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Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Mar 2015
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 108-91
22-23 37-23 28-32 21-13
Position#21
Record31-36
FormLWLWW
Points / game94.9
Allowed / game97.1
vs
Position#24
Record26-43
FormWWWLL
Points / game100.3
Allowed / game103.9
USANBA
NBA2014-15
Meetings · Miami Heat v Denver Nuggets
21 Mar 2027
MIA v DEN
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
MIA147
DEN123
17 Jan 2025
MIA113
DEN133
13 Mar 2024
MIA88
DEN100
09 Jun 2023
MIA95
DEN108
07 Jun 2023
MIA94
DEN109
13 Feb 2023
MIA108
DEN112
29 Nov 2021
MIA111
DEN120
27 Jan 2021
MIA82
DEN109
08 Jan 2019
MIA99
DEN103
19 Mar 2018
MIA149
DEN141
02 Apr 2017
MIA113
DEN116
14 Mar 2016
MIA124
DEN119
20 Mar 2015
MIA108
DEN91
14 Mar 2014
MIA107
DEN111
03 Nov 2012
MIA119
DEN116
19 Mar 2011
MIA103
DEN98
06 Nov 2009
MIA96
DEN88
10 Feb 2009
MIA82
DEN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#2
L
91-93
91
93
-2
H01/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
115-98
115
98
+17
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
97-99
97
99
-2
A07/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H09/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
104-98
104
98
+6
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
106-92
106
92
+14
H17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
108-104
108
104
+4
H18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
21-26
20-21
38-29
23-24
39-24
23-26
30-24
28-25
18-26
30-22
24-21
18-40
21-27
34-21
24-11
26-30
21-31
21-17
28-18
19-24
21-19
24-30
26-27
34-23
28-28
20-16
22-31
18-21
23-29
22-28
29-24
27-22
29-16
27-25
23-29
27-32
21-25
31-24
29-23
200.6Avg total
101.7Scored
98.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)94.997.1192.0-2.246%
Season at home (34)96.698.1194.7-1.547%
Season away (33)93.196.1189.2-3.045%
Last 10 (10)101.798.9200.6+2.860%
Last 5 (5)100.099.2199.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)91.897.7189.5-5.930%
vs Similar ◀ (14)95.995.9191.8-0.150%
vs Weaker (6)103.093.5196.5+9.583%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
106-95
106
95
+11
H04/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
100-85
100
85
+15
A05/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
111-120
111
120
-9
A07/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-114
100
114
-14
H08/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#29
W
106-78
106
78
+28
H10/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#2
W
115-102
115
102
+13
H12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
114-103
114
103
+11
H14/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
W
118-111 OT
118
111
+7
A15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
108-118
108
118
-10
A20/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
26-22
21-19
30-25
26-27
34-16
17-22
23-20
29-32
31-33
23-25
28-30
28-25
20-30
25-33
27-26
25-25
30-15
36-19
15-19
31-22
29-20
38-26
17-34
34-26
28-28
20-29
32-20
21-26
29-21
21-30
30-24
18-24
19-23
26-18
18-27
27-33
22-32
24-25
35-28
207.7Avg total
105.9Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)100.3103.9204.2-3.538%
Season at home (35)102.9103.0205.9-0.146%
Season away (34)97.6104.7202.4-7.129%
Last 10 (10)105.9101.8207.7+4.160%
Last 5 (5)107.2105.2212.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)99.8110.8210.6-11.115%
vs Similar ◀ (13)94.5100.4194.9-5.831%
vs Weaker (4)102.295.2197.5+7.050%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
Miami HeatDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H01/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H05/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
39-67
39
67
-28
A07/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H08/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H09/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A13/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H17/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H18/03
NBA
98.3Avg total
47.4Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.348.595.9-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.948.998.7+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)44.848.293.0-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)47.450.998.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)49.447.897.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.847.492.2-2.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)47.148.695.7-1.436%-
vs Weaker (6)52.050.3102.3+1.750%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H04/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A05/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A07/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H08/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#29
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H10/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#2
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H14/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A20/03
NBA
104.5Avg total
53.6Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.652.7100.3-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.052.3102.3-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)45.353.198.3-7.827%-
Last 10 (10)53.650.9104.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)51.651.0102.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)48.856.4105.2-7.615%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.749.894.5-5.138%-
vs Weaker (4)53.550.0103.5+3.575%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/15HPortland Trail Blazers108-104
17/03/15HCleveland Cavaliers106-92
13/03/15AToronto Raptors92-102
11/03/15HBrooklyn Nets104-98
09/03/15HBoston Celtics90-100
08/03/15HSacramento Kings114-109 OT
07/03/15AWashington Wizards97-99
05/03/15HLos Angeles Lakers100-94
03/03/15HPhoenix Suns115-98
01/03/15HAtlanta Hawks91-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/15AHouston Rockets108-118
17/03/15AMemphis Grizzlies81-92
15/03/15ANew Orleans Pelicans118-111 OT
14/03/15HGolden State Warriors114-103
12/03/15HAtlanta Hawks115-102
10/03/15HNew York Knicks106-78
08/03/15HHouston Rockets100-114
07/03/15ASan Antonio Spurs111-120
05/03/15AMinnesota Timberwolves100-85
04/03/15HMilwaukee Bucks106-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW46%
HomeWLWWW47%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673433
Win %46%47%45%
Points / game94.996.693.1
Allowed / game97.198.196.1
Point differential-2.2-1.5-3.0
Avg total192.0194.7189.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)60% (10)50% (8)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL38%
HomeWLWWW46%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693534
Win %38%46%29%
Points / game100.3102.997.6
Allowed / game103.9103.0104.7
Point differential-3.5-0.1-7.1
Avg total204.2205.9202.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%26%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)50% (10)20% (5)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors67541381%109.799.5+10.2
2 Atlanta Hawks68531578%102.596.8+5.8
3 Memphis Grizzlies68472169%98.895.4+3.4
4 Houston Rockets68462268%103.3100.0+3.3
5 Portland Trail Blazers67442366%102.897.9+4.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers69442564%106.0100.5+5.5
7 Dallas Mavericks69442564%104.9101.0+3.9
8 Cleveland Cavaliers70442663%103.698.9+4.7
9 San Antonio Spurs67422563%102.498.0+4.4
10 Toronto Raptors68412760%104.5101.3+3.2
11 Chicago Bulls69412859%100.898.8+2.1
12 Washington Wizards68402859%98.697.1+1.6
13 Oklahoma City Thunder68383056%103.1100.5+2.6
14 New Orleans Pelicans68373154%99.398.7+0.6
15 Phoenix Suns69363352%104.1103.8+0.4
16 Milwaukee Bucks68343450%97.596.9+0.6
17 Miami Heat67313646%94.997.1-2.2
18 Utah Jazz68313746%94.794.7+0.0
19 Indiana Pacers67303745%96.496.4-0.0
20 Boston Celtics67303745%101.0101.7-0.8
21 Charlotte Hornets66293744%94.696.9-2.3
22 Brooklyn Nets66273941%96.6100.2-3.6
23 Denver Nuggets69264338%100.3103.9-3.5
24 Detroit Pistons68244435%97.899.7-2.0
25 Sacramento Kings67224533%101.0105.6-4.6
26 Orlando Magic71224931%96.0101.8-5.8
27 Los Angeles Lakers67175025%98.6104.7-6.1
28 Philadelphia 76ers69175225%91.1100.3-9.2
29 Minnesota Timberwolves68155322%97.7105.8-8.0
30 New York Knicks69145520%92.3101.2-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat22372821108
Denver Nuggets2323321391
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