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Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 103-111
18-23 24-28 29-34 32-26
Position#7
Record30-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game104.5
vs
Position#29
Record11-30
FormLLLLW
Points / game103.9
Allowed / game113.7
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers
18 Mar 2027
DEN v CLE
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DEN117
CLE119
27 Dec 2024
DEN135
CLE149
31 Mar 2024
DEN130
CLE101
06 Jan 2023
DEN121
CLE108
25 Oct 2021
DEN87
CLE99
10 Feb 2021
DEN133
CLE95
11 Jan 2020
DEN103
CLE111
19 Jan 2019
DEN124
CLE102
07 Mar 2018
DEN108
CLE113
22 Mar 2017
DEN126
CLE113
29 Dec 2015
DEN87
CLE93
07 Nov 2014
DEN101
CLE110
17 Jan 2014
DEN109
CLE117
11 Jan 2013
DEN98
CLE91
07 Mar 2012
DEN99
CLE100
15 Jan 2011
DEN127
CLE99
08 Jan 2010
DEN99
CLE97
19 Dec 2008
DEN88
CLE105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
128-104
128
104
+24
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
113-111
113
111
+2
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
100-112
100
112
-12
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
119-110
119
110
+9
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
120-115
120
115
+5
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
104-130
104
130
-26
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
124-116
124
116
+8
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
114-128
114
128
-14
A05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
123-115
123
115
+8
A07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
107-106
107
106
+1
A09/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
32-25
36-25
37-26
34-22
22-27
26-32
31-30
26-29
29-29
25-26
20-28
26-11
24-28
32-29
37-42
31-32
31-25
26-24
32-34
26-38
26-31
37-23
15-38
27-37
35-27
30-24
32-28
19-31
36-30
35-34
24-33
29-31
35-25
27-30
32-29
27-32
29-27
30-30
21-17
229.9Avg total
115.2Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)109.0104.5213.5+4.573%
Season at home (20)109.0103.5212.6+5.580%
Season away (21)109.0105.4214.4+3.667%
Last 10 (10)115.2114.7229.9+0.570%
Last 5 (5)114.4119.0233.4-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)103.8102.2206.0+1.550%
vs Similar (18)109.3106.1215.4+3.272%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)115.5108.4223.9+7.175%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
114-107
114
107
+7
H21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
121-118
121
118
+3
H24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
117-129
117
129
-12
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
94-88
94
88
+6
A29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
97-117
97
117
-20
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
L
106-109
106
109
-3
H03/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
106-121
106
121
-15
H05/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
L
103-118
103
118
-15
H06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
113-115
113
115
-2
H08/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
A10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
30-24
26-36
33-20
42-32
29-32
23-30
27-24
22-33
25-29
34-30
36-37
27-21
22-22
18-17
27-28
25-27
18-32
26-27
28-31
29-31
30-21
26-30
21-27
27-34
26-32
26-25
27-30
20-24
28-42
31-28
24-24
29-27
38-27
28-30
18-31
26-32
24-29
31-22
21-19
222.0Avg total
108.6Scored
113.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)103.9113.7217.5-9.827%
Season at home (21)105.8112.8218.6-7.029%
Season away (20)101.8114.5216.3-12.825%
Last 10 (10)108.6113.4222.0-4.840%
Last 5 (5)108.6115.0223.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)104.0116.9221.0-12.917%
vs Similar (7)105.3105.9211.1-0.657%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Denver NuggetsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A09/01
NBA
113.2Avg total
56.7Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.253.5108.7+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.953.0106.9+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)56.754.1110.8+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)56.756.5113.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)57.861.8119.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.550.098.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (18)54.654.4109.0+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)60.153.1113.2+7.062%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H03/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H05/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
L
48-66
48
66
-18
H06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H08/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A10/01
NBA
112.0Avg total
54.2Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.358.5108.8-8.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.758.0110.7-5.338%-
Last 30 away (14)47.659.1106.7-11.621%-
Last 10 (10)54.257.8112.0-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)55.459.8115.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)48.960.4109.3-11.617%-
vs Similar (7)55.052.3107.3+2.771%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.733.6
56.3%
52.3%67.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.819.5
81.9%
77.2%19.5
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.530.8
53.6%
52.3%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.5
36.5%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.215.5
76.7%
77.2%15.5
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWWLWW
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLLLLLWLWW
#7
League position
#29
+0.5
Net rating
-4.7
116.6
Offensive rating
106.7
116.1
Defensive rating
111.4
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.9%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
11.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.1%
3-point %
36.5%
60.6%
Assist %
51.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 106.7Defence116.1 · 111.4Shooting54.1% · 53.9%3-point %33.1% · 36.5%Ball care11.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds26.4% · 24.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/20ADallas Mavericks107-106
07/01/20AAtlanta Hawks123-115
05/01/20AWashington Wizards114-128
03/01/20AIndiana Pacers124-116
01/01/20AHouston Rockets104-130
30/12/19HSacramento Kings120-115
28/12/19HMemphis Grizzlies119-110
26/12/19HNew Orleans Pelicans100-112
24/12/19APhoenix Suns113-111
23/12/19ALos Angeles Lakers128-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/20ADetroit Pistons115-112 OT
08/01/20HDetroit Pistons113-115
06/01/20HMinnesota Timberwolves103-118
05/01/20HOklahoma City Thunder106-121
03/01/20HCharlotte Hornets106-109
01/01/20AToronto Raptors97-117
29/12/19AMinnesota Timberwolves94-88
27/12/19ABoston Celtics117-129
24/12/19HAtlanta Hawks121-118
21/12/19HMemphis Grizzlies114-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game109.0109.0109.0
Allowed / game104.5103.5105.4
Point differential+4.5+5.5+3.6
Avg total213.5212.6214.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)67% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %7%5%10%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %27%29%25%
Points / game103.9105.8101.8
Allowed / game113.7112.8114.5
Point differential-9.8-7.0-12.8
Avg total217.5218.6216.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%5%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4539687%119.4106.8+12.5
2 Los Angeles Lakers45351078%112.7105.0+7.7
3 Boston Celtics41301173%111.3102.7+8.6
4 Denver Nuggets41301173%109.0104.5+4.5
5 Miami Heat43311272%111.9107.0+4.9
6 Houston Rockets43291467%119.7114.5+5.1
7 Toronto Raptors42271564%110.9106.1+4.8
8 Los Angeles Clippers42271564%113.9109.4+4.5
9 Philadelphia 76ers44281664%109.0104.8+4.2
10 Indiana Pacers43271663%110.5106.9+3.6
11 Utah Jazz42261662%109.5107.7+1.8
12 Dallas Mavericks44261859%115.2108.6+6.6
13 Oklahoma City Thunder42231955%108.5107.7+0.8
14 Brooklyn Nets40192148%109.3111.1-1.8
15 Orlando Magic45212447%103.1102.9+0.2
16 San Antonio Spurs42182443%113.1114.9-1.8
17 Memphis Grizzlies42182443%112.5116.3-3.7
18 New Orleans Pelicans45192642%114.5117.2-2.7
19 Phoenix Suns42172540%113.0114.1-1.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers43172640%111.6113.9-2.3
21 Sacramento Kings43172640%107.3109.7-2.4
22 Minnesota Timberwolves42162638%111.8115.3-3.5
23 Detroit Pistons45172838%107.9111.0-3.2
24 Washington Wizards42152736%114.2118.1-3.9
25 Chicago Bulls45162936%106.1107.6-1.6
26 Charlotte Hornets46163035%104.2110.4-6.3
27 Cleveland Cavaliers41113027%103.9113.7-9.8
28 New York Knicks43113226%104.3112.2-7.8
29 Golden State Warriors45113424%105.6113.0-7.5
30 Atlanta Hawks4493520%106.2116.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets18242932103
Cleveland Cavaliers23283426111
← all games of the day
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