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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 103-107
28-33 20-22 35-26 20-26
Position#24
Record22-32
FormWLLWL
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game103.1
vs
Position#9
Record29-25
FormLLLWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game95.7
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
12 Mar 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
28 Jan 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MIL128
MIA117
18 Jul 2025
MIL92
MIA93
23 Feb 2025
MIL120
MIA113
23 Jan 2025
MIL125
MIA96
13 Feb 2024
MIL97
MIA123
30 Oct 2023
MIL122
MIA114
13 Jul 2023
MIL72
MIA91
26 Apr 2023
MIL126
MIA128
19 Apr 2023
MIL138
MIA122
16 Apr 2023
MIL117
MIA130
24 Feb 2023
MIL128
MIA99
04 Feb 2023
MIL123
MIA115
02 Mar 2022
MIL120
MIA119
04 Dec 2021
MIL124
MIA102
24 May 2021
MIL132
MIA98
22 May 2021
MIL109
MIA107
15 May 2021
MIL122
MIA108
08 Sep 2020
MIL94
MIA103
02 Sep 2020
MIL114
MIA116
31 Aug 2020
MIL104
MIA115
06 Aug 2020
MIL130
MIA116
26 Oct 2019
MIL126
MIA131
22 Mar 2019
MIL116
MIA87
15 Jan 2019
MIL124
MIA86
17 Jan 2018
MIL101
MIA106
08 Feb 2017
MIL88
MIA106
13 Jan 2017
MIL116
MIA108
09 Mar 2016
MIL114
MIA108
29 Jan 2016
MIL103
MIA107
24 Mar 2015
MIL89
MIA88
05 Dec 2014
MIL109
MIA85
29 Mar 2014
MIL67
MIA88
28 Apr 2013
MIL77
MIA88
25 Apr 2013
MIL91
MIA104
15 Mar 2013
MIL94
MIA107
29 Dec 2012
MIL104
MIA85
13 Feb 2012
MIL96
MIA114
01 Feb 2012
MIL105
MIA97
07 Jan 2011
MIL95
MIA101
06 Dec 2010
MIL78
MIA88
26 Mar 2010
MIL74
MIA87
30 Jan 2010
MIL95
MIA84
14 Jan 2009
MIL99
MIA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#23
L
88-100
88
100
-12
A11/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
106-101
106
101
+5
H13/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
101-106
101
106
-5
A14/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
H16/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
105-92
105
92
+13
A17/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A20/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
98-102
98
102
-4
A23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
99-116
99
116
-17
A24/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
107-100
107
100
+7
H27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
83-103
83
103
-20
A29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
17-27
19-31
28-18
20-29
26-22
28-26
32-24
18-29
25-27
31-15
27-35
22-28
24-23
27-25
22-19
19-29
33-19
32-23
21-21
19-18
30-21
26-18
16-22
28-31
17-26
21-22
32-23
23-22
28-30
23-32
25-32
23-30
30-26
29-22
25-22
27-23
14-27
21-26
21-27
198.6Avg total
98.6Scored
100.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)98.4103.1201.5-4.841%
Season at home (23)100.7101.4202.1-0.761%
Season away (31)96.6104.5201.1-7.826%
Last 10 (10)98.6100.0198.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)95.6100.0195.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)98.5103.7202.3-5.240%
vs Similar (13)98.4101.1199.5-2.746%
vs Weaker (2)104.0106.5210.5-2.550%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#17
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
98-95
98
95
+3
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
74-99
74
99
-25
A18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A21/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
81-101
81
101
-20
A23/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
89-84
89
84
+5
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
102-98
102
98
+4
A27/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
20-26
19-27
15-26
25-27
29-29
23-24
26-31
25-17
27-28
17-34
21-25
20-31
26-31
30-16
22-17
18-24
24-20
16-31
16-24
18-19
21-30
18-26
22-16
22-26
15-25
27-30
23-25
20-31
24-29
23-20
14-21
18-23
31-24
12-21
28-16
24-29
27-28
26-16
25-25
187.3Avg total
88.6Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)95.695.7191.2-0.154%
Season at home (28)98.195.8193.8+2.361%
Season away (26)92.895.6188.4-2.746%
Last 10 (10)88.698.7187.3-10.130%
Last 5 (5)87.696.0183.6-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)91.3101.7193.0-10.333%
vs Similar (17)94.896.6191.4-1.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)96.597.0193.5-0.560%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#23
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A11/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H13/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A14/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H16/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A20/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A24/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H27/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A29/01
NBA
97.8Avg total
46.7Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.051.6100.6-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (11)51.548.6100.2+2.955%-
Last 30 away (19)47.653.3100.8-5.721%-
Last 10 (10)46.751.197.8-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)47.850.898.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)48.850.699.4-1.847%-
vs Similar (13)48.352.8101.2-4.515%-
vs Weaker (2)55.550.5106.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#17
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A23/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A27/01
NBA
97.9Avg total
46.3Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.549.297.8-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.249.699.8+0.538%-
Last 30 away (17)47.348.996.2-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)46.351.697.9-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.052.896.8-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.750.399.0-1.70%-
vs Similar (17)48.949.298.1-0.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)47.849.096.8-1.240%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 98.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀68%
🏀🏀🏀12%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.8 pts a game · 68% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers11.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.333.4
48.9%
49.0%66.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.73.8
29.9%
35.3%11.4
🏀 Free throws26.419.9
75.4%
75.5%19.9
They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 12.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 16% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.030.2
48.7%
49.0%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.85.2
31.0%
35.3%15.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
75.5%14.2
They take 78.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLWWWLWL
Miami Heat
WWLLLLWLLL
#24
League position
#9
-0.9
Net rating
-7.9
104.3
Offensive rating
96.5
105.2
Defensive rating
104.4
48.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.9%
3-point %
31.0%
59.4%
Assist %
58.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 96.5Defence105.2 · 104.4Shooting48.3% · 48.2%3-point %29.9% · 31.0%Ball care14.7% · 15.2%Off. rebounds30.0% · 21.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/16AMemphis Grizzlies83-103
27/01/16HOrlando Magic107-100
24/01/16ANew Orleans Pelicans99-116
23/01/16AHouston Rockets98-102
20/01/16AMiami Heat91-79
17/01/16ACharlotte Hornets105-92
16/01/16HAtlanta Hawks108-101 OT
14/01/16AWashington Wizards101-106
13/01/16HChicago Bulls106-101
11/01/16ANew York Knicks88-100
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/16ABrooklyn Nets102-98
26/01/16AChicago Bulls89-84
23/01/16AToronto Raptors81-101
21/01/16AWashington Wizards87-106
20/01/16HMilwaukee Bucks79-91
18/01/16AOklahoma City Thunder74-99
16/01/16ADenver Nuggets98-95
14/01/16ALos Angeles Clippers90-104
12/01/16AGolden State Warriors103-111
10/01/16AUtah Jazz83-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL41%
HomeLWWWW61%
AwayWWLLL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542331
Win %41%61%26%
Points / game98.4100.796.6
Allowed / game103.1101.4104.5
Point differential-4.8-0.7-7.8
Avg total201.5202.1201.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%26%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)71% (7)17% (6)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeLWWLL61%
AwayLLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542826
Win %54%61%46%
Points / game95.698.192.8
Allowed / game95.795.895.6
Point differential-0.1+2.3-2.7
Avg total191.2193.8188.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)78% (9)57% (7)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5345885%113.5102.7+10.8
2 San Antonio Spurs52411179%103.391.2+12.1
3 Oklahoma City Thunder53391474%108.9100.8+8.0
4 Toronto Raptors53361768%100.595.5+5.0
5 Cleveland Cavaliers52341865%100.896.8+4.1
6 Los Angeles Clippers52331963%103.2100.8+2.5
7 Memphis Grizzlies53322160%95.896.6-0.8
8 Boston Celtics53312258%104.199.5+4.5
9 Chicago Bulls53302357%101.5101.2+0.4
10 Atlanta Hawks55312456%100.899.1+1.7
11 Indiana Pacers53292455%102.599.5+2.9
12 Charlotte Hornets54292554%101.499.7+1.6
13 Miami Heat54292554%95.695.7-0.1
14 Detroit Pistons55282751%102.199.7+2.4
15 Houston Rockets56282850%105.1106.4-1.3
16 New York Knicks54262848%99.3100.5-1.2
17 Orlando Magic52252748%99.099.8-0.8
18 Sacramento Kings52252748%105.8106.8-0.9
19 Dallas Mavericks55262947%99.6101.5-1.9
20 Washington Wizards50232746%102.7104.5-1.8
21 Portland Trail Blazers54243044%102.3102.6-0.4
22 Utah Jazz52232944%97.696.9+0.7
23 Denver Nuggets54223241%100.1103.2-3.1
24 Milwaukee Bucks54223241%98.4103.1-4.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans52203238%102.8105.4-2.5
26 Phoenix Suns54183633%101.2106.0-4.8
27 Minnesota Timberwolves54163830%99.1103.8-4.7
28 Brooklyn Nets51143727%95.8102.6-6.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers55114420%96.1106.0-10.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers5494517%94.8104.9-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks28203520103
Miami Heat33222626107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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