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Cremona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 79-87
17-22 22-17 24-18 16-30
Position#12
Record5-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record2-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game87.9
ItalyLega ARound 10· PalaRadi
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Cremona v Varese
08 Dec 2025
CRE79
VAR87
08 Dec 2024
CRE78
VAR60
28 Jan 2024
CRE82
VAR83
17 Oct 2021
CRE94
VAR78
06 Sep 2021
CRE80
VAR70
17 Oct 2020
CRE80
VAR67
21 Dec 2019
CRE93
VAR72
14 Feb 2019
CRE82
VAR73
18 Nov 2018
CRE79
VAR82
07 Jan 2018
CRE80
VAR72
02 Jan 2017
CRE85
VAR71
16 Apr 2016
CRE70
VAR79
30 Nov 2014
CRE64
VAR53
29 Dec 2013
CRE75
VAR94
21 Apr 2013
CRE88
VAR92
08 Jan 2012
CRE69
VAR61
21 Nov 2010
CRE103
VAR79
16 Jan 2010
CRE78
VAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
94-99
94
99
-5
89avg 75
H11/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 75
A05/10
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
69avg 75
H12/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
86-69
86
69
+17
81avg 75
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
87avg 75
H26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
83-91
83
91
-8
66avg 75
A02/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 75
H06/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
90-96
90
96
-6
83avg 75
A09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
113-94
113
94
+19
110avg 75
H15/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A21/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
24-26
21-19
27-28
13-25
25-11
16-17
21-29
9-13
25-24
19-19
26-19
19-23
22-7
32-20
13-19
28-30
26-12
19-15
23-22
24-23
20-24
18-22
21-22
17-24
28-20
24-22
23-17
28-22
20-28
23-26
19-20
27-22
23-24
35-23
28-25
21-23
19-14
14-22
18-24
173.1Avg total
88.0Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.383.6170.9+3.856%
Season at home (4)95.082.8177.8+12.2100%
Season away (5)81.284.2165.4-3.020%
Last 10 (10)88.085.1173.1+2.950%
Last 5 (5)90.089.4179.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.088.4167.4-9.419%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.882.6170.5+5.269%
vs Weaker (1)89.065.0154.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
49avg 73
A11/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
105-102
105
102
+3
100avg 73
A05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 73
H11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
79-103
79
103
-24
68avg 73
A19/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
74-85
74
85
-11
71avg 73
H25/10
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 73
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
77avg 73
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 73
A09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 73
H16/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
59-66
59
66
-7
44avg 73
H23/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
20-23
14-18
9-22
27-24
27-25
28-29
23-24
17-28
15-22
20-24
9-20
22-28
22-28
18-20
17-27
22-17
18-24
18-21
16-23
23-25
16-21
18-19
18-21
23-16
12-23
19-14
23-30
23-23
25-17
24-31
15-19
18-21
25-19
27-17
21-25
17-21
10-18
9-13
23-14
164.6Avg total
77.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.787.9166.6-9.222%
Season at home (5)72.482.0154.4-9.620%
Season away (4)86.595.2181.8-8.825%
Last 10 (10)77.287.4164.6-10.220%
Last 5 (5)77.881.4159.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)80.492.8173.2-12.425%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.186.6171.7-1.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -5.1-5.1
CremonaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H11/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/10
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A02/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H15/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/11
Lega A
86.1Avg total
44.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.382.6-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.342.987.2+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)38.739.978.6-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)44.042.186.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.444.890.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.442.281.6-2.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.240.883.9+2.469%-
vs Weaker (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/05
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A19/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H23/11
Lega A
84.6Avg total
40.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.285.4-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.340.480.7-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)44.245.990.1-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.344.384.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.879.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)41.945.387.2-3.435%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.038.981.9+4.170%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.2
55.2%
54.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.612.0
36.8%
34.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
76.1%12.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.8
50.1%
54.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.2
32.4%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.012.1
75.6%
76.1%12.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWLWLWWWLL
Varese
LWLLLLLLWL
#12
League position
#8
+8.2
Net rating
-12.9
116.4
Offensive rating
97.5
108.3
Defensive rating
110.4
55.2%
Effective FG%
49.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
19.3%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.8%
3-point %
32.4%
54.3%
Assist %
65.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 97.5Defence108.3 · 110.4Shooting55.2% · 49.4%3-point %36.8% · 32.4%Ball care15.2% · 19.3%Off. rebounds31.8% · 23.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Cremona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cremona wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Varese v Cremona85-87 OT
08/12/24Cremona v Varese78-60
28/01/24Cremona v Varese82-83
03/12/23Varese v Cremona68-75
06/03/22Varese v Cremona90-78
17/10/21Cremona v Varese94-78
12/09/21Varese v Cremona86-78
06/09/21Cremona v Varese80-70
07/02/21Varese v Cremona110-105 OT
17/10/20Cremona v Varese80-67
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25ABrescia72-83
15/11/25HTrieste113-94
09/11/25ATrapani90-96
06/11/25HTrento92-83
02/11/25ACantu83-91
26/10/25HTreviso96-79
20/10/25AVirtus Bologna86-69
12/10/25HSassari79-75
05/10/25AVenezia75-82
11/05/25HTortona94-99
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HUdine59-66
16/11/25HCantu91-82
09/11/25ATortona87-90
04/11/25HVirtus Bologna77-83
02/11/25AVenezia75-86
25/10/25HTrento74-85
19/10/25AReggiana79-103
11/10/25HOlimpia Milano61-94
05/10/25ASassari105-102
11/05/25AVenezia64-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%100%20%
Points / game87.395.081.2
Allowed / game83.682.884.2
Point differential+3.8+12.2-3.0
Avg total170.9177.8165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL22%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game78.772.486.5
Allowed / game87.982.095.2
Point differential-9.2-9.6-8.8
Avg total166.6154.4181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia109190%89.180.4+8.7
2 Trapani109190%91.485.2+6.2
3 Virtus Bologna98189%89.079.9+9.1
4 Venezia108280%93.185.3+7.8
5 Tortona96367%89.688.6+1.0
6 Olimpia Milano106460%87.077.9+9.1
7 Cremona95456%87.383.6+3.8
8 Trieste105550%86.291.6-5.4
9 Trento104640%85.882.8+3.0
10 Basket Napoli104640%83.686.4-2.8
11 Udine103730%80.280.9-0.7
12 Sassari103730%81.586.5-5.0
13 Cantu103730%82.892.1-9.3
14 Varese92722%78.787.9-9.2
15 Reggiana102820%81.286.0-4.8
16 Treviso101910%83.494.4-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1722241679
Varese2217183087
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