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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Feb 2010
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 81-97
17-21 21-33 21-22 22-21
Position#13
Record24-23
FormWLLWL
Points / game97.1
Allowed / game96.4
vs
Position#14
Record20-25
FormLWLWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game98.8
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Feb 2027
MIA v MIL
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
MIA v MIL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MIA112
MIL105
26 Nov 2025
MIA106
MIL103
05 Apr 2025
MIA115
MIL121
26 Nov 2024
MIA103
MIL106
28 Nov 2023
MIA124
MIL131
24 Apr 2023
MIA119
MIL114
22 Apr 2023
MIA121
MIL99
14 Jan 2023
MIA111
MIL95
12 Jan 2023
MIA108
MIL102
08 Dec 2021
MIA113
MIL104
21 Oct 2021
MIA137
MIL95
29 May 2021
MIA103
MIL120
27 May 2021
MIA84
MIL113
30 Dec 2020
MIA119
MIL108
29 Dec 2020
MIA97
MIL144
06 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL118
04 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL100
02 Mar 2020
MIA105
MIL89
15 Mar 2019
MIA98
MIL113
22 Dec 2018
MIA94
MIL87
09 Feb 2018
MIA91
MIL85
14 Jan 2018
MIA97
MIL79
21 Jan 2017
MIA109
MIL97
17 Nov 2016
MIA96
MIL73
19 Jan 2016
MIA79
MIL91
27 Jan 2015
MIA102
MIL109
16 Nov 2014
MIA84
MIL91
02 Apr 2014
MIA96
MIL77
12 Nov 2013
MIA118
MIL95
23 Apr 2013
MIA98
MIL86
21 Apr 2013
MIA110
MIL87
09 Apr 2013
MIA94
MIL83
21 Nov 2012
MIA113
MIL106
22 Jan 2012
MIA82
MIL91
06 Apr 2011
MIA85
MIL90
04 Jan 2011
MIA101
MIL89
27 Feb 2010
MIA71
MIL94
01 Feb 2010
MIA81
MIL97
28 Mar 2009
MIA102
MIL85
15 Dec 2008
MIA83
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#15
W
115-106
115
106
+9
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
80-98
80
98
-18
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
113-83
113
83
+30
H20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
65-104
65
104
-39
A21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
112-88
112
88
+24
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
115-84
115
84
+31
H24/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
92-65
92
65
+27
A30/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
35-24
29-24
24-29
19-29
26-26
22-29
13-14
36-19
26-24
23-15
28-25
17-38
17-23
19-26
12-17
32-15
25-27
28-22
27-24
33-25
32-20
24-16
26-23
34-24
20-26
15-17
22-25
34-23
26-34
21-28
22-26
26-23
21-13
24-12
21-17
21-23
17-33
20-15
26-24
189.6Avg total
97.0Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)97.196.4193.6+0.751%
Season at home (24)97.593.2190.7+4.354%
Season away (23)96.899.8196.6-3.048%
Last 10 (10)97.092.6189.6+4.450%
Last 5 (5)97.089.4186.4+7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)97.589.0186.5+8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)94.1102.9197.0-8.828%
vs Weaker (10)104.488.0192.4+16.480%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
108-120
108
120
-12
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
113-104
113
104
+9
A16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
L
95-112
95
112
-17
A17/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
98-101 OT
98
101
-3
A18/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
113-107
113
107
+6
H21/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
96-101
96
101
-5
A23/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
127-94
127
94
+33
H24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
L
107-108
107
108
-1
A27/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H28/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
30-35
25-31
37-23
21-23
27-33
36-23
29-25
20-31
27-29
24-29
24-23
34-27
17-31
22-21
18-12
22-24
27-32
32-22
32-29
25-28
32-20
16-20
23-33
32-23
23-22
30-22
42-27
27-28
26-31
24-24
30-25
20-19
28-27
24-23
19-19
23-21
33-17
15-20
24-26
206.2Avg total
104.3Scored
101.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)98.698.8197.4-0.344%
Season at home (22)103.298.5201.7+4.668%
Season away (23)94.299.1193.3-5.022%
Last 10 (10)104.3101.9206.2+2.450%
Last 5 (5)103.295.0198.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.7101.0187.7-14.30%
vs Similar ◀ (18)99.4101.5200.9-2.139%
vs Weaker (9)100.395.2195.6+5.156%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#15
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H24/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A30/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A31/01
NBA
102.2Avg total
52.4Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.449.199.5+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.246.699.8+6.669%-
Last 30 away (17)48.351.099.3-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)52.449.8102.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)52.848.8101.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.547.0103.5+9.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)48.352.2100.6-3.939%-
vs Weaker (10)53.043.996.9+9.180%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A17/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A18/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H21/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A23/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A27/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H31/01
NBA
104.2Avg total
51.0Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.449.997.3-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.147.695.7+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)46.851.998.7-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)51.053.2104.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.847.2101.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.746.790.3-3.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)46.650.496.9-3.833%-
vs Weaker (9)50.350.0100.3+0.356%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Miami Heat wins
2
Milwaukee Bucks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/10AMilwaukee Bucks84-95
30/01/10ADetroit Pistons92-65
28/01/10AToronto Raptors103-111
26/01/10HCleveland Cavaliers91-92
24/01/10HSacramento Kings115-84
23/01/10AWashington Wizards112-88
21/01/10ACharlotte Hornets65-104
20/01/10HIndiana Pacers113-83
17/01/10AOklahoma City Thunder80-98
16/01/10AHouston Rockets115-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/10HMiami Heat95-84
28/01/10HPhiladelphia 76ers91-88
27/01/10ADallas Mavericks107-108
24/01/10HMinnesota Timberwolves127-94
23/01/10AToronto Raptors96-101
21/01/10HToronto Raptors113-107
18/01/10AHouston Rockets98-101 OT
17/01/10AUtah Jazz95-112
16/01/10AGolden State Warriors113-104
14/01/10APortland Trail Blazers108-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL51%
HomeWLWWL54%
AwayLWLWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472423
Win %51%54%48%
Points / game97.197.596.8
Allowed / game96.493.299.8
Point differential+0.7+4.3-3.0
Avg total193.6190.7196.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %44%68%22%
Points / game98.6103.294.2
Allowed / game98.898.599.1
Point differential-0.3+4.6-5.0
Avg total197.4201.7193.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (18)50% (8)20% (10)
Overtime %13%18%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers49381178%101.093.9+7.0
2 Los Angeles Lakers48371177%103.696.6+7.0
3 Denver Nuggets47321568%106.9101.4+5.4
4 Orlando Magic48321667%100.995.8+5.1
5 Boston Celtics46301665%99.193.7+5.5
6 Atlanta Hawks46301665%102.297.3+4.9
7 Dallas Mavericks47301764%100.898.1+2.7
8 Utah Jazz46281861%101.897.3+4.5
9 San Antonio Spurs46271959%100.896.2+4.7
10 Portland Trail Blazers49282157%97.995.1+2.8
11 Phoenix Suns49282157%110.0107.9+2.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder47262155%98.395.7+2.7
13 New Orleans Pelicans47262155%99.9100.9-1.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies46252154%103.5103.5+0.0
15 Toronto Raptors48262254%104.1104.8-0.7
16 Houston Rockets47252253%100.9100.9+0.0
17 Charlotte Hornets46242252%95.493.8+1.5
18 Chicago Bulls45232251%95.697.9-2.4
19 Miami Heat47242351%97.196.4+0.7
20 Milwaukee Bucks45202544%98.698.8-0.3
21 Los Angeles Clippers47202743%95.799.3-3.6
22 New York Knicks47182938%100.8103.3-2.6
23 Sacramento Kings46163035%101.2105.0-3.9
24 Philadelphia 76ers47163134%97.2100.0-2.7
25 Washington Wizards47163134%98.0102.0-4.0
26 Indiana Pacers48163233%98.6104.4-5.8
27 Detroit Pistons46153133%91.596.8-5.3
28 Golden State Warriors46133328%107.4111.3-3.9
29 Minnesota Timberwolves49113822%97.6106.7-9.1
30 Brooklyn Nets464429%89.7101.7-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1721212281
Milwaukee Bucks2133222197
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