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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 86-115
29-23 18-30 21-31 18-31
Position#28
Record22-56
FormLLLWL
Points / game103.3
Allowed / game108.8
vs
Position#16
Record42-36
FormLWWLW
Points / game103.3
Allowed / game102.7
USANBA· Philips Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Miami Heat
08 Feb 2027
ATL v MIA
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
ATL117
MIA129
20 Feb 2026
ATL97
MIA128
26 Dec 2025
ATL111
MIA126
18 Apr 2025
ATL114
MIA123
24 Feb 2025
ATL98
MIA86
28 Dec 2024
ATL120
MIA110
09 Apr 2024
ATL111
MIA117
11 Nov 2023
ATL109
MIA117
16 Jan 2023
ATL121
MIA113
27 Nov 2022
ATL98
MIA106
24 Apr 2022
ATL86
MIA110
22 Apr 2022
ATL111
MIA110
21 Jan 2022
ATL110
MIA108
12 Jan 2022
ATL91
MIA115
23 Apr 2021
ATL118
MIA103
20 Feb 2020
ATL129
MIA124
31 Oct 2019
ATL97
MIA106
06 Jan 2019
ATL106
MIA82
03 Nov 2018
ATL123
MIA118
04 Apr 2018
ATL86
MIA115
18 Dec 2017
ATL110
MIA104
24 Feb 2017
ATL90
MIA108
07 Dec 2016
ATL103
MIA95
19 Feb 2016
ATL111
MIA115
14 Dec 2015
ATL88
MIA100
27 Mar 2015
ATL99
MIA86
14 Nov 2014
ATL114
MIA103
12 Apr 2014
ATL98
MIA85
20 Jan 2014
ATL121
MIA114
20 Feb 2013
ATL90
MIA103
09 Nov 2012
ATL89
MIA95
12 Feb 2012
ATL87
MIA107
05 Jan 2012
ATL109
MIA116
11 Apr 2011
ATL90
MIA98
18 Mar 2011
ATL85
MIA106
10 Feb 2010
ATL76
MIA94
18 Nov 2009
ATL105
MIA90
03 May 2009
ATL91
MIA78
29 Apr 2009
ATL106
MIA91
22 Apr 2009
ATL93
MIA108
19 Apr 2009
ATL90
MIA64
14 Apr 2009
ATL81
MIA79
27 Feb 2009
ATL91
MIA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
117-129
117
129
-12
111avg 95
H15/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
117-122
117
122
-5
111avg 95
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
99-94
99
94
+5
87avg 95
A21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
90-105
90
105
-15
75avg 95
A23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
94-106
94
106
-12
84avg 95
A24/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
99-118
99
118
-19
88avg 95
A26/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
114-126
114
126
-12
112avg 95
A29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
91-101
91
101
-10
79avg 95
H30/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
94-88
94
88
+6
100avg 95
H01/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
98-101
98
101
-3
91avg 95
A03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
32-30
24-34
38-32
31-26
19-30
37-39
30-27
21-27
20-15
22-25
36-27
28-25
16-24
27-31
19-25
18-16
33-27
23-36
20-27
20-33
25-36
29-25
25-24
32-34
25-31
31-33
26-28
27-30
14-17
18-39
32-15
21-18
35-25
13-21
25-24
25-30
31-22
22-26
20-23
210.3Avg total
101.3Scored
109.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)103.3108.8212.1-5.428%
Season at home (39)105.0108.3213.4-3.341%
Season away (39)101.7109.2210.8-7.515%
Last 10 (10)101.3109.0210.3-7.720%
Last 5 (5)99.2106.8206.0-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)103.0112.5215.5-9.518%
vs Similar (8)103.5104.4207.9-0.950%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
119-123 OT
119
123
-4
110avg 95
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
92-91
92
91
+1
77avg 95
A17/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
149-141 OT
149
141
+8
144avg 95
H19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
119-98
119
98
+21
116avg 95
H21/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
99-105
99
105
-6
87avg 95
A24/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
107-113 OT
107
113
-6
104avg 95
A25/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
98-79
98
79
+19
95avg 95
H28/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
103-92
103
92
+11
96avg 95
H29/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
109-110 OT
109
110
-1
96avg 95
H01/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
101-98
101
98
+3
91avg 95
H03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
21-35
27-32
32-20
25-24
25-26
24-21
18-20
36-37
28-26
28-28
26-27
27-26
37-21
35-30
20-21
18-24
22-20
26-20
33-41
30-21
23-31
21-30
22-14
29-18
25-16
21-25
23-20
29-21
22-25
27-22
25-24
32-22
23-26
21-32
25-21
30-25
22-31
26-22
23-20
214.6Avg total
109.6Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)103.3102.7206.0+0.654%
Season at home (39)104.6102.1206.7+2.564%
Season away (39)102.0103.3205.2-1.344%
Last 10 (10)109.6105.0214.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)103.698.4202.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)103.7105.2208.8-1.533%
vs Similar (18)107.3104.9212.2+2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)112.0102.7214.7+9.367%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
Atlanta HawksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H15/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A24/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
45-69
45
69
-24
A26/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A29/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H30/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H01/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A03/04
NBA
102.5Avg total
49.6Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.352.8102.1-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.655.1107.7-2.527%-
Last 30 away (15)46.050.496.4-4.440%-
Last 10 (10)49.652.9102.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)51.055.2106.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)49.754.8104.5-5.132%-
vs Similar (8)48.247.195.4+1.138%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A17/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H21/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A24/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A25/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H28/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H01/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H03/04
NBA
103.4Avg total
53.5Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.851.6105.3+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.151.3107.4+4.871%-
Last 30 away (13)50.851.9102.7-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)53.549.9103.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)53.047.2100.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)52.250.8103.0+1.333%-
vs Similar (18)53.651.2104.8+2.361%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)56.053.3109.3+2.767%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 101.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.826.6
50.4%
51.0%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.811.7
33.6%
36.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.0
73.9%
76.5%13.0
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.529.0
50.4%
51.0%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.012.1
37.8%
36.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws19.315.3
79.3%
76.5%15.3
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LWLLLLLWLL
Miami Heat
WLWWLLWWWL
#28
League position
#16
-7.6
Net rating
+4.5
99.8
Offensive rating
106.6
107.4
Defensive rating
102.2
50.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.0%
17.8%
Off. rebound %
20.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.6%
3-point %
37.8%
63.2%
Assist %
62.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 106.6Defence107.4 · 102.2Shooting50.4% · 52.7%3-point %33.6% · 37.8%Ball care14.1% · 13.0%Off. rebounds17.8% · 20.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Atlanta Hawks wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/18AMiami Heat98-101
01/04/18HOrlando Magic94-88
30/03/18HPhiladelphia 76ers91-101
29/03/18AMinnesota Timberwolves114-126
26/03/18AHouston Rockets99-118
24/03/18AGolden State Warriors94-106
23/03/18ASacramento Kings90-105
21/03/18AUtah Jazz99-94
17/03/18AMilwaukee Bucks117-122
15/03/18HCharlotte Hornets117-129
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/18HAtlanta Hawks101-98
01/04/18HBrooklyn Nets109-110 OT
29/03/18HChicago Bulls103-92
28/03/18HCleveland Cavaliers98-79
25/03/18AIndiana Pacers107-113 OT
24/03/18AOklahoma City Thunder99-105
21/03/18HNew York Knicks119-98
19/03/18HDenver Nuggets149-141 OT
17/03/18ALos Angeles Lakers92-91
15/03/18ASacramento Kings119-123 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL28%
HomeLLLLW41%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %28%41%15%
Points / game103.3105.0101.7
Allowed / game108.8108.3109.2
Point differential-5.4-3.3-7.5
Avg total212.1213.4210.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%15%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (26)64% (11)20% (15)
Overtime %1%0%3%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW54%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %54%64%44%
Points / game103.3104.6102.0
Allowed / game102.7102.1103.3
Point differential+0.6+2.5-1.3
Avg total206.0206.7205.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%26%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (27)67% (12)47% (15)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets78631581%113.2104.1+9.1
2 Golden State Warriors78572173%113.9107.0+6.9
3 Toronto Raptors77552271%112.2104.6+7.6
4 Boston Celtics77532469%104.2100.2+4.0
5 Philadelphia 76ers78483062%109.1105.1+4.0
6 Portland Trail Blazers78483062%106.1103.3+2.9
7 Cleveland Cavaliers78483062%110.5109.6+0.9
8 Indiana Pacers78463259%105.7104.0+1.7
9 Utah Jazz78453358%103.8100.2+3.7
10 San Antonio Spurs78453358%102.699.4+3.2
11 Oklahoma City Thunder79453457%107.4104.4+3.0
12 Minnesota Timberwolves78443456%109.6107.7+1.9
13 New Orleans Pelicans77433456%111.1110.9+0.2
14 Denver Nuggets78433555%110.2108.9+1.3
15 Los Angeles Clippers78423654%109.3108.4+0.9
16 Washington Wizards78423654%106.7106.0+0.7
17 Miami Heat78423654%103.3102.7+0.6
18 Milwaukee Bucks78423654%106.5106.7-0.1
19 Detroit Pistons78374147%103.4103.7-0.4
20 Charlotte Hornets79344543%107.6108.1-0.5
21 Los Angeles Lakers77334443%108.2109.7-1.5
22 New York Knicks78275135%104.1108.0-3.9
23 Chicago Bulls78275135%103.2109.6-6.4
24 Brooklyn Nets78255332%106.2110.6-4.3
25 Sacramento Kings79255432%99.1106.4-7.3
26 Orlando Magic78245431%103.7108.1-4.4
27 Dallas Mavericks79245530%102.4105.0-2.6
28 Atlanta Hawks78225628%103.3108.8-5.4
29 Memphis Grizzlies77215627%98.8104.8-6.0
30 Phoenix Suns79205925%103.7113.3-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks2918211886
Miami Heat23303131115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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