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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2015
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 93-75
25-21 23-17 18-20 27-17
Position#13
Record39-30
FormWWLWW
Points / game103.4
Allowed / game100.7
vs
Position#21
Record32-36
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.1
Allowed / game97.0
USANBA
NBA2014-15
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat
31 Dec 2026
OKC v MIA
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
OKC124
MIA112
12 Feb 2025
OKC115
MIA101
08 Mar 2024
OKC107
MIA100
14 Dec 2022
OKC108
MIA110
15 Nov 2021
OKC90
MIA103
22 Feb 2021
OKC94
MIA108
12 Aug 2020
OKC116
MIA115
17 Jan 2020
OKC108
MIA115
18 Mar 2019
OKC107
MIA116
23 Mar 2018
OKC105
MIA99
07 Nov 2016
OKC97
MIA85
17 Jan 2016
OKC99
MIA74
22 Mar 2015
OKC93
MIA75
20 Feb 2014
OKC81
MIA103
14 Feb 2013
OKC100
MIA110
14 Jun 2012
OKC96
MIA100
12 Jun 2012
OKC105
MIA94
25 Mar 2012
OKC103
MIA87
30 Jan 2011
OKC103
MIA108
16 Jan 2010
OKC98
MIA80
18 Jan 2009
OKC94
MIA104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
108-101
108
101
+7
A01/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
123-118 OT
123
118
+5
H05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
105-108
105
108
-3
A06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
108-104
108
104
+4
H08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
108-120
108
120
-12
H12/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
113-99
113
99
+14
H14/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
H15/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
115-119
115
119
-4
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
122-118
122
118
+4
H19/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#2
W
123-115
123
115
+8
H21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
28-29
28-24
24-29
37-34
19-25
28-31
26-20
30-18
20-30
29-24
26-36
31-26
27-35
28-18
22-25
30-36
27-29
28-35
23-20
31-26
24-23
24-23
34-27
17-15
30-32
28-23
34-30
29-27
34-26
29-39
23-27
28-24
25-33
40-24
29-37
34-35
27-33
29-27
33-20
223.6Avg total
113.4Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)103.4100.7204.1+2.757%
Season at home (34)106.398.4204.7+7.974%
Season away (35)100.5102.9203.4-2.340%
Last 10 (10)113.4110.2223.6+3.270%
Last 5 (5)116.4110.2226.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)107.6105.3212.9+2.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)109.699.5209.2+10.191%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
115-98
115
98
+17
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
97-99
97
99
-2
A07/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H09/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
104-98
104
98
+6
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
106-92
106
92
+14
H17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
108-104
108
104
+4
H18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
108-91
108
91
+17
H20/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
39-24
23-26
30-24
28-25
18-26
30-22
24-21
18-40
21-27
34-21
24-11
26-30
21-31
21-17
28-18
19-24
21-19
24-30
26-27
34-23
28-28
20-16
22-31
18-21
23-29
22-28
29-24
27-22
29-16
27-25
23-29
27-32
21-25
31-24
29-23
22-23
37-23
28-32
21-13
202.1Avg total
103.4Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)95.197.0192.1-2.047%
Season at home (35)96.997.9194.8-0.949%
Season away (33)93.196.1189.2-3.045%
Last 10 (10)103.498.7202.1+4.770%
Last 5 (5)103.697.4201.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)91.897.7189.5-5.930%
vs Similar (15)96.795.6192.3+1.153%
vs Weaker (5)108.097.2205.2+10.880%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
Oklahoma City ThunderMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A01/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H05/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H12/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H14/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H15/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H19/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#2
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H21/03
NBA
111.1Avg total
55.6Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.251.1106.3+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.751.5108.3+5.260%-
Last 30 away (15)53.750.6104.3+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)55.655.5111.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)55.854.8110.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)53.152.2105.3+0.942%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)58.949.2108.1+9.782%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
39-67
39
67
-28
A07/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H09/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H20/03
NBA
101.2Avg total
50.0Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.848.996.8-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.448.799.1+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)44.949.294.1-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)50.051.2101.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.248.4101.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)44.847.492.2-2.640%-
vs Similar (15)47.948.496.3-0.540%-
vs Weaker (5)53.653.6107.2+0.040%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/15HAtlanta Hawks123-115
19/03/15HBoston Celtics122-118
17/03/15ADallas Mavericks115-119
15/03/15HChicago Bulls109-100
14/03/15HMinnesota Timberwolves113-99
12/03/15HLos Angeles Clippers108-120
08/03/15HToronto Raptors108-104
06/03/15AChicago Bulls105-108
05/03/15HPhiladelphia 76ers123-118 OT
01/03/15ALos Angeles Lakers108-101
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/15HDenver Nuggets108-91
18/03/15HPortland Trail Blazers108-104
17/03/15HCleveland Cavaliers106-92
13/03/15AToronto Raptors92-102
11/03/15HBrooklyn Nets104-98
09/03/15HBoston Celtics90-100
08/03/15HSacramento Kings114-109 OT
07/03/15AWashington Wizards97-99
05/03/15HLos Angeles Lakers100-94
03/03/15HPhoenix Suns115-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeLWWWW74%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693435
Win %57%74%40%
Points / game103.4106.3100.5
Allowed / game100.798.4102.9
Point differential+2.7+7.9-2.3
Avg total204.1204.7203.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (22)42% (12)30% (10)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Miami Heat
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW47%
HomeLWWWW49%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683533
Win %47%49%45%
Points / game95.196.993.1
Allowed / game97.097.996.1
Point differential-2.0-0.9-3.0
Avg total192.1194.8189.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%26%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)60% (10)50% (8)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors69561381%109.799.3+10.4
2 Atlanta Hawks69531677%102.797.1+5.6
3 Memphis Grizzlies70492170%99.095.4+3.6
4 Houston Rockets69462367%103.3100.2+3.1
5 Portland Trail Blazers68442465%102.697.9+4.7
6 Los Angeles Clippers70452564%106.1100.5+5.6
7 Cleveland Cavaliers71452663%103.598.8+4.6
8 San Antonio Spurs68432563%102.497.9+4.5
9 Dallas Mavericks70442663%104.8101.1+3.7
10 Toronto Raptors69412859%104.3101.4+3.0
11 Chicago Bulls71422959%100.898.8+2.0
12 Washington Wizards69402958%98.797.3+1.3
13 Oklahoma City Thunder69393057%103.4100.7+2.7
14 New Orleans Pelicans69373254%99.398.9+0.4
15 Phoenix Suns70373353%104.3103.7+0.6
16 Milwaukee Bucks69343549%97.997.3+0.5
17 Miami Heat68323647%95.197.0-2.0
18 Utah Jazz69313845%94.794.9-0.2
19 Boston Celtics68303844%100.8101.7-0.9
20 Indiana Pacers69303943%96.696.8-0.3
21 Charlotte Hornets67293843%94.697.0-2.4
22 Brooklyn Nets68293943%97.4100.7-3.3
23 Denver Nuggets70264437%100.2103.9-3.7
24 Detroit Pistons69254436%97.999.6-1.7
25 Sacramento Kings68234534%101.0105.4-4.3
26 Orlando Magic71224931%96.0101.8-5.8
27 Los Angeles Lakers67175025%98.6104.7-6.1
28 Philadelphia 76ers69175225%91.1100.3-9.2
29 Minnesota Timberwolves68155322%97.7105.8-8.0
30 New York Knicks69145520%92.3101.2-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder2523182793
Miami Heat2117201775
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