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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Apr 2009
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 105-98
22-25 32-22 25-25 26-26
Position#3
Record64-20
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game92.9
vs
Position#14
Record43-41
FormLLWWL
Points / game97.9
Allowed / game97.9
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
13 Jul 2024
BOS114
MIA119
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
08 Jul 2023
BOS88
MIA99
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
14 Jul 2018
BOS74
MIA72
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
14 Jul 2015
BOS101
MIA69
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
05 Jul 2014
BOS85
MIA77
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#14
W
112-108 OT
112
108
+4
H18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
105-87
105
87
+18
A22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H23/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A26/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
99-93
99
93
+6
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
103-84
103
84
+19
H29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
H01/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
104-92
104
92
+12
H03/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
W
106-104
106
104
+2
H08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
15-33
26-22
25-24
16-22
21-20
27-21
16-14
21-21
31-27
26-17
27-22
31-18
13-24
26-18
20-17
21-25
18-22
23-23
20-14
28-25
24-17
25-18
22-33
20-25
25-20
26-23
32-16
26-33
28-18
17-26
22-16
21-23
31-25
28-23
24-21
21-31
37-20
23-27
25-26
190.7Avg total
99.2Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (84)100.792.9193.5+7.876%
Season at home (43)103.193.5196.6+9.684%
Season away (41)98.192.2190.4+5.968%
Last 10 (10)99.291.5190.7+7.790%
Last 5 (5)104.696.4201.0+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)95.490.3185.7+5.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)102.397.4199.8+4.974%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
101-96
101
96
+5
A22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A27/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
102-85
102
85
+17
H28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
95-101
95
101
-6
H30/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
97-92
97
92
+5
A03/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
118-104
118
104
+14
A04/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
H07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-24
24-26
34-23
30-16
26-24
24-22
14-20
24-27
25-21
19-19
20-23
25-26
24-21
14-32
24-27
28-23
30-20
19-20
25-22
21-26
22-20
26-24
26-31
27-26
20-20
26-25
23-27
16-28
29-17
22-26
30-21
30-28
32-24
18-25
38-27
19-27
11-13
18-14
31-25
191.2Avg total
96.5Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (84)97.997.9195.8-0.151%
Season at home (42)100.096.3196.3+3.764%
Season away (42)95.799.5195.2-3.938%
Last 10 (10)96.594.7191.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)98.697.6196.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)97.1105.6202.7-8.414%
vs Similar (20)100.799.8200.4+1.060%
vs Weaker (3)105.399.0204.3+6.367%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#14
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A21/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A26/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H01/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H03/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H08/04
NBA
95.2Avg total
48.2Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.147.696.7+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.149.198.3+0.057%-
Last 30 away (16)49.046.395.3+2.762%-
Last 10 (10)48.247.095.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)52.247.499.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)45.447.392.7-1.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)50.247.797.9+2.465%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A27/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A04/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H07/04
NBA
93.6Avg total
48.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.148.896.8-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.849.999.7-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)46.347.693.9-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)48.245.493.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.891.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)46.354.0100.3-7.714%-
vs Similar (20)47.547.494.9+0.250%-
vs Weaker (3)55.746.0101.7+9.7100%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Boston Celtics wins
1
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
18/03/09Boston Celtics v Miami Heat112-108 OT
11/03/09Miami Heat v Boston Celtics107-99
22/01/09Miami Heat v Boston Celtics83-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/09HBrooklyn Nets106-104
03/04/09HAtlanta Hawks104-92
01/04/09HCharlotte Hornets111-109 OT
29/03/09HOklahoma City Thunder103-84
27/03/09AAtlanta Hawks99-93
26/03/09AOrlando Magic82-84
23/03/09HLos Angeles Clippers90-77
22/03/09AMemphis Grizzlies105-87
21/03/09ASan Antonio Spurs80-77
18/03/09HMiami Heat112-108 OT
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans87-93 OT
04/04/09AWashington Wizards118-104
03/04/09ACharlotte Hornets97-92
02/04/09ADallas Mavericks96-98
30/03/09HOrlando Magic95-101
28/03/09HMilwaukee Bucks102-85
27/03/09AChicago Bulls87-106
25/03/09AIndiana Pacers88-90
23/03/09HMemphis Grizzlies94-82
22/03/09ADetroit Pistons101-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayLWWLW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844341
Win %76%84%68%
Points / game100.7103.198.1
Allowed / game92.993.592.2
Point differential+7.8+9.6+5.9
Avg total193.5196.6190.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%51%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (23)80% (10)69% (13)
Overtime %8%9%7%
Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL51%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844242
Win %51%64%38%
Points / game97.9100.095.7
Allowed / game97.996.399.5
Point differential-0.1+3.7-3.9
Avg total195.8196.3195.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won65% (26)88% (8)56% (18)
Overtime %10%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers83661780%106.299.0+7.2
2 Cleveland Cavaliers85671879%99.291.0+8.2
3 Boston Celtics84642076%100.792.9+7.8
4 Orlando Magic82622076%101.594.2+7.3
5 Denver Nuggets87592868%104.5100.5+3.9
6 Houston Rockets84552965%98.494.3+4.1
7 New Orleans Pelicans83533064%96.293.6+2.7
8 Portland Trail Blazers84533163%98.994.5+4.4
9 San Antonio Spurs84523262%96.493.2+3.2
10 Utah Jazz84503460%103.1100.2+2.9
11 Dallas Mavericks85503559%102.0100.1+1.9
12 Atlanta Hawks86493757%97.896.5+1.3
13 Phoenix Suns85473855%108.2106.2+2.0
14 Miami Heat84434151%97.997.9-0.1
15 Detroit Pistons83424151%93.993.8+0.1
16 Philadelphia 76ers84424250%97.196.9+0.2
17 Chicago Bulls86434350%101.9102.2-0.2
18 Indiana Pacers85384745%104.5105.1-0.6
19 Charlotte Hornets85355041%93.695.0-1.3
20 Brooklyn Nets85355041%98.5101.0-2.6
21 New York Knicks84335139%105.3108.0-2.7
22 Milwaukee Bucks85335239%98.6100.8-2.1
23 Toronto Raptors82315138%98.3101.5-3.2
24 Golden State Warriors81305137%108.7112.0-3.3
25 Minnesota Timberwolves85285733%97.6102.0-4.5
26 Memphis Grizzlies85246128%93.499.2-5.8
27 Oklahoma City Thunder79215827%96.7103.1-6.4
28 Los Angeles Clippers84206424%95.2103.4-8.2
29 Washington Wizards85206524%94.9102.7-7.8
30 Sacramento Kings84166819%100.9109.6-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics22322526105
Miami Heat2522252698
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