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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 106-82
23-16 15-21 41-21 27-24
Position#26
Record11-27
FormWWLLL
Points / game109.2
Allowed / game118.5
vs
Position#17
Record19-18
FormLWLWW
Points / game107.2
Allowed / game105.8
USANBA· State Farm Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Atlanta Hawks v Miami Heat
08 Feb 2027
ATL v MIA
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
ATL117
MIA129
20 Feb 2026
ATL97
MIA128
26 Dec 2025
ATL111
MIA126
18 Apr 2025
ATL114
MIA123
24 Feb 2025
ATL98
MIA86
28 Dec 2024
ATL120
MIA110
09 Apr 2024
ATL111
MIA117
11 Nov 2023
ATL109
MIA117
16 Jan 2023
ATL121
MIA113
27 Nov 2022
ATL98
MIA106
24 Apr 2022
ATL86
MIA110
22 Apr 2022
ATL111
MIA110
21 Jan 2022
ATL110
MIA108
12 Jan 2022
ATL91
MIA115
23 Apr 2021
ATL118
MIA103
20 Feb 2020
ATL129
MIA124
31 Oct 2019
ATL97
MIA106
06 Jan 2019
ATL106
MIA82
03 Nov 2018
ATL123
MIA118
04 Apr 2018
ATL86
MIA115
18 Dec 2017
ATL110
MIA104
24 Feb 2017
ATL90
MIA108
07 Dec 2016
ATL103
MIA95
19 Feb 2016
ATL111
MIA115
14 Dec 2015
ATL88
MIA100
27 Mar 2015
ATL99
MIA86
14 Nov 2014
ATL114
MIA103
12 Apr 2014
ATL98
MIA85
20 Jan 2014
ATL121
MIA114
20 Feb 2013
ATL90
MIA103
09 Nov 2012
ATL89
MIA95
12 Feb 2012
ATL87
MIA107
05 Jan 2012
ATL109
MIA116
11 Apr 2011
ATL90
MIA98
18 Mar 2011
ATL85
MIA106
10 Feb 2010
ATL76
MIA94
18 Nov 2009
ATL105
MIA90
03 May 2009
ATL91
MIA78
29 Apr 2009
ATL106
MIA91
22 Apr 2009
ATL93
MIA108
19 Apr 2009
ATL90
MIA64
14 Apr 2009
ATL81
MIA79
27 Feb 2009
ATL91
MIA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlanta Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
127-144
127
144
-17
127avg 97
A16/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
118-110
118
110
+8
115avg 97
H19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
114-107
114
107
+7
112avg 97
A22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
98-95
98
95
+3
90avg 97
A23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
121-129
121
129
-8
119avg 97
H27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
123-120 OT
123
120
+3
120avg 97
A29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
111-108
111
108
+3
100avg 97
H30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
108-116
108
116
-8
99avg 97
A31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
98-114
98
114
-16
89avg 97
A03/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
112-144
112
144
-32
97avg 97
A05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-42
43-30
30-39
31-33
35-24
23-30
24-28
36-28
28-39
32-30
27-20
27-18
28-21
29-22
22-23
19-29
31-32
36-32
21-31
33-34
42-27
29-32
18-30
23-23
23-26
34-25
27-23
27-34
25-33
35-30
21-34
27-19
29-35
24-29
31-24
14-26
14-43
29-33
36-42
33-26
231.7Avg total
113.0Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)109.2118.5227.7-9.329%
Season at home (16)111.3118.3229.6-7.038%
Season away (22)107.7118.6226.3-11.023%
Last 10 (10)113.0118.7231.7-5.750%
Last 5 (5)110.4120.4230.8-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)108.8119.0227.8-10.225%
vs Similar (6)110.8113.7224.5-2.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
100-97
100
97
+3
101avg 98
A15/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
102-96
102
96
+6
95avg 98
A17/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
101-99
101
99
+2
91avg 98
H21/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
94-87
94
87
+7
86avg 98
H23/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
115-91
115
91
+24
109avg 98
A23/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
104-106
104
106
-2
98avg 98
H27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
118-94
118
94
+24
115avg 98
H29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
104-113
104
113
-9
93avg 98
H30/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
117-92
117
92
+25
117avg 98
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
115-109
115
109
+6
110avg 98
H05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
22-21
20-24
29-24
33-28
24-23
28-22
17-23
21-33
32-25
29-18
19-23
21-8
16-30
35-20
22-29
28-17
25-27
37-27
25-20
31-23
27-21
21-37
25-25
29-30
27-22
26-17
36-25
19-30
35-25
23-31
27-27
22-23
36-20
35-30
24-19
31-24
30-34
34-28
20-23
205.4Avg total
107.0Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)107.2105.8213.0+1.451%
Season at home (20)105.6105.9211.5-0.345%
Season away (17)109.0105.7214.7+3.359%
Last 10 (10)107.098.4205.4+8.680%
Last 5 (5)111.6102.8214.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)100.0104.7204.7-4.750%
vs Similar (18)105.5105.2210.7+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)114.0103.0217.0+11.067%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
Atlanta HawksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A16/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H19/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A23/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A03/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
43-76
43
76
-33
A05/01
NBA
120.7Avg total
59.2Scored
61.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.060.1116.1-4.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.961.2117.1-5.246%-
Last 30 away (17)56.159.4115.4-3.347%-
Last 10 (10)59.261.5120.7-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)56.862.6119.4-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)56.260.1116.2-3.946%-
vs Similar (6)55.360.3115.7-5.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A15/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A17/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H21/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H23/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A23/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H30/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H05/01
NBA
103.0Avg total
53.8Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.552.6107.1+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.852.2106.1+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)55.353.0108.3+2.364%-
Last 10 (10)53.849.2103.0+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)57.450.4107.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)48.053.0101.0-5.017%-
vs Similar (18)55.251.9107.1+3.372%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)59.054.3113.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.329.4
50.4%
51.7%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.2
37.5%
35.4%36.6
🏀 Free throws24.317.6
72.4%
76.6%17.6
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.128.8
51.3%
51.7%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.5
35.9%
35.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.514.9
69.3%
76.6%14.9
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atlanta Hawks
LLLWWLWWWL
Miami Heat
WWLWLWWWWW
#26
League position
#17
-5.4
Net rating
+8.9
107.4
Offensive rating
110.4
112.8
Defensive rating
101.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
16.6%
Turnover %
13.6%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.5%
3-point %
35.9%
67.8%
Assist %
63.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 110.4Defence112.8 · 101.5Shooting52.5% · 52.3%3-point %37.5% · 35.9%Ball care16.6% · 13.6%Off. rebounds29.1% · 30.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Atlanta Hawks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/19AMilwaukee Bucks112-144
03/01/19AWashington Wizards98-114
31/12/18AIndiana Pacers108-116
30/12/18HCleveland Cavaliers111-108
29/12/18AMinnesota Timberwolves123-120 OT
27/12/18HIndiana Pacers121-129
23/12/18ADetroit Pistons98-95
22/12/18ANew York Knicks114-107
19/12/18HWashington Wizards118-110
16/12/18ABrooklyn Nets127-144
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/19HWashington Wizards115-109
03/01/19ACleveland Cavaliers117-92
30/12/18HMinnesota Timberwolves104-113
29/12/18HCleveland Cavaliers118-94
27/12/18HToronto Raptors104-106
23/12/18AOrlando Magic115-91
23/12/18HMilwaukee Bucks94-87
21/12/18HHouston Rockets101-99
17/12/18ANew Orleans Pelicans102-96
15/12/18AMemphis Grizzlies100-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeLWWLW38%
AwayWWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381622
Win %29%38%23%
Points / game109.2111.3107.7
Allowed / game118.5118.3118.6
Point differential-9.3-7.0-11.0
Avg total227.7229.6226.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW51%
HomeWLWLW45%
AwayLWWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372017
Win %51%45%59%
Points / game107.2105.6109.0
Allowed / game105.8105.9105.7
Point differential+1.4-0.3+3.3
Avg total213.0211.5214.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%10%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks38271171%117.7108.2+9.5
2 Toronto Raptors41291271%113.2108.1+5.1
3 Denver Nuggets37261170%110.6105.2+5.4
4 Indiana Pacers38261268%107.8101.4+6.4
5 Oklahoma City Thunder38251366%111.9105.5+6.4
6 Golden State Warriors40261465%116.5112.2+4.4
7 Philadelphia 76ers40261465%114.4112.2+2.2
8 Boston Celtics38231561%111.8105.6+6.2
9 Los Angeles Clippers39231659%115.7114.3+1.4
10 Houston Rockets38221658%110.3109.0+1.3
11 San Antonio Spurs40231757%111.7108.6+3.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers40231757%111.2110.2+1.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers40211952%112.3111.4+0.9
14 Miami Heat37191851%107.2105.8+1.4
15 Utah Jazz40202050%108.0105.7+2.4
16 Brooklyn Nets41202149%111.1111.4-0.3
17 Sacramento Kings39192049%115.2117.0-1.8
18 Minnesota Timberwolves40192148%111.4110.8+0.6
19 Charlotte Hornets38182047%112.8111.7+1.2
20 Dallas Mavericks39182146%110.2109.7+0.4
21 Memphis Grizzlies39182146%101.2102.6-1.4
22 Detroit Pistons37172046%107.2109.4-2.2
23 New Orleans Pelicans40182245%116.7115.1+1.6
24 Orlando Magic39172244%103.4107.2-3.7
25 Washington Wizards39152438%112.6116.9-4.3
26 Atlanta Hawks38112729%109.2118.5-9.3
27 New York Knicks39102926%107.8115.8-7.9
28 Chicago Bulls40103025%100.4109.8-9.4
29 Phoenix Suns4093122%106.1115.0-8.9
30 Cleveland Cavaliers4083220%101.6112.1-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atlanta Hawks23154127106
Miami Heat1621212482
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