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Bayern vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 90-84
27-25 17-32 25-10 21-17
Position#14
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game85.0
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#2
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7· SAP Garden
European cup2025
Meetings · Bayern v Real Madrid
24 Mar 2027
BAY v MAD
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
BAY90
MAD84
03 Oct 2024
BAY97
MAD89
09 Jan 2024
BAY71
MAD92
13 Dec 2022
BAY64
MAD68
05 Nov 2021
BAY76
MAD80
15 Jan 2021
BAY76
MAD81
21 Dec 2018
BAY72
MAD82
11 Dec 2015
BAY67
MAD86
13 Mar 2014
BAY85
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 80
A30/09
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
97-88
97
88
+9
91avg 80
H02/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
90avg 80
H05/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
70-98
70
98
-28
60avg 80
H10/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
100avg 80
H12/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
64-53
64
53
+11
57avg 80
H14/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 80
A16/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#24
W
99-64
99
64
+35
90avg 80
H20/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-96
71
96
-25
64avg 80
H24/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
L
61-67
61
67
-6
56avg 80
A26/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
19-24
20-21
18-19
24-28
26-27
27-16
20-17
30-17
17-18
26-26
23-18
20-26
13-19
24-23
13-30
32-13
20-29
20-21
24-18
16-14
12-19
18-7
18-13
20-14
12-23
14-25
27-26
24-14
22-13
28-18
25-19
15-23
14-24
23-22
19-27
21-20
17-15
14-9
9-23
160.7Avg total
80.6Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.785.0160.7-9.333%
Season at home (4)75.583.8159.2-8.250%
Season away (2)76.087.5163.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)80.680.1160.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)73.673.6147.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.292.2165.5-19.00%
vs Similar (9)78.075.9153.9+2.167%
vs Weaker (16)85.875.6161.4+10.281%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 81
A30/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
89-77
89
77
+12
83avg 81
H02/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
77avg 81
H05/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
85-72
85
72
+13
88avg 81
H09/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
100-105
100
105
-5
93avg 81
A12/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
94avg 81
H15/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
60avg 81
A17/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
84avg 81
H19/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
91-92
91
92
-1
88avg 81
A22/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 81
H26/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
16-24
15-17
18-19
19-29
28-24
17-16
25-8
22-18
22-15
27-23
10-15
27-19
21-18
18-16
19-19
34-18
24-31
23-28
19-28
24-12
28-21
23-23
18-30
25-20
14-23
14-24
22-23
25-20
16-26
27-22
22-12
27-17
21-40
26-19
17-16
21-17
21-18
23-20
22-20
168.1Avg total
85.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.581.8165.3+1.750%
Season at home (3)89.078.3167.3+10.7100%
Season away (3)78.085.3163.3-7.30%
Last 10 (10)85.982.2168.1+3.760%
Last 5 (5)87.284.6171.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar (9)88.083.0171.0+5.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.879.0164.8+6.879%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
BayernReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A30/09
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H10/10
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H12/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H14/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A16/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#24
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H20/10
German Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H24/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/10
BBL
79.9Avg total
39.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.179.9-0.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.741.282.9+0.663%-
Last 30 away (11)36.538.374.8-1.745%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.379.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.870.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.844.077.8-10.20%-
vs Similar (9)38.440.879.2-2.344%-
vs Weaker (16)41.839.681.3+2.275%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H02/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H09/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A12/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H15/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H19/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A22/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/10
ACB
87.8Avg total
45.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.483.3+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.439.883.2+3.565%-
Last 30 away (13)42.441.183.5+1.338%-
Last 10 (10)45.442.487.8+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.887.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (9)44.043.087.0+1.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.838.381.1+4.558%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.5
54.2%
60.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.2
35.1%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.813.4
75.3%
78.2%13.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.3
56.5%
60.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.8
32.2%
35.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.118.3
79.2%
78.2%18.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LLWLWWLWWL
Real Madrid
WLWLWLWWWL
#14
League position
#2
+1.5
Net rating
+5.1
111.3
Offensive rating
114.6
109.7
Defensive rating
109.5
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.1%
3-point %
32.2%
64.8%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 114.6Defence109.7 · 109.5Shooting53.5% · 53.0%3-point %35.1% · 32.2%Ball care17.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds32.1% · 36.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bayern wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
18/04/25Real Madrid v Bayern93-71
03/01/25Real Madrid v Bayern88-76
03/10/24Bayern v Real Madrid97-89
09/01/24Bayern v Real Madrid71-92
14/12/23Real Madrid v Bayern88-73
06/04/23Real Madrid v Bayern79-67
13/12/22Bayern v Real Madrid64-68
08/04/22Real Madrid v Bayern88-97
05/11/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-80
15/01/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-81 OT
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25AAlba Berlin61-67
24/10/25HOlympiacos71-96
20/10/25HBasketball Braunschweig99-64
16/10/25AFenerbahce73-88
14/10/25HOlimpia Milano64-53
12/10/25HBamberg96-81
10/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas70-98
05/10/25HHamburg96-79
02/10/25HCrvena zvezda97-88
30/09/25APanathinaikos79-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HManresa87-75
22/10/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv91-92
19/10/25HSan Pablo Burgos90-80
17/10/25ACrvena zvezda75-90
15/10/25HPartizan93-86
12/10/25ABaskonia100-105
09/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne85-72
05/10/25HGran Canaria81-71
02/10/25HOlympiacos89-77
30/09/25AVirtus Bologna68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game75.775.576.0
Allowed / game85.083.887.5
Point differential-9.3-8.2-11.5
Avg total160.7159.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.589.078.0
Allowed / game81.878.385.3
Point differential+1.7+10.7-7.3
Avg total165.3167.3163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv65183%92.388.2+4.2
2 Zalgiris Kaunas75271%86.078.6+7.4
3 Crvena zvezda75271%86.180.1+6.0
4 Olympiacos64267%89.083.2+5.8
5 Paris64267%93.788.0+5.7
6 Panathinaikos64267%88.387.3+1.0
7 Virtus Bologna74357%81.682.6-1.0
8 Monaco63350%84.882.5+2.3
9 Fenerbahce63350%82.380.3+2.0
10 Real Madrid63350%83.581.8+1.7
11 Barcelona63350%90.290.5-0.3
12 Valencia63350%94.294.8-0.7
13 Dubai63350%82.082.8-0.8
14 Partizan63350%84.887.8-3.0
15 Olimpia Milano62433%81.881.5+0.3
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv62433%88.792.3-3.7
17 Anadolu Efes62433%80.885.0-4.2
18 Bayern62433%75.785.0-9.3
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne72529%81.385.6-4.3
20 Baskonia6060%85.596.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2717252190
Real Madrid2532101784
← all games of the day
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