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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Feb 2010
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 107-102
27-26 26-25 21-23 33-28
Position#7
Record36-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game99.1
Allowed / game93.1
vs
Position#14
Record26-27
FormLLWLL
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game95.9
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
13 Jul 2024
BOS114
MIA119
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
08 Jul 2023
BOS88
MIA99
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
14 Jul 2018
BOS74
MIA72
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
14 Jul 2015
BOS101
MIA69
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
05 Jul 2014
BOS85
MIA77
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
111-87
111
87
+24
A14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#16
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H15/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#4
L
90-99
90
99
-9
H19/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H26/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#1
L
94-96
94
96
-2
A29/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
91-100
91
100
-9
A30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H31/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
99-88
99
88
+11
A02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-22
33-13
19-29
21-23
18-29
21-18
24-23
20-26
25-20
25-21
18-34
22-24
30-21
26-27
13-21
17-23
30-25
25-25
19-19
17-22
17-19
26-25
21-15
31-30
34-23
17-17
21-21
22-35
22-23
19-30
32-21
18-26
19-30
33-17
21-19
16-24
24-23
24-31
26-24
25-10
186.8Avg total
93.6Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)99.193.1192.2+6.068%
Season at home (24)99.793.2192.9+6.567%
Season away (29)98.693.0191.6+5.769%
Last 10 (10)93.693.2186.8+0.440%
Last 5 (5)93.692.6186.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.086.5176.5+3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)96.395.0191.3+1.354%
vs Weaker (15)101.595.5197.0+5.967%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
80-98
80
98
-18
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
113-83
113
83
+30
H20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
L
65-104
65
104
-39
A21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
112-88
112
88
+24
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
115-84
115
84
+31
H24/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
92-65
92
65
+27
A30/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
81-97
81
97
-16
H02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
26-26
22-29
13-14
36-19
26-24
23-15
28-25
17-38
17-23
19-26
12-17
32-15
25-27
28-22
27-24
33-25
32-20
24-16
26-23
34-24
20-26
15-17
22-25
34-23
26-34
21-28
22-26
26-23
21-13
24-12
21-17
21-23
17-33
20-15
26-24
17-21
21-33
21-22
22-21
185.3Avg total
93.6Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)96.595.9192.4+0.549%
Season at home (29)96.492.9189.3+3.652%
Season away (24)96.599.6196.2-3.146%
Last 10 (10)93.691.7185.3+1.940%
Last 5 (5)90.292.0182.2-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)104.086.0190.0+18.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)93.2101.4194.6-8.326%
vs Weaker (10)104.488.0192.4+16.480%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
71-35
71
35
+36
A14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#16
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H15/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#22
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H26/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#1
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A29/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H31/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A02/02
NBA
96.5Avg total
50.6Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.646.799.3+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (11)51.146.597.5+4.673%-
Last 30 away (19)53.546.8100.4+6.779%-
Last 10 (10)50.645.996.5+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)47.047.694.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.533.578.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)52.147.299.3+4.885%-
vs Weaker (15)54.248.0102.2+6.267%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#17
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H24/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A30/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H02/02
NBA
99.9Avg total
50.0Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.349.099.3+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.147.199.3+5.064%-
Last 30 away (16)48.750.699.2-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)50.049.999.9+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.450.698.0-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.044.0103.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)48.451.9100.3-3.542%-
vs Weaker (10)53.043.996.9+9.180%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boston Celtics wins
1
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/10AWashington Wizards99-88
31/01/10HLos Angeles Lakers89-90
30/01/10AAtlanta Hawks91-100
29/01/10AOrlando Magic94-96
26/01/10HLos Angeles Clippers95-89
23/01/10HPortland Trail Blazers98-95 OT
21/01/10ADetroit Pistons86-92
19/01/10HDallas Mavericks90-99
15/01/10HChicago Bulls83-96
14/01/10ABrooklyn Nets111-87
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/10HMilwaukee Bucks81-97
31/01/10AMilwaukee Bucks84-95
30/01/10ADetroit Pistons92-65
28/01/10AToronto Raptors103-111
26/01/10HCleveland Cavaliers91-92
24/01/10HSacramento Kings115-84
23/01/10AWashington Wizards112-88
21/01/10ACharlotte Hornets65-104
20/01/10HIndiana Pacers113-83
17/01/10AOklahoma City Thunder80-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW68%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayWLLLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532429
Win %68%67%69%
Points / game99.199.798.6
Allowed / game93.193.293.0
Point differential+6.0+6.5+5.7
Avg total192.2192.9191.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%38%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)40% (5)56% (9)
Overtime %6%4%7%
Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL49%
HomeLWWLL52%
AwayLWLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532924
Win %49%52%46%
Points / game96.596.496.5
Allowed / game95.992.999.6
Point differential+0.5+3.6-3.1
Avg total192.4189.3196.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%34%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %2%3%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers56421475%103.397.2+6.1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers56411573%100.393.9+6.4
3 Orlando Magic55391671%102.195.0+7.1
4 Boston Celtics53361768%99.193.1+6.0
5 Denver Nuggets53361768%107.5101.8+5.6
6 Atlanta Hawks54351965%101.997.6+4.3
7 Dallas Mavericks54351965%100.798.1+2.6
8 Utah Jazz52331963%101.897.1+4.7
9 San Antonio Spurs51302159%101.296.5+4.6
10 Phoenix Suns57322556%109.8108.4+1.5
11 Portland Trail Blazers56312555%98.095.4+2.6
12 Oklahoma City Thunder54292554%97.996.4+1.5
13 Houston Rockets54282652%101.5101.1+0.4
14 Memphis Grizzlies54282652%102.5103.2-0.7
15 New Orleans Pelicans54282652%98.8101.1-2.3
16 Toronto Raptors56292752%103.7105.0-1.3
17 Chicago Bulls53272651%95.197.0-1.9
18 Miami Heat53262749%96.595.9+0.5
19 Los Angeles Clippers55262947%96.499.0-2.6
20 Charlotte Hornets53252847%94.994.5+0.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks53242945%97.797.5+0.1
22 New York Knicks53223142%100.1102.2-2.1
23 Philadelphia 76ers54203437%97.699.8-2.2
24 Indiana Pacers54193535%99.9105.5-5.6
25 Sacramento Kings52183435%101.4105.1-3.7
26 Washington Wizards55193635%97.5102.2-4.7
27 Detroit Pistons53183534%92.497.8-5.4
28 Golden State Warriors53163730%107.5110.6-3.1
29 Minnesota Timberwolves56134323%97.7106.5-8.8
30 Brooklyn Nets545499%90.4100.7-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics27262133107
Miami Heat26252328102
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