-39
19-32
20-13
35-42
32-21
23-36
24-22
25-22
29-23
27-30
33-27
32-33
22-20
15-31
21-26
23-31
29-13
27-30
17-22
32-22
25-32
32-33
28-23
21-24
31-27
23-25
32-35
31-31
17-31
29-32
37-29
31-30
15-29
18-26
27-20
21-17
26-23
26-32
21-24
212.5Avg total
102.5Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)103.1108.7211.8-5.621%
Season at home (13)103.9109.2213.1-5.223%
Season away (16)102.5108.3210.8-5.819%
Last 10 (10)102.5110.0212.5-7.520%
Last 5 (5)104.6109.0213.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)100.8111.7212.5-10.96%
vs Similar (12)106.3104.7211.0+1.742%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
97-108
97
108
-11
88avg 94
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
86-115
86
115
-29
67avg 94
A30/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
105-100
105
100
+5
98avg 94
H02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
95-123
95
123
-28
77avg 94
H04/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
105-117
105
117
-12
103avg 94
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
101-89
101
89
+12
85avg 94
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
107-82
107
82
+25
108avg 94
A12/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
95-102
95
102
-7
86avg 94
H14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
104-98
104
98
+6
102avg 94
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
90-85
90
85
+5
77avg 94
H17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-35
25-40
25-18
23-15
22-33
22-32
20-23
22-27
22-30
28-19
29-26
26-25
36-33
24-29
17-37
18-24
35-27
23-30
24-29
23-31
24-26
26-27
25-19
26-17
21-23
24-19
25-18
37-22
33-21
27-29
19-20
16-32
24-19
29-28
26-24
25-27
24-17
22-23
23-25
21-20
200.4Avg total
98.5Scored
101.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)100.1102.0202.0-1.952%
Season at home (13)100.2104.6204.8-4.546%
Season away (16)100.099.8199.8+0.256%
Last 10 (10)98.5101.9200.4-3.450%
Last 5 (5)99.491.2190.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.5110.0197.5-22.50%
vs Similar (22)99.7102.2202.0-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)107.298.3205.5+8.883%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
Atlanta HawksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
39-67
39
67
-28
H26/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H01/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A02/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H05/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A07/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H10/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A11/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H15/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A16/12
NBA
105.4Avg total
51.6Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.253.3104.5-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.657.6111.1-4.043%-
Last 30 away (16)49.149.698.7-0.656%-
Last 10 (10)51.653.8105.4-2.270%-
Last 5 (5)50.053.2103.2-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)50.055.9105.9-5.933%-
vs Similar (12)52.949.5102.4+3.475%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
49-75
49
75
-26
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A30/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H04/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H14/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H17/12
NBA
105.5Avg total
51.5Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.051.3104.3+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.451.1105.5+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)51.851.5103.2+0.262%-
Last 10 (10)51.554.0105.5-2.560%-
Last 5 (5)50.846.497.2+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.556.0104.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (22)53.151.8104.9+1.364%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)54.247.8102.0+6.383%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.025.8
49.6%
51.0%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.3
37.2%
36.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.817.0
78.0%
76.5%17.0
They take 82.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 98.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.423.9
51.5%
51.0%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.4
38.2%
36.1%37.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.5
71.4%
76.5%13.5
They take 78.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LLLLWLLWLL
Miami Heat
WWLWWLLWLL
#28
League position
#16
-7.6
Net rating
-3.6
104.1
Offensive rating
104.3
111.7
Defensive rating
107.9
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.9%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
17.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.2%
3-point %
38.2%
64.4%
Assist %
60.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 104.3Defence111.7 · 107.9Shooting51.9% · 53.9%3-point %37.2% · 38.2%Ball care15.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds21.0% · 17.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Atlanta Hawks wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/17AMemphis Grizzlies94-96
15/12/17HDetroit Pistons91-105
13/12/17ACleveland Cavaliers114-123
11/12/17ANew York Knicks107-111
10/12/17HOrlando Magic117-110
07/12/17AOrlando Magic106-110 OT
05/12/17HBrooklyn Nets90-110
02/12/17ABrooklyn Nets114-102
01/12/17HCleveland Cavaliers114-121
26/11/17HToronto Raptors78-112
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/17HLos Angeles Clippers90-85
16/12/17ACharlotte Hornets104-98
14/12/17HPortland Trail Blazers95-102
12/12/17AMemphis Grizzlies107-82
09/12/17ABrooklyn Nets101-89
07/12/17ASan Antonio Spurs105-117
04/12/17HGolden State Warriors95-123
02/12/17HCharlotte Hornets105-100
30/11/17ANew York Knicks86-115
29/11/17ACleveland Cavaliers97-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLLLWL23%
AwayWLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %21%23%19%
Points / game103.1103.9102.5
Allowed / game108.7109.2108.3
Point differential-5.6-5.2-5.8
Avg total211.8213.1210.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%15%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (2)17% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW52%
HomeWWLLW46%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %52%46%56%
Points / game100.1100.2100.0
Allowed / game102.0104.699.8
Point differential-1.9-4.5+0.2
Avg total202.0204.8199.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%8%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets2824486%115.1104.2+10.9
2 Golden State Warriors2923679%116.8105.7+11.1
3 Boston Celtics3326779%103.898.5+5.3
4 Cleveland Cavaliers3123874%111.1107.1+4.0
5 Toronto Raptors2820871%110.9102.5+8.5
6 San Antonio Spurs30201067%101.298.4+2.9
7 Minnesota Timberwolves30171357%107.6106.4+1.2
8 Detroit Pistons30171357%103.0102.0+1.0
9 Portland Trail Blazers29161355%102.7100.5+2.1
10 Denver Nuggets29161355%107.9107.5+0.3
11 Indiana Pacers31171455%108.3106.9+1.3
12 Milwaukee Bucks28151354%104.5105.0-0.5
13 Washington Wizards30161453%105.2103.0+2.2
14 New York Knicks30161453%104.3103.9+0.5
15 Miami Heat29151452%100.1102.0-1.9
16 Philadelphia 76ers28141450%108.9109.3-0.4
17 New Orleans Pelicans30151550%110.8111.7-0.9
18 Oklahoma City Thunder29141548%102.1100.4+1.7
19 Utah Jazz30141647%103.0100.2+2.8
20 Los Angeles Clippers28111739%103.8105.9-2.1
21 Brooklyn Nets29111838%107.1110.9-3.8
22 Los Angeles Lakers27101737%106.3109.3-3.0
23 Charlotte Hornets30111937%104.2105.7-1.5
24 Orlando Magic31112035%106.1110.2-4.2
25 Phoenix Suns31102132%106.7114.2-7.5
26 Sacramento Kings2992031%96.1105.6-9.5
27 Memphis Grizzlies3092130%97.0101.2-4.2
28 Chicago Bulls2882029%98.2105.9-7.7
29 Dallas Mavericks3082227%99.7103.1-3.4
30 Atlanta Hawks2962321%103.1108.7-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks29292923110
Miami Heat30271928104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.