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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jun 2017
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-64
11-16 25-19 23-16 22-13
Position#2
Record29-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#1
Record31-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game78.2
SpainACBACB - Final
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H20/05
ACB
Barcelona
#4
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A25/05
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A30/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
70-90
70
90
-20
A01/06
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H03/06
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H05/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A09/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A11/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
14-12
26-15
14-21
15-15
26-11
22-15
20-20
19-20
13-29
27-24
20-18
19-14
12-12
18-21
18-17
21-22
12-19
25-23
25-18
16-21
25-25
16-20
13-24
23-14
11-23
27-16
14-16
23-17
20-15
19-20
23-25
21-21
22-22
16-22
22-22
28-22
15-19
18-23
25-15
154.6Avg total
77.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)81.775.6157.2+6.171%
Season at home (20)83.071.0154.0+12.190%
Season away (21)80.380.0160.3+0.452%
Last 10 (10)77.677.0154.6+0.660%
Last 5 (5)79.480.4159.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.076.6154.6+1.469%
vs Weaker (14)79.975.6155.6+4.357%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A19/05
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
H21/05
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
107-76
107
76
+31
H24/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A26/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H28/05
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H31/05
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
101-72
101
72
+29
H02/06
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A04/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H09/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H11/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
21-23
16-19
25-21
10-23
22-22
24-24
14-25
25-19
27-19
29-18
26-20
16-16
23-19
20-34
18-20
27-18
19-21
23-27
26-18
20-16
18-18
14-16
19-18
27-23
30-10
22-16
22-23
11-14
20-19
20-19
25-21
21-21
22-22
22-16
22-22
22-28
19-15
23-18
15-25
164.5Avg total
83.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)87.478.2165.6+9.278%
Season at home (22)90.876.5167.2+14.391%
Season away (18)83.380.4163.7+2.961%
Last 10 (10)83.880.7164.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)82.876.0158.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.678.9155.5-2.262%
vs Weaker (22)89.079.3168.2+9.782%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H20/05
ACB
Barcelona
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A25/05
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H27/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A30/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A01/06
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/06
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A09/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A11/06
ACB
74.3Avg total
36.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.173.9+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.333.472.7+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)36.438.775.1-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.837.574.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.880.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.936.474.3+1.450%-
vs Weaker (14)37.835.673.4+2.157%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/05
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H21/05
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H24/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A26/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H28/05
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H31/05
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H02/06
ACB
Unicaja
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A04/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/06
ACB
80.0Avg total
41.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.237.679.8+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.836.878.7+5.067%-
Last 30 away (12)42.838.881.5+4.058%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.780.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.279.2+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.939.677.5-1.825%-
vs Weaker (22)43.836.980.6+6.977%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.8 points a game
42%
38%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.0
54.8%
50.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.0
37.5%
41.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws11.58.5
73.9%
74.8%8.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.8 points a game
42%
38%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.3
54.5%
50.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.1
37.1%
41.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
74.8%14.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 14 Jun 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWWLWWLWL
Real Madrid
LWWWWWLWLL
#2
League position
#1
+6.9
Net rating
+4.9
115.0
Offensive rating
111.5
108.2
Defensive rating
106.6
55.4%
Effective FG%
55.0%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.5%
3-point %
37.1%
58.6%
Assist %
63.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 111.5Defence108.2 · 106.6Shooting55.4% · 55.0%3-point %37.5% · 37.1%Ball care14.5% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.2% · 29.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
8
Real Madrid wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/06/17AReal Madrid86-79
09/06/17AReal Madrid81-87
05/06/17HBaskonia85-77
03/06/17HBaskonia75-69
01/06/17ABaskonia70-90
30/05/17ABaskonia83-82
27/05/17HBarcelona67-64
25/05/17ABarcelona79-91
20/05/17HBarcelona83-61
14/05/17HMurcia67-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/06/17HValencia79-86
09/06/17HValencia87-81
04/06/17AUnicaja76-73
02/06/17HUnicaja101-72
31/05/17HUnicaja71-68
28/05/17HMoraBanc Andorra95-84
26/05/17AMoraBanc Andorra77-89
24/05/17HMoraBanc Andorra107-76
21/05/17HCSKA Moscow70-94
19/05/17AFenerbahce75-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayLWLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %71%90%52%
Points / game81.783.080.3
Allowed / game75.671.080.0
Point differential+6.1+12.1+0.4
Avg total157.2154.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)80% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWL91%
AwayWWWLW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402218
Win %78%91%61%
Points / game87.490.883.3
Allowed / game78.276.580.4
Point differential+9.2+14.3+2.9
Avg total165.6167.2163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%59%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)100% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid4031978%87.478.2+9.2
2 Valencia41291271%81.775.6+6.1
3 Baskonia39261367%83.076.5+6.6
4 Barcelona35231266%81.375.9+5.5
5 Tenerife35231266%76.171.3+4.9
6 Unicaja38241463%81.377.4+3.9
7 Gran Canaria35221363%83.876.0+7.8
8 MoraBanc Andorra35171849%81.784.7-3.0
9 Murcia32141844%79.980.2-0.2
10 Bilbao32141844%77.280.5-3.3
11 Estudiantes32131941%81.683.4-1.8
12 Fuenlabrada32122038%76.984.8-7.9
13 Joventut Badalona32112134%76.179.3-3.2
14 Obradoiro CAB32112134%76.282.1-5.8
15 Tecnyconta Zaragoza3292328%79.284.7-5.5
16 Real Betis3292328%76.083.8-7.8
17 Manresa3252716%74.287.0-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1125232281
Real Madrid1619161364
← all games of the day
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