PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 108-113
23-38 35-32 29-19 21-24
Position#12
Record38-31
FormLLWWL
Points / game108.4
Allowed / game107.6
vs
Position#8
Record38-30
FormLWLLW
Points / game109.3
Allowed / game109.5
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers
18 Mar 2027
DEN v CLE
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DEN117
CLE119
27 Dec 2024
DEN135
CLE149
31 Mar 2024
DEN130
CLE101
06 Jan 2023
DEN121
CLE108
25 Oct 2021
DEN87
CLE99
10 Feb 2021
DEN133
CLE95
11 Jan 2020
DEN103
CLE111
19 Jan 2019
DEN124
CLE102
07 Mar 2018
DEN108
CLE113
22 Mar 2017
DEN126
CLE113
29 Dec 2015
DEN87
CLE93
07 Nov 2014
DEN101
CLE110
17 Jan 2014
DEN109
CLE117
11 Jan 2013
DEN98
CLE91
07 Mar 2012
DEN99
CLE100
15 Jan 2011
DEN127
CLE99
08 Jan 2010
DEN99
CLE97
19 Dec 2008
DEN88
CLE105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
L
104-130
104
130
-26
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
123-113
123
113
+10
A11/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
117-109
117
109
+8
H14/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
134-123
134
123
+11
A16/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
122-119
122
119
+3
H24/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
114-119
114
119
-5
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
120-122
120
122
-2
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
108-102
108
102
+6
A03/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
W
126-117
126
117
+9
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
107-118
107
118
-11
A07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-35
23-28
24-34
34-33
28-23
34-37
32-29
29-24
30-32
28-29
29-29
30-19
35-28
39-34
33-26
27-35
32-30
31-31
33-28
26-30
25-38
27-28
27-26
35-27
33-24
25-28
30-29
32-41
35-29
28-25
28-26
17-22
37-31
36-31
30-35
23-20
25-29
37-29
23-38
22-22
234.7Avg total
117.5Scored
117.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)108.4107.6216.0+0.855%
Season at home (34)110.5105.1215.6+5.471%
Season away (35)106.5110.0216.5-3.540%
Last 10 (10)117.5117.2234.7+0.360%
Last 5 (5)115.0115.6230.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)111.8120.2232.0-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (18)111.0110.7221.7+0.356%
vs Weaker (8)109.6105.8215.4+3.962%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
123-107
123
107
+16
A10/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
121-99
121
99
+22
A11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
120-112
120
112
+8
A14/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
103-110
103
110
-7
H23/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
112-89
112
89
+23
A24/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
94-110
94
110
-16
H25/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
129-123
129
123
+6
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
97-108
97
108
-11
H02/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
117-126
117
126
-9
H04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
112-90
112
90
+22
H06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
30-29
36-26
26-25
31-32
33-20
31-22
26-25
29-28
33-29
29-30
29-25
31-22
23-35
25-25
24-28
20-27
34-22
31-22
27-18
20-25
33-25
21-26
20-34
25-29
35-32
34-30
35-32
29-32
27-27
15-18
26-31
31-37
31-36
35-30
20-23
26-28
28-21
36-21
22-20
220.2Avg total
112.8Scored
107.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)109.3109.5218.8-0.256%
Season at home (36)109.7110.8220.4-1.161%
Season away (32)108.8108.1216.9+0.750%
Last 10 (10)112.8107.4220.2+5.460%
Last 5 (5)109.8111.4221.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)96.8115.6212.4-18.80%
vs Similar ◀ (19)111.2112.4223.6-1.247%
vs Weaker (6)110.5108.5219.0+2.067%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
Denver NuggetsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A11/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H14/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A16/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
52-66
52
66
-14
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A03/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A07/03
NBA
121.0Avg total
61.1Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.557.0113.6-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (18)55.755.8111.5-0.244%-
Last 30 away (12)57.858.8116.7-1.050%-
Last 10 (10)61.159.9121.0+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)61.658.4120.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.562.2114.8-9.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)58.256.3114.5+1.861%-
vs Weaker (8)54.956.0110.9-1.138%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A10/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A14/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A24/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H25/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H02/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H06/03
NBA
114.3Avg total
58.0Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.657.6114.1-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.759.1116.8-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)55.556.0111.5-0.560%-
Last 10 (10)58.056.3114.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.058.4115.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)48.658.4107.0-9.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)57.058.2115.2-1.242%-
vs Weaker (6)61.854.8116.7+7.083%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.632.2
56.9%
51.0%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.8
37.6%
36.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws22.117.7
80.1%
76.5%17.7
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.831.5
55.5%
51.0%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.6
37.2%
36.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.915.0
71.8%
76.5%15.0
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLLWWWWL
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLLWLWLWWW
#12
League position
#8
+0.3
Net rating
+5.4
115.4
Offensive rating
113.8
115.1
Defensive rating
108.3
56.7%
Effective FG%
55.6%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
11.7%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.6%
3-point %
37.2%
63.6%
Assist %
56.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 113.8Defence115.1 · 108.3Shooting56.7% · 55.6%3-point %37.6% · 37.2%Ball care13.8% · 11.7%Off. rebounds23.8% · 22.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/18ADallas Mavericks107-118
04/03/18ACleveland Cavaliers126-117
03/03/18AMemphis Grizzlies108-102
28/02/18HLos Angeles Clippers120-122
26/02/18HHouston Rockets114-119
24/02/18HSan Antonio Spurs122-119
16/02/18AMilwaukee Bucks134-123
14/02/18HSan Antonio Spurs117-109
11/02/18APhoenix Suns123-113
10/02/18AHouston Rockets104-130
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/18HDetroit Pistons112-90
04/03/18HDenver Nuggets117-126
02/03/18HPhiladelphia 76ers97-108
28/02/18HBrooklyn Nets129-123
25/02/18HSan Antonio Spurs94-110
24/02/18AMemphis Grizzlies112-89
23/02/18HWashington Wizards103-110
14/02/18AOklahoma City Thunder120-112
11/02/18ABoston Celtics121-99
10/02/18AAtlanta Hawks123-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL55%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693435
Win %55%71%40%
Points / game108.4110.5106.5
Allowed / game107.6105.1110.0
Point differential+0.8+5.4-3.5
Avg total216.0215.6216.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%29%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)58% (12)20% (5)
Overtime %4%3%6%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeLWLLW61%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683632
Win %56%61%50%
Points / game109.3109.7108.8
Allowed / game109.5110.8108.1
Point differential-0.2-1.1+0.7
Avg total218.8220.4216.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)82% (11)25% (8)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets68541479%113.5104.7+8.8
2 Golden State Warriors68521676%115.9107.5+8.4
3 Toronto Raptors69501972%111.8103.3+8.5
4 Boston Celtics69492071%104.599.8+4.7
5 Portland Trail Blazers70432761%105.8103.0+2.8
6 San Antonio Spurs69402958%102.799.4+3.3
7 Minnesota Timberwolves69402958%109.7107.2+2.5
8 Washington Wizards69402958%107.1105.4+1.7
9 Indiana Pacers68392957%105.9104.5+1.4
10 New Orleans Pelicans68392957%111.9111.6+0.3
11 Oklahoma City Thunder69393057%106.3103.6+2.7
12 Utah Jazz68383056%103.1100.7+2.4
13 Cleveland Cavaliers68383056%109.3109.5-0.2
14 Denver Nuggets69383155%108.4107.6+0.8
15 Philadelphia 76ers68373154%107.9105.9+1.9
16 Los Angeles Clippers68363253%108.9108.1+0.8
17 Miami Heat71373452%101.7102.4-0.7
18 Milwaukee Bucks69353451%104.3105.3-1.0
19 Detroit Pistons70313944%103.2104.3-1.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers69303943%107.5109.4-1.9
21 Charlotte Hornets70304043%106.2106.7-0.5
22 Chicago Bulls70254536%103.1109.4-6.2
23 New York Knicks70244634%103.4107.5-4.1
24 Dallas Mavericks71244734%102.5104.5-2.1
25 Brooklyn Nets69234633%106.2109.6-3.4
26 Orlando Magic70234733%104.8108.6-3.8
27 Atlanta Hawks70224831%103.0107.5-4.5
28 Memphis Grizzlies69214830%99.5103.1-3.7
29 Sacramento Kings71215030%98.5106.6-8.1
30 Phoenix Suns70205029%104.7113.4-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets23352921108
Cleveland Cavaliers38321924113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.