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Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Feb 2010
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 99-66
24-16 32-15 24-24 19-11
Position#13
Record24-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game96.7
vs
Position#15
Record27-23
FormWLWWL
Points / game101.1
Allowed / game100.5
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Miami Heat v Houston Rockets
16 Nov 2026
MIA v HOU
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
MIA115
HOU105
21 Mar 2025
MIA98
HOU102
08 Jan 2024
MIA120
HOU113
10 Feb 2023
MIA97
HOU95
07 Mar 2022
MIA123
HOU106
19 Apr 2021
MIA113
HOU91
03 Nov 2019
MIA129
HOU100
20 Dec 2018
MIA101
HOU99
07 Feb 2018
MIA101
HOU109
17 Jan 2017
MIA109
HOU103
01 Nov 2015
MIA109
HOU89
04 Nov 2014
MIA91
HOU108
16 Mar 2014
MIA113
HOU104
06 Feb 2013
MIA114
HOU108
22 Apr 2012
MIA97
HOU88
27 Mar 2011
MIA125
HOU119
09 Feb 2010
MIA99
HOU66
24 Nov 2008
MIA98
HOU107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#27
W
112-88
112
88
+24
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
115-84
115
84
+31
H24/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
92-65
92
65
+27
A30/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
81-97
81
97
-16
H02/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
102-107
102
107
-5
A04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-15
25-27
28-22
27-24
33-25
32-20
24-16
26-23
34-24
20-26
15-17
22-25
34-23
26-34
21-28
22-26
26-23
21-13
24-12
21-17
21-23
17-33
20-15
26-24
17-21
21-33
21-22
22-21
26-27
25-26
23-21
28-33
28-29
24-27
21-25
13-21
27-23
15-26
27-20
22-26
189.3Avg total
95.7Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)96.696.7193.3-0.147%
Season at home (25)96.893.3190.2+3.552%
Season away (26)96.3100.0196.3-3.642%
Last 10 (10)95.793.6189.3+2.130%
Last 5 (5)88.899.2188.0-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)93.793.3187.0+0.333%
vs Similar ◀ (18)92.9101.3194.2-8.428%
vs Weaker (9)103.286.4189.7+16.878%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
H18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
116-109
116
109
+7
A23/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
97-104
97
104
-7
H24/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H26/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
92-97
92
97
-5
H28/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
104-100
104
100
+4
H30/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
111-115 OT
111
115
-4
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
119-97
119
97
+22
H03/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
101-83
101
83
+18
A06/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-34
31-17
21-22
12-18
28-31
27-25
28-21
33-32
21-32
31-32
23-16
22-24
25-23
19-32
23-22
28-25
31-16
20-34
23-22
18-25
18-28
31-19
29-24
26-29
21-28
27-32
25-19
27-21
39-25
20-24
24-19
36-29
25-25
25-19
25-22
26-17
22-26
35-21
19-23
19-32
203.8Avg total
103.1Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)101.1100.5201.6+0.754%
Season at home (25)103.1101.0204.2+2.160%
Season away (25)99.199.9199.0-0.848%
Last 10 (10)103.1100.7203.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)106.099.4205.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)97.1103.7200.8-6.622%
vs Similar ◀ (17)100.798.9199.6+1.859%
vs Weaker (4)108.2100.5208.8+7.8100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Miami HeatHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#27
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H24/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A30/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H02/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A07/02
NBA
100.2Avg total
50.4Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.049.399.3+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.646.799.3+5.969%-
Last 30 away (17)48.151.399.4-3.241%-
Last 10 (10)50.449.8100.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.253.697.8-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)55.050.0105.0+5.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)48.151.999.9-3.839%-
vs Weaker (9)52.343.996.2+8.478%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A23/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H24/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H26/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H28/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H30/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H01/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H03/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A06/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H07/02
NBA
104.6Avg total
52.3Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.350.5102.9+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.850.8104.6+3.071%-
Last 30 away (13)50.450.2100.5+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)52.352.3104.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)52.649.4102.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)50.051.4101.4-1.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.350.4102.7+1.965%-
vs Weaker (4)57.849.0106.8+8.8100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Miami Heat wins
2
Houston Rockets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/10AChicago Bulls91-95
05/02/10ACleveland Cavaliers86-102
04/02/10ABoston Celtics102-107
02/02/10HMilwaukee Bucks81-97
31/01/10AMilwaukee Bucks84-95
30/01/10ADetroit Pistons92-65
28/01/10AToronto Raptors103-111
26/01/10HCleveland Cavaliers91-92
24/01/10HSacramento Kings115-84
23/01/10AWashington Wizards112-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/10HPhiladelphia 76ers95-102
06/02/10AMemphis Grizzlies101-83
03/02/10HGolden State Warriors119-97
01/02/10HPhoenix Suns111-115 OT
30/01/10HPortland Trail Blazers104-100
28/01/10HDenver Nuggets92-97
26/01/10HAtlanta Hawks95-102
24/01/10HChicago Bulls97-104
23/01/10ASan Antonio Spurs116-109
18/01/10HMilwaukee Bucks101-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL47%
HomeLWWLL52%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %47%52%42%
Points / game96.696.896.3
Allowed / game96.793.3100.0
Point differential-0.1+3.5-3.6
Avg total193.3190.2196.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL54%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayLLLWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %54%60%48%
Points / game101.1103.199.1
Allowed / game100.5101.099.9
Point differential+0.7+2.1-0.8
Avg total201.6204.2199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)62% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %10%16%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers53421179%101.494.0+7.4
2 Los Angeles Lakers53401375%103.396.7+6.6
3 Orlando Magic52351767%101.095.7+5.2
4 Denver Nuggets51341767%107.2102.3+4.9
5 Boston Celtics49321765%99.093.7+5.3
6 Atlanta Hawks49321765%101.997.1+4.8
7 Utah Jazz49311863%102.597.5+5.0
8 Dallas Mavericks51321963%101.599.0+2.5
9 Phoenix Suns52312160%110.1107.5+2.6
10 San Antonio Spurs50292158%100.796.3+4.4
11 Oklahoma City Thunder50292158%98.795.8+2.9
12 Portland Trail Blazers53302357%97.795.3+2.4
13 Toronto Raptors51282355%104.6105.2-0.5
14 Houston Rockets50272354%101.1100.5+0.7
15 Memphis Grizzlies50262452%102.6103.4-0.8
16 New Orleans Pelicans52272552%100.2101.5-1.3
17 Charlotte Hornets50252550%95.194.2+0.9
18 Chicago Bulls50252550%95.497.7-2.3
19 Miami Heat51242747%96.696.7-0.1
20 Milwaukee Bucks49232647%98.498.3+0.1
21 Los Angeles Clippers50212942%95.399.0-3.7
22 Philadelphia 76ers51203139%98.099.7-1.7
23 New York Knicks50193138%101.1103.4-2.2
24 Detroit Pistons49173235%91.696.9-5.3
25 Indiana Pacers52183435%99.1104.1-4.9
26 Washington Wizards50173334%97.5101.7-4.2
27 Sacramento Kings50163432%101.6105.8-4.1
28 Golden State Warriors50133726%107.0111.6-4.6
29 Minnesota Timberwolves52133925%98.2106.8-8.7
30 Brooklyn Nets514478%90.1101.6-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2432241999
Houston Rockets1615241166
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