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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 103-95
29-25 24-21 25-17 25-32
Position#12
Record10-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game100.1
Allowed / game102.3
vs
Position#13
Record7-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game99.6
USANBA· Philips Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Miami Heat
08 Feb 2027
ATL v MIA
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
ATL117
MIA129
20 Feb 2026
ATL97
MIA128
26 Dec 2025
ATL111
MIA126
18 Apr 2025
ATL114
MIA123
24 Feb 2025
ATL98
MIA86
28 Dec 2024
ATL120
MIA110
09 Apr 2024
ATL111
MIA117
11 Nov 2023
ATL109
MIA117
16 Jan 2023
ATL121
MIA113
27 Nov 2022
ATL98
MIA106
24 Apr 2022
ATL86
MIA110
22 Apr 2022
ATL111
MIA110
21 Jan 2022
ATL110
MIA108
12 Jan 2022
ATL91
MIA115
23 Apr 2021
ATL118
MIA103
20 Feb 2020
ATL129
MIA124
31 Oct 2019
ATL97
MIA106
06 Jan 2019
ATL106
MIA82
03 Nov 2018
ATL123
MIA118
04 Apr 2018
ATL86
MIA115
18 Dec 2017
ATL110
MIA104
24 Feb 2017
ATL90
MIA108
07 Dec 2016
ATL103
MIA95
19 Feb 2016
ATL111
MIA115
14 Dec 2015
ATL88
MIA100
27 Mar 2015
ATL99
MIA86
14 Nov 2014
ATL114
MIA103
12 Apr 2014
ATL98
MIA85
20 Jan 2014
ATL121
MIA114
20 Feb 2013
ATL90
MIA103
09 Nov 2012
ATL89
MIA95
12 Feb 2012
ATL87
MIA107
05 Jan 2012
ATL109
MIA116
11 Apr 2011
ATL90
MIA98
18 Mar 2011
ATL85
MIA106
10 Feb 2010
ATL76
MIA94
18 Nov 2009
ATL105
MIA90
03 May 2009
ATL91
MIA78
29 Apr 2009
ATL106
MIA91
22 Apr 2009
ATL93
MIA108
19 Apr 2009
ATL90
MIA64
14 Apr 2009
ATL81
MIA79
27 Feb 2009
ATL91
MIA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#25
L
94-104
94
104
-10
80avg 95
A20/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
94-112
94
112
-18
84avg 95
H23/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
96-85
96
85
+11
90avg 95
A24/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
68-95
68
95
-27
46avg 95
A26/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
94-109
94
109
-15
82avg 95
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
100-105
100
105
-5
90avg 95
A29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
107-109
107
109
-2
96avg 95
A01/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
85-121
85
121
-36
66avg 95
H03/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
84-128
84
128
-44
67avg 95
A04/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
99-102
99
102
-3
92avg 95
H06/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-22
25-29
28-29
14-34
30-32
27-29
23-17
31-24
18-20
25-22
22-19
23-24
11-24
14-13
20-34
32-21
16-35
29-28
17-25
27-29
26-21
28-30
19-25
27-36
21-14
27-27
32-32
24-27
15-31
18-32
28-31
22-32
25-30
23-24
14-42
21-23
33-32
15-28
30-19
199.1Avg total
92.1Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)100.1102.3202.4-2.145%
Season at home (10)106.5105.2211.7+1.360%
Season away (12)94.899.8194.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)92.1107.0199.1-14.910%
Last 5 (5)95.0113.0208.0-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)101.5109.0210.5-7.550%
vs Similar ◀ (21)98.5102.0200.6-3.538%
vs Weaker (5)107.6101.8209.4+5.840%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
W
114-111
114
111
+3
106avg 91
A20/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 91
A22/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
84-107
84
107
-23
71avg 91
A24/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
90-81
90
81
+9
75avg 91
A26/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
107-110
107
110
-3
95avg 91
H27/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
104-112
104
112
-8
96avg 91
H29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
106-98
106
98
+8
95avg 91
A01/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
111-110
111
110
+1
98avg 91
A02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 91
A04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
103-114
103
114
-11
89avg 91
H07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-35
27-24
31-23
23-29
30-24
15-22
31-32
18-23
16-28
26-28
22-30
20-21
28-19
17-20
26-18
19-24
31-24
18-27
33-31
25-28
19-21
12-27
42-35
31-29
28-30
24-17
23-33
31-18
26-27
26-21
31-29
28-33
29-21
20-34
22-18
21-26
25-26
29-27
23-31
26-30
204.8Avg total
100.5Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)97.499.6197.0-2.233%
Season at home (10)98.4100.1198.5-1.720%
Season away (11)96.599.1195.5-2.645%
Last 10 (10)100.5104.3204.8-3.840%
Last 5 (5)103.2106.6209.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.5100.0194.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (24)96.297.0193.1-0.842%
vs Weaker (4)103.2101.8205.0+1.550%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
Atlanta HawksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#25
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A20/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
44-66
44
66
-22
H23/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A24/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A26/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A29/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A01/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
39-58
39
58
-19
H03/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A04/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H06/12
NBA
99.2Avg total
45.7Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.650.7100.2-1.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.352.5107.8+2.877%-
Last 30 away (17)45.249.294.4-4.141%-
Last 10 (10)45.753.599.2-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)48.255.0103.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.553.2107.8+1.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)47.750.698.3-3.052%-
vs Weaker (5)53.648.8102.4+4.860%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A20/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A22/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A24/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A26/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H27/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A01/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H07/12
NBA
98.1Avg total
47.9Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.749.597.3-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.948.095.9-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)47.650.998.4-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)47.950.298.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)47.650.297.8-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.053.595.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)47.749.096.8-1.338%-
vs Weaker (4)50.850.5101.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.527.9
46.9%
50.2%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.2
69.8%
77.0%13.2
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.228.6
49.1%
50.2%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.0
33.8%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.516.3
66.5%
77.0%16.3
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LLLLLLLWLL
Miami Heat
LLWWLLWLLW
#12
League position
#13
-15.0
Net rating
-4.0
92.7
Offensive rating
105.8
107.7
Defensive rating
109.8
46.2%
Effective FG%
49.6%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
11.4%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.8%
3-point %
33.8%
56.5%
Assist %
53.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 105.8Defence107.7 · 109.8Shooting46.2% · 49.6%3-point %29.8% · 33.8%Ball care15.7% · 11.4%Off. rebounds20.9% · 25.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Atlanta Hawks wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/16HOklahoma City Thunder99-102
04/12/16AToronto Raptors84-128
03/12/16HDetroit Pistons85-121
01/12/16APhoenix Suns107-109
29/11/16AGolden State Warriors100-105
28/11/16ALos Angeles Lakers94-109
26/11/16AUtah Jazz68-95
24/11/16AIndiana Pacers96-85
23/11/16HNew Orleans Pelicans94-112
20/11/16ANew York Knicks94-104
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/16HNew York Knicks103-114
04/12/16APortland Trail Blazers92-99
02/12/16AUtah Jazz111-110
01/12/16ADenver Nuggets106-98
29/11/16HBoston Celtics104-112
27/11/16HMemphis Grizzlies107-110
26/11/16AMemphis Grizzlies90-81
24/11/16ADetroit Pistons84-107
22/11/16APhiladelphia 76ers94-101
20/11/16AWashington Wizards114-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game100.1106.594.8
Allowed / game102.3105.299.8
Point differential-2.1+1.3-5.0
Avg total202.4211.7194.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%20%45%
Points / game97.498.496.5
Allowed / game99.6100.199.1
Point differential-2.2-1.7-2.6
Avg total197.0198.5195.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2118386%120.2106.4+13.8
2 San Antonio Spurs2218482%102.897.8+5.0
3 Cleveland Cavaliers1914574%110.3105.1+5.3
4 Los Angeles Clippers2216673%108.799.1+9.6
5 Toronto Raptors2114767%110.9102.8+8.1
6 Houston Rockets2114767%111.1107.4+3.7
7 Memphis Grizzlies2315865%98.098.4-0.5
8 Oklahoma City Thunder2214864%107.4104.8+2.6
9 Utah Jazz2314961%100.495.5+4.9
10 Charlotte Hornets2213959%104.5101.9+2.6
11 Boston Celtics2213959%105.3103.2+2.1
12 New York Knicks2112957%104.8106.3-1.5
13 Portland Trail Blazers22121055%110.3112.4-2.1
14 Milwaukee Bucks1910953%103.3101.5+1.7
15 Chicago Bulls21111052%103.3100.3+3.0
16 Detroit Pistons24121250%99.296.3+2.9
17 Indiana Pacers21101148%104.2108.0-3.7
18 Atlanta Hawks22101245%100.1102.3-2.1
19 Los Angeles Lakers23101343%104.9109.3-4.4
20 Orlando Magic23101343%94.398.8-4.5
21 Denver Nuggets2181338%106.2109.0-2.7
22 Sacramento Kings2071335%102.3104.8-2.5
23 Washington Wizards2071335%104.3107.0-2.8
24 Miami Heat2171433%97.499.6-2.2
25 New Orleans Pelicans2271532%102.3105.4-3.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves2161529%104.1105.6-1.5
27 Phoenix Suns2161529%106.3113.1-6.9
28 Brooklyn Nets2051525%105.7114.3-8.7
29 Dallas Mavericks2041620%92.399.4-7.1
30 Philadelphia 76ers2241818%97.5107.1-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks29242525103
Miami Heat2521173295
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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