Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	87.6	77.9	165.6	+9.7	79%
Season at home (20)	91.5	75.8	167.3	+15.8	95%
Season away (18)	83.3	80.4	163.7	+2.9	61%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	79.6	165.1	+5.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	77.2	161.2	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	73.0	77.0	150.0	-4.0	57%
vs Weaker (23)	89.3	78.8	168.1	+10.6	83%

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValencia

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

84-89

-5

no box

A07/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#11

87-68

+19

no box

A10/05

ACB

Murcia

67-70

-3

no box

H14/05

ACB

Barcelona

83-61

+22

no box

H20/05

ACB

Barcelona

79-91

-12

no box

A25/05

ACB

Barcelona

67-64

no box

H27/05

ACB

Baskonia

83-82

no box

A30/05

ACB

Baskonia

70-90

-20

no box

A01/06

ACB

Baskonia

75-69

no box

H03/06

ACB

Baskonia

85-77

no box

H05/06

ACB

24-23

11-17

23-29

26-20

22-17

20-18

21-22

24-11

13-22

14-12

26-15

14-21

15-15

26-11

22-15

20-20

19-20

13-29

27-24

20-18

19-14

12-12

18-21

18-17

21-22

12-19

25-23

25-18

16-21

25-25

16-20

13-24

23-14

11-23

27-16

14-16

23-17

20-15

19-20

23-25

154.1Avg total

78.0Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	81.6	75.2	156.7	+6.4	72%
Season at home (20)	83.0	71.0	154.0	+12.1	90%
Season away (19)	80.0	79.6	159.6	+0.4	53%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	76.1	154.1	+1.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	76.4	152.4	-0.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	78.4	77.1	155.5	+1.3	67%
vs Weaker (15)	79.7	75.4	155.1	+4.3	60%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	19.3	41.1	+2.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.1	14%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.1	18.4	41.5	+4.7	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	17.4	36.8	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.5	17.7	35.2	-0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.3	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.3	17.2	38.5	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.4	39.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.7	18.1	36.9	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (23)	21.5	18.7	40.3	+2.8	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	16.2	35.4	+3.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	18.1	34.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.8	34.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.1	18.7	38.9	+1.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.4	17.3	35.7	+1.1	53%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

#13

44-32

+12

H11/05

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

46-30

+16

A14/05

ACB

Fenerbahce

34-44

-10

A19/05

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

32-45

-13

H21/05

Euroleague

MoraBanc Andorra

52-38

+14

H24/05

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

39-35

A26/05

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

46-39

H28/05

ACB

Unicaja

38-34

H31/05

ACB

Unicaja

57-33

+24

H02/06

ACB

Unicaja

31-33

-2

A04/06

ACB

78.2Avg total

41.9Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	37.6	80.4	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.1	36.5	79.6	+6.5	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.3	39.1	81.4	+3.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	36.3	78.2	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	34.8	77.0	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	36.6	39.1	75.7	-2.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (23)	44.6	37.2	81.8	+7.4	78%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

35-40

-5

A07/05

ACB

Estudiantes

#11

42-35

A10/05

ACB

Murcia

27-34

-7

H14/05

ACB

Barcelona

41-26

+15

H20/05

ACB

Barcelona

32-49

-17

A25/05

ACB

Barcelona

31-26

H27/05

ACB

Baskonia

33-41

-8

A30/05

ACB

Baskonia

41-46

-5

A01/06

ACB

Baskonia

34-37

-3

H03/06

ACB

Baskonia

43-32

+11

H05/06

ACB

72.5Avg total

35.9Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	36.1	73.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	33.6	72.2	+4.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	38.9	74.9	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	36.6	72.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	36.4	72.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.7	36.4	74.1	+1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (15)	37.1	35.7	72.9	+1.4	53%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.5	42.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	21.5	43.1	+0.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.9	44.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.0	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	22.5	44.9	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.5	42.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.1	19.1	42.3	+4.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.9	40.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.1	19.6	36.7	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (23)	21.0	20.0	41.1	+1.0	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.1	39.2	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.1	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	40.4	82.9	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.7	38.6	82.3	+5.1	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.8	42.8	83.6	-2.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	42.4	84.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	42.4	84.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (7)	36.4	37.9	74.3	-1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (23)	44.3	41.2	85.5	+3.0	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	40.2	81.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	37.3	78.5	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.2	43.4	85.6	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	39.5	81.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	40.0	79.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.7	40.7	81.4	+0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.6	39.7	82.3	+2.9	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 80.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 90.0 points a game

42%

38%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.3	54.5%	50.6%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	9.1	37.1%	41.6%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.2	74.7%	74.8%	14.2

They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 75.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 90.0 points a game

42%

38%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	20.0	54.8%	50.6%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	9.0	37.5%	41.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	11.5	8.5	73.9%	74.8%	8.5

They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	18.1	49.3%	50.6%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	8.5	35.6%	41.6%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.9	76.0%	74.8%	14.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	20.0	56.3%	50.6%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.0	34.0%	41.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	5.0	4.0	80.0%	74.8%	4.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	20.0	54.6%	50.6%	40.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.9	38.3%	41.6%	29.8
🏀 Free throws	17.5	13.5	77.2%	74.8%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	19.2	49.3%	50.6%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	8.2	36.2%	41.6%	24.7
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.3	76.6%	74.8%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	20.0	56.3%	50.6%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.0	34.0%	41.6%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	5.0	4.0	80.0%	74.8%	4.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 09 Jun 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WWWWLWLLWW

Valencia

WWLWWLWLWL

League position

+4.9

Net rating

+6.9

111.5

Offensive rating

115.0

106.6

Defensive rating

108.2

55.0%

Effective FG%

55.4%

50.9%

Opp. effective FG%

54.0%

17.0%

Turnover %

14.5%

29.0%

Off. rebound %

29.2%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.19

37.1%

3-point %

37.5%

63.4%

Assist %

58.6%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Valencia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
19/02/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	97-95
22/01/17	Real Madrid v Valencia	85-71
06/10/16	Valencia v Real Madrid	75-94
09/06/16	Valencia v Real Madrid	80-82
07/06/16	Valencia v Real Madrid	87-86 OT
04/06/16	Real Madrid v Valencia	97-88
02/06/16	Real Madrid v Valencia	82-57
28/02/16	Valencia v Real Madrid	94-95
11/10/15	Real Madrid v Valencia	82-88
11/06/15	Valencia v Real Madrid	84-90

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/06/17	A	Unicaja	76-73
02/06/17	H	Unicaja	101-72
31/05/17	H	Unicaja	71-68
28/05/17	H	MoraBanc Andorra	95-84
26/05/17	A	MoraBanc Andorra	77-89
24/05/17	H	MoraBanc Andorra	107-76
21/05/17	H	CSKA Moscow	70-94
19/05/17	A	Fenerbahce	75-84
14/05/17	A	MoraBanc Andorra	88-86 OT
11/05/17	H	Joventut Badalona	95-70

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/06/17	H	Baskonia	85-77
03/06/17	H	Baskonia	75-69
01/06/17	A	Baskonia	70-90
30/05/17	A	Baskonia	83-82
27/05/17	H	Barcelona	67-64
25/05/17	A	Barcelona	79-91
20/05/17	H	Barcelona	83-61
14/05/17	H	Murcia	67-70
10/05/17	A	Estudiantes	87-68
07/05/17	A	MoraBanc Andorra	84-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	79%
Home	WWWWW	95%
Away	WWWLW	61%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	20	18
Win %	79%	95%	61%
Points / game	87.6	91.5	83.3
Allowed / game	77.9	75.8	80.4
Point differential	+9.7	+15.8	+2.9
Avg total	165.6	167.3	163.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	65%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (10)	100% (4)	67% (6)
Overtime %	5%	5%	6%

Valencia

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	72%
Home	LWWWW	90%
Away	LWLWL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	20	19
Win %	72%	90%	53%
Points / game	81.6	83.0	80.0
Allowed / game	75.2	71.0	79.6
Point differential	+6.4	+12.1	+0.4
Avg total	156.7	154.0	159.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	50%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (12)	80% (5)	57% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	38	30	8	79%	87.6	77.9	+9.7
2	Valencia	39	28	11	72%	81.6	75.2	+6.4
3	Baskonia	39	26	13	67%	83.0	76.5	+6.6
4	Barcelona	35	23	12	66%	81.3	75.9	+5.5
5	Tenerife	35	23	12	66%	76.1	71.3	+4.9
6	Unicaja	38	24	14	63%	81.3	77.4	+3.9
7	Gran Canaria	35	22	13	63%	83.8	76.0	+7.8
8	MoraBanc Andorra	35	17	18	49%	81.7	84.7	-3.0
9	Murcia	32	14	18	44%	79.9	80.2	-0.2
10	Bilbao	32	14	18	44%	77.2	80.5	-3.3
11	Estudiantes	32	13	19	41%	81.6	83.4	-1.8
12	Fuenlabrada	32	12	20	38%	76.9	84.8	-7.9
13	Joventut Badalona	32	11	21	34%	76.1	79.3	-3.2
14	Obradoiro CAB	32	11	21	34%	76.2	82.1	-5.8
15	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	32	9	23	28%	79.2	84.7	-5.5
16	Real Betis	32	9	23	28%	76.0	83.8	-7.8
17	Manresa	32	5	27	16%	74.2	87.0	-12.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	21	22	22	22	87
Valencia	21	22	16	22	81

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Real Madrid vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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