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Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#17
Record7-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game115.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers
18 Mar 2027
DEN v CLE
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DEN117
CLE119
27 Dec 2024
DEN135
CLE149
31 Mar 2024
DEN130
CLE101
06 Jan 2023
DEN121
CLE108
25 Oct 2021
DEN87
CLE99
10 Feb 2021
DEN133
CLE95
11 Jan 2020
DEN103
CLE111
19 Jan 2019
DEN124
CLE102
07 Mar 2018
DEN108
CLE113
22 Mar 2017
DEN126
CLE113
29 Dec 2015
DEN87
CLE93
07 Nov 2014
DEN101
CLE110
17 Jan 2014
DEN109
CLE117
11 Jan 2013
DEN98
CLE91
07 Mar 2012
DEN99
CLE100
15 Jan 2011
DEN127
CLE99
08 Jan 2010
DEN99
CLE97
19 Dec 2008
DEN88
CLE105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 110
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 110
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 110
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 110
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 110
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 110
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 110
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 110
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 110
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
117avg 110
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
232.2Avg total
117.7Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.6112.8227.5+1.864%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (7)109.7106.4216.1+3.371%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.5232.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)116.2109.4225.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.0113.2228.2+1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)113.9115.5229.4-1.554%
vs Weaker (13)126.5116.8243.2+9.792%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
111-114
111
114
-3
91avg 102
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
136-111
136
111
+25
120avg 102
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
112-117
112
117
-5
81avg 102
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
116-124
116
124
-8
86avg 102
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
119-95
119
95
+24
91avg 102
H07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
97-109
97
109
-12
82avg 102
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
112-124
112
124
-12
83avg 102
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
115-107
115
107
+8
95avg 102
A12/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
121-133
121
133
-12
97avg 102
A14/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
127-117
127
117
+10
93avg 102
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
16-30
38-43
29-25
24-25
48-21
37-30
27-35
30-26
18-33
36-31
28-27
20-37
24-23
30-28
42-36
33-22
29-32
29-20
28-21
27-26
26-37
17-25
27-21
28-29
25-40
27-38
32-17
33-23
26-30
23-23
33-31
27-29
30-25
34-38
30-41
33-33
38-20
34-38
22-26
231.7Avg total
116.6Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)117.5115.9233.4+1.650%
Season at home (7)118.3113.6231.9+4.771%
Season away (7)116.7118.1234.9-1.429%
Last 10 (10)116.6115.1231.7+1.540%
Last 5 (5)114.4118.0232.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)107.1112.0219.1-4.943%
vs Similar ◀ (12)112.8113.9226.8-1.133%
vs Weaker (4)123.5116.8240.2+6.875%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
Denver NuggetsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A15/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.6Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.2118.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.762.4124.1-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)57.853.5111.3+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)59.656.8116.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.853.0110.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.553.8111.2+3.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)58.258.0116.2+0.246%-
vs Weaker (13)62.359.8122.2+2.554%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A30/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A01/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H03/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H07/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A12/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A14/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H15/11
NBA
112.0Avg total
56.3Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.655.5110.1-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.958.6115.6-1.729%-
Last 30 away (16)52.652.8105.4-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)56.355.7112.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)58.658.4117.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)52.455.8108.2-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)54.353.9108.2+0.433%-
vs Weaker (4)63.059.5122.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.3%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.924.9
54.2%
54.0%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.012.6
33.2%
35.1%37.8
🏀 Free throws29.321.4
73.0%
77.3%21.4
They take 83.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWWLW
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLWLLWLLWL
#10
League position
#17
-1.6
Net rating
-6.4
110.1
Offensive rating
104.8
111.6
Defensive rating
111.2
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.2%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
11.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
16.8%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.2%
3-point %
33.2%
65.9%
Assist %
61.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 104.8Defence111.6 · 111.2Shooting53.6% · 52.2%3-point %32.2% · 33.2%Ball care11.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds16.8% · 19.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans116-108
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HDallas Mavericks127-117
14/11/26AMiami Heat121-133
12/11/26ANew York Knicks115-107
10/11/26ACharlotte Hornets112-124
08/11/26HNew York Knicks97-109
07/11/26HPhiladelphia 76ers119-95
05/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder116-124
03/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder112-117
01/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks136-111
30/10/26AAtlanta Hawks111-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game114.6123.2109.7
Allowed / game112.8124.0106.4
Point differential+1.8-0.8+3.3
Avg total227.5247.2216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%25%0%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game117.5118.3116.7
Allowed / game115.9113.6118.1
Point differential+1.6+4.7-1.4
Avg total233.4231.9234.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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