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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2009
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 104-118
28-30 24-32 25-18 27-38
Position#28
Record18-59
FormWLLLW
Points / game95.9
Allowed / game103.4
vs
Position#14
Record40-36
FormLWLLW
Points / game98.1
Allowed / game98.1
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#11
L
88-103
88
103
-15
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
L
108-123
108
123
-15
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
105-116
105
116
-11
A21/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
96-128
96
128
-32
A22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
99-101
99
101
-2
H23/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H25/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
96-98
96
98
-2
H28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
115-124
115
124
-9
A29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
107-112
107
112
-5
A02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
109-101
109
101
+8
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
21-21
25-30
27-27
32-27
32-29
29-37
15-30
31-28
20-30
25-28
29-30
16-31
37-26
22-33
21-38
27-19
20-22
20-33
32-27
24-29
26-28
23-14
22-22
26-29
27-31
19-24
24-14
28-30
24-29
24-33
39-32
27-27
23-30
23-31
34-24
22-19
27-22
31-29
29-31
211.7Avg total
101.8Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)95.9103.4199.3-7.523%
Season at home (39)97.3101.8199.1-4.633%
Season away (38)94.5105.0199.5-10.513%
Last 10 (10)101.8109.9211.7-8.120%
Last 5 (5)104.4105.6210.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)97.4107.3204.8-9.922%
vs Similar (7)103.1106.0209.1-2.943%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
101-96
101
96
+5
A22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A27/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
102-85
102
85
+17
H28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
95-101
95
101
-6
H30/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
W
97-92
97
92
+5
A03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
33-15
22-26
24-25
17-21
22-30
24-16
25-29
20-23
23-24
24-26
34-23
30-16
26-24
24-22
14-20
24-27
25-21
19-19
20-23
25-26
24-21
14-32
24-27
28-23
30-20
19-20
25-22
21-26
22-20
26-24
26-31
27-26
20-20
26-25
23-27
16-28
29-17
22-26
30-21
191.4Avg total
95.6Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)98.198.1196.2-0.053%
Season at home (38)100.696.5197.1+4.168%
Season away (38)95.699.7195.3-4.137%
Last 10 (10)95.695.8191.4-0.240%
Last 5 (5)95.496.4191.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)99.7106.7206.3-7.017%
vs Similar (21)100.099.7199.7+0.257%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)105.796.0201.7+9.767%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A21/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H23/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H25/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A29/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A02/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H03/04
NBA
103.7Avg total
50.5Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.952.5101.4-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.153.1104.2-2.038%-
Last 30 away (14)46.451.798.1-5.321%-
Last 10 (10)50.553.2103.7-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)50.854.8105.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)47.352.8100.1-5.522%-
vs Similar (7)54.351.3105.6+3.057%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A27/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#19
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/04
NBA
94.5Avg total
48.3Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.348.897.1-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.750.4102.1+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)45.047.192.1-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)48.346.294.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)48.445.493.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)47.353.7101.0-6.317%-
vs Similar (21)47.848.095.8-0.248%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)54.344.398.7+10.0100%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Washington Wizards wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/09HCleveland Cavaliers109-101
02/04/09AMemphis Grizzlies107-112
29/03/09AIndiana Pacers115-124
28/03/09HDetroit Pistons96-98
25/03/09HCharlotte Hornets95-93
23/03/09HChicago Bulls99-101
22/03/09APhoenix Suns96-128
21/03/09ADenver Nuggets105-116
19/03/09ALos Angeles Clippers108-123
18/03/09AUtah Jazz88-103
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/09ACharlotte Hornets97-92
02/04/09ADallas Mavericks96-98
30/03/09HOrlando Magic95-101
28/03/09HMilwaukee Bucks102-85
27/03/09AChicago Bulls87-106
25/03/09AIndiana Pacers88-90
23/03/09HMemphis Grizzlies94-82
22/03/09ADetroit Pistons101-96
20/03/09ABrooklyn Nets88-96
18/03/09ABoston Celtics108-112 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW23%
HomeWLWLW33%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %23%33%13%
Points / game95.997.394.5
Allowed / game103.4101.8105.0
Point differential-7.5-4.6-10.5
Avg total199.3199.1199.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%10%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)44% (9)29% (7)
Overtime %1%0%3%
Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeWWWWL68%
AwayWLLLW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %53%68%37%
Points / game98.1100.695.6
Allowed / game98.196.599.7
Point differential-0.0+4.1-4.1
Avg total196.2197.1195.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (23)100% (7)56% (16)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers76611580%99.891.3+8.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers76601679%106.999.4+7.5
3 Boston Celtics77581975%100.992.8+8.2
4 Orlando Magic75561975%102.294.7+7.5
5 Denver Nuggets76502666%104.0100.7+3.3
6 San Antonio Spurs75492665%97.293.4+3.8
7 Portland Trail Blazers75482764%99.594.8+4.7
8 Houston Rockets76482863%98.494.8+3.6
9 New Orleans Pelicans75472863%96.294.0+2.2
10 Utah Jazz76463061%103.4100.2+3.2
11 Dallas Mavericks76453159%101.299.9+1.3
12 Atlanta Hawks76433357%97.996.3+1.6
13 Phoenix Suns76423455%109.4107.2+2.2
14 Philadelphia 76ers75403553%97.696.6+0.9
15 Miami Heat76403653%98.198.1-0.0
16 Chicago Bulls77374048%102.0102.5-0.6
17 Detroit Pistons76364047%93.794.6-0.9
18 Charlotte Hornets76344245%93.894.6-0.8
19 Indiana Pacers76324442%104.2106.0-1.8
20 Milwaukee Bucks77324542%98.9100.2-1.4
21 Brooklyn Nets76314541%98.5101.2-2.7
22 Toronto Raptors75304540%98.6101.3-2.7
23 New York Knicks76294738%105.4108.2-2.8
24 Golden State Warriors76274936%109.1112.7-3.6
25 Minnesota Timberwolves76225429%98.1103.1-4.9
26 Memphis Grizzlies75215428%93.799.7-5.9
27 Oklahoma City Thunder75215428%96.8102.9-6.1
28 Los Angeles Clippers75185724%95.8104.3-8.6
29 Washington Wizards77185923%95.9103.4-7.5
30 Sacramento Kings75165921%101.1109.5-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards28242527104
Miami Heat30321838118
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