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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2015
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 99-86
27-20 28-17 34-30 10-19
Position#2
Record54-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game102.5
Allowed / game97.2
vs
Position#21
Record33-38
FormWWLLW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game96.7
USANBA
NBA2014-15
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Miami Heat
08 Feb 2027
ATL v MIA
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
ATL117
MIA129
20 Feb 2026
ATL97
MIA128
26 Dec 2025
ATL111
MIA126
18 Apr 2025
ATL114
MIA123
24 Feb 2025
ATL98
MIA86
28 Dec 2024
ATL120
MIA110
09 Apr 2024
ATL111
MIA117
11 Nov 2023
ATL109
MIA117
16 Jan 2023
ATL121
MIA113
27 Nov 2022
ATL98
MIA106
24 Apr 2022
ATL86
MIA110
22 Apr 2022
ATL111
MIA110
21 Jan 2022
ATL110
MIA108
12 Jan 2022
ATL91
MIA115
23 Apr 2021
ATL118
MIA103
20 Feb 2020
ATL129
MIA124
31 Oct 2019
ATL97
MIA106
06 Jan 2019
ATL106
MIA82
03 Nov 2018
ATL123
MIA118
04 Apr 2018
ATL86
MIA115
18 Dec 2017
ATL110
MIA104
24 Feb 2017
ATL90
MIA108
07 Dec 2016
ATL103
MIA95
19 Feb 2016
ATL111
MIA115
14 Dec 2015
ATL88
MIA100
27 Mar 2015
ATL99
MIA86
14 Nov 2014
ATL114
MIA103
12 Apr 2014
ATL98
MIA85
20 Jan 2014
ATL121
MIA114
20 Feb 2013
ATL90
MIA103
09 Nov 2012
ATL89
MIA95
12 Feb 2012
ATL87
MIA107
05 Jan 2012
ATL109
MIA116
11 Apr 2011
ATL90
MIA98
18 Mar 2011
ATL85
MIA106
10 Feb 2010
ATL76
MIA94
18 Nov 2009
ATL105
MIA90
03 May 2009
ATL91
MIA78
29 Apr 2009
ATL106
MIA91
22 Apr 2009
ATL93
MIA108
19 Apr 2009
ATL90
MIA64
14 Apr 2009
ATL81
MIA79
27 Feb 2009
ATL91
MIA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
130-105
130
105
+25
H09/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
L
102-115
102
115
-13
A12/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A16/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
110-103
110
103
+7
A17/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
95-114
95
114
-19
A19/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
L
115-123
115
123
-8
A21/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
95-114
95
114
-19
H22/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
22-27
16-25
15-20
33-20
43-34
29-28
25-23
22-31
20-29
26-38
34-17
28-23
20-27
17-23
31-14
23-14
18-24
27-20
23-28
28-29
26-18
28-29
28-27
24-28
23-31
17-24
31-31
35-34
33-27
27-29
20-33
13-26
28-33
24-24
30-31
23-31
24-21
21-19
27-12
203.5Avg total
101.3Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)102.597.2199.7+5.376%
Season at home (35)103.096.0199.1+7.086%
Season away (36)102.098.3200.3+3.767%
Last 10 (10)101.3102.2203.5-0.950%
Last 5 (5)102.0107.4209.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)109.5115.0224.5-5.550%
vs Similar (10)100.5100.4200.9+0.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)100.994.7195.7+6.278%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H09/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
104-98
104
98
+6
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
106-92
106
92
+14
H17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
108-104
108
104
+4
H18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
108-91
108
91
+17
H20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
88-89
88
89
-1
A25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
21-31
21-17
28-18
19-24
21-19
24-30
26-27
34-23
28-28
20-16
22-31
18-21
23-29
22-28
29-24
27-22
29-16
27-25
23-29
27-32
21-25
31-24
29-23
22-23
37-23
28-32
21-13
21-25
17-23
20-18
17-27
27-22
24-27
28-16
9-24
27-20
30-20
25-22
11-24
194.2Avg total
97.8Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)94.796.7191.4-2.046%
Season at home (35)96.997.9194.8-0.949%
Season away (36)92.495.6188.0-3.144%
Last 10 (10)97.896.4194.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)94.492.6187.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)90.996.9187.8-6.033%
vs Similar (16)96.095.4191.4+0.650%
vs Weaker (5)108.097.2205.2+10.880%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.5-2.5
Atlanta HawksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H09/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A12/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A16/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A17/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A19/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A21/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H22/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A25/03
NBA
104.4Avg total
51.7Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.348.098.3+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.848.4100.1+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)48.747.696.3+1.164%-
Last 10 (10)51.752.7104.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)51.455.6107.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.555.5105.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (10)49.951.0100.9-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)50.745.596.2+5.272%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H09/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A25/03
NBA
98.2Avg total
49.9Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.048.696.6-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.548.799.1+1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)45.648.594.1-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)49.948.398.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.648.098.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)44.246.490.7-2.233%-
vs Similar (16)48.448.296.6+0.244%-
vs Weaker (5)53.653.6107.2+0.040%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/15AOrlando Magic95-83
22/03/15HSan Antonio Spurs95-114
21/03/15AOklahoma City Thunder115-123
19/03/15AGolden State Warriors95-114
17/03/15ASacramento Kings110-103
16/03/15ALos Angeles Lakers91-86
14/03/15APhoenix Suns96-87
12/03/15ADenver Nuggets102-115
09/03/15HSacramento Kings130-105
08/03/15APhiladelphia 76ers84-92
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/15ABoston Celtics93-86
25/03/15AMilwaukee Bucks88-89
22/03/15AOklahoma City Thunder75-93
20/03/15HDenver Nuggets108-91
18/03/15HPortland Trail Blazers108-104
17/03/15HCleveland Cavaliers106-92
13/03/15AToronto Raptors92-102
11/03/15HBrooklyn Nets104-98
09/03/15HBoston Celtics90-100
08/03/15HSacramento Kings114-109 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW76%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %76%86%67%
Points / game102.5103.0102.0
Allowed / game97.296.098.3
Point differential+5.3+7.0+3.7
Avg total199.7199.1200.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%43%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)75% (4)60% (10)
Overtime %1%0%3%
Miami Heat
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW46%
HomeLWWWW49%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %46%49%44%
Points / game94.796.992.4
Allowed / game96.797.995.6
Point differential-2.0-0.9-3.1
Avg total191.4194.8188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%26%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)60% (10)44% (9)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors71581382%109.899.1+10.7
2 Atlanta Hawks71541776%102.597.2+5.3
3 Memphis Grizzlies72502269%98.995.4+3.5
4 Houston Rockets71482368%103.2100.1+3.1
5 Los Angeles Clippers73482566%106.4100.2+6.2
6 Cleveland Cavaliers73472664%103.698.6+5.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers70452564%102.598.1+4.4
8 San Antonio Spurs71452663%102.897.8+5.0
9 Dallas Mavericks72452762%104.6101.0+3.6
10 Chicago Bulls73442960%101.098.7+2.3
11 Toronto Raptors72423058%104.3101.5+2.8
12 Oklahoma City Thunder72413157%103.4101.0+2.4
13 Washington Wizards73413256%98.497.8+0.5
14 Phoenix Suns72383453%104.2103.6+0.5
15 New Orleans Pelicans71373452%99.298.9+0.3
16 Milwaukee Bucks72363650%97.897.5+0.3
17 Miami Heat71333846%94.796.7-2.0
18 Utah Jazz71314044%94.795.0-0.2
19 Boston Celtics71314044%100.7101.5-0.8
20 Indiana Pacers72314143%96.897.2-0.4
21 Brooklyn Nets70304043%97.2100.7-3.4
22 Charlotte Hornets71304142%94.797.1-2.4
23 Detroit Pistons72284439%98.399.6-1.3
24 Denver Nuggets72274538%100.2103.8-3.6
25 Sacramento Kings71264537%101.3105.0-3.7
26 Orlando Magic74225230%95.9102.1-6.2
27 Los Angeles Lakers70195127%99.0104.7-5.8
28 Philadelphia 76ers73185525%91.4100.5-9.0
29 Minnesota Timberwolves71165523%97.9105.7-7.9
30 New York Knicks72145819%91.9101.4-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks2728341099
Miami Heat2017301986
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