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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Mar 2015
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 89-88
22-27 27-24 16-28 24-9
Position#15
Record34-36
FormLLLLL
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game97.5
vs
Position#21
Record32-37
FormLWWWL
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game97.0
USANBA
NBA2014-15
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
12 Mar 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
28 Jan 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MIL128
MIA117
23 Feb 2025
MIL120
MIA113
23 Jan 2025
MIL125
MIA96
13 Feb 2024
MIL97
MIA123
30 Oct 2023
MIL122
MIA114
26 Apr 2023
MIL126
MIA128
19 Apr 2023
MIL138
MIA122
16 Apr 2023
MIL117
MIA130
24 Feb 2023
MIL128
MIA99
04 Feb 2023
MIL123
MIA115
02 Mar 2022
MIL120
MIA119
04 Dec 2021
MIL124
MIA102
24 May 2021
MIL132
MIA98
22 May 2021
MIL109
MIA107
15 May 2021
MIL122
MIA108
08 Sep 2020
MIL94
MIA103
02 Sep 2020
MIL114
MIA116
31 Aug 2020
MIL104
MIA115
06 Aug 2020
MIL130
MIA116
26 Oct 2019
MIL126
MIA131
22 Mar 2019
MIL116
MIA87
15 Jan 2019
MIL124
MIA86
17 Jan 2018
MIL101
MIA106
08 Feb 2017
MIL88
MIA106
13 Jan 2017
MIL116
MIA108
09 Mar 2016
MIL114
MIA108
29 Jan 2016
MIL103
MIA107
24 Mar 2015
MIL89
MIA88
05 Dec 2014
MIL109
MIA85
29 Mar 2014
MIL67
MIA88
28 Apr 2013
MIL77
MIA88
25 Apr 2013
MIL91
MIA104
15 Mar 2013
MIL94
MIA107
29 Dec 2012
MIL104
MIA85
13 Feb 2012
MIL96
MIA114
01 Feb 2012
MIL105
MIA97
07 Jan 2011
MIL95
MIA101
06 Dec 2010
MIL78
MIA88
26 Mar 2010
MIL74
MIA87
30 Jan 2010
MIL95
MIA84
14 Jan 2009
MIL99
MIA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
93-102
93
102
-9
A05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H08/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
L
103-114
103
114
-11
H10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
A12/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
83-96
83
96
-13
A15/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
103-114
103
114
-11
H19/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
L
127-129 OT
127
129
-2
A20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
90-108
90
108
-18
H22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
34-28
18-19
22-30
30-19
21-20
14-24
26-22
26-29
24-31
34-27
19-27
29-31
25-26
18-15
25-19
31-19
22-32
21-31
22-14
20-22
22-27
19-29
22-18
21-32
23-10
18-28
22-15
28-27
26-36
26-28
23-23
30-31
38-27
16-21
17-22
26-25
27-19
20-31
17-33
200.7Avg total
97.4Scored
103.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)97.897.5195.3+0.349%
Season at home (33)98.196.1194.2+2.058%
Season away (37)97.598.8196.3-1.241%
Last 10 (10)97.4103.3200.7-5.920%
Last 5 (5)97.4106.4203.8-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)93.7101.7195.3-8.017%
vs Similar ◀ (19)95.996.8192.7-0.942%
vs Weaker (5)104.497.0201.4+7.480%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
97-99
97
99
-2
A07/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H09/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
104-98
104
98
+6
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
106-92
106
92
+14
H17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
108-104
108
104
+4
H18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
108-91
108
91
+17
H20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
18-26
30-22
24-21
18-40
21-27
34-21
24-11
26-30
21-31
21-17
28-18
19-24
21-19
24-30
26-27
34-23
28-28
20-16
22-31
18-21
23-29
22-28
29-24
27-22
29-16
27-25
23-29
27-32
21-25
31-24
29-23
22-23
37-23
28-32
21-13
21-25
17-23
20-18
17-27
197.6Avg total
99.4Scored
98.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)94.897.0191.8-2.246%
Season at home (35)96.997.9194.8-0.949%
Season away (34)92.696.0188.6-3.544%
Last 10 (10)99.498.2197.6+1.260%
Last 5 (5)97.896.4194.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)90.496.6187.0-6.230%
vs Similar ◀ (15)96.795.6192.3+1.153%
vs Weaker (5)108.097.2205.2+10.880%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H08/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H12/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A12/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A15/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H19/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H22/03
NBA
103.8Avg total
52.2Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.249.599.7+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.349.299.5+1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)50.149.9100.0+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)52.251.6103.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)52.251.2103.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.249.598.7-0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)49.750.3100.1-0.647%-
vs Weaker (5)53.446.499.8+7.060%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
39-67
39
67
-28
A07/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H09/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A22/03
NBA
98.8Avg total
47.6Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.848.796.5-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.448.799.1+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)44.948.793.6-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)47.651.298.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.896.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.846.791.5-1.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)47.948.496.3-0.540%-
vs Weaker (5)53.653.6107.2+0.040%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/15HCleveland Cavaliers90-108
20/03/15ABrooklyn Nets127-129 OT
19/03/15HSan Antonio Spurs103-114
18/03/15ANew Orleans Pelicans84-85
15/03/15AMemphis Grizzlies83-96
12/03/15AIndiana Pacers103-109 OT
12/03/15HOrlando Magic97-91
10/03/15HNew Orleans Pelicans103-114
08/03/15HWashington Wizards91-85
05/03/15AGolden State Warriors93-102
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/15AOklahoma City Thunder75-93
20/03/15HDenver Nuggets108-91
18/03/15HPortland Trail Blazers108-104
17/03/15HCleveland Cavaliers106-92
13/03/15AToronto Raptors92-102
11/03/15HBrooklyn Nets104-98
09/03/15HBoston Celtics90-100
08/03/15HSacramento Kings114-109 OT
07/03/15AWashington Wizards97-99
05/03/15HLos Angeles Lakers100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL49%
HomeWLWLL58%
AwayLLLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703337
Win %49%58%41%
Points / game97.898.197.5
Allowed / game97.596.198.8
Point differential+0.3+2.0-1.2
Avg total195.3194.2196.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)44% (9)33% (9)
Overtime %9%3%14%
Miami Heat
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL46%
HomeLWWWW49%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693534
Win %46%49%44%
Points / game94.896.992.6
Allowed / game97.097.996.0
Point differential-2.2-0.9-3.5
Avg total191.8194.8188.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%26%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)60% (10)50% (8)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors70571381%109.799.0+10.7
2 Atlanta Hawks70531776%102.697.4+5.2
3 Memphis Grizzlies71502170%99.195.2+3.9
4 Houston Rockets70472367%103.4100.2+3.2
5 Los Angeles Clippers71462565%106.1100.5+5.6
6 Portland Trail Blazers68442465%102.697.9+4.7
7 Cleveland Cavaliers72462664%103.598.7+4.8
8 San Antonio Spurs69442564%102.597.8+4.7
9 Dallas Mavericks71442762%104.6101.1+3.6
10 Chicago Bulls72432960%100.898.6+2.2
11 Toronto Raptors71422959%104.3101.3+3.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder70403057%103.2100.3+2.9
13 Washington Wizards71403156%98.297.6+0.5
14 Phoenix Suns71383354%104.2103.6+0.7
15 New Orleans Pelicans70373353%99.399.0+0.3
16 Milwaukee Bucks70343649%97.897.5+0.3
17 Miami Heat69323746%94.897.0-2.2
18 Utah Jazz70313944%94.895.0-0.2
19 Boston Celtics70313944%100.9101.6-0.8
20 Charlotte Hornets69303943%94.797.0-2.3
21 Indiana Pacers70304043%96.697.0-0.4
22 Brooklyn Nets69294042%97.3100.8-3.5
23 Detroit Pistons71274438%98.299.6-1.5
24 Denver Nuggets71274438%100.5103.9-3.4
25 Sacramento Kings69244535%101.1105.1-3.9
26 Orlando Magic72225031%96.1102.1-6.0
27 Los Angeles Lakers68185026%98.7104.5-5.8
28 Philadelphia 76ers70175324%91.0100.3-9.3
29 Minnesota Timberwolves70165423%97.9105.8-7.9
30 New York Knicks71145720%92.1101.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2227162489
Miami Heat272428988
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