PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 133-95
34-17 30-26 36-23 33-29
Position#6
Record14-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game111.1
vs
Position#26
Record12-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game103.4
Allowed / game109.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers
18 Mar 2027
DEN v CLE
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DEN117
CLE119
27 Dec 2024
DEN135
CLE149
31 Mar 2024
DEN130
CLE101
06 Jan 2023
DEN121
CLE108
25 Oct 2021
DEN87
CLE99
10 Feb 2021
DEN133
CLE95
11 Jan 2020
DEN103
CLE111
19 Jan 2019
DEN124
CLE102
07 Mar 2018
DEN108
CLE113
22 Mar 2017
DEN126
CLE113
29 Dec 2015
DEN87
CLE93
07 Nov 2014
DEN101
CLE110
17 Jan 2014
DEN109
CLE117
11 Jan 2013
DEN98
CLE91
07 Mar 2012
DEN99
CLE100
15 Jan 2011
DEN127
CLE99
08 Jan 2010
DEN99
CLE97
19 Dec 2008
DEN88
CLE105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
119-101
119
101
+18
113avg 107
H20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
123avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
120-112 OT
120
112
+8
113avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
117-113
117
113
+4
117avg 107
A26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
109-82
109
82
+27
106avg 107
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
109-119
109
119
-10
104avg 107
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
128-117
128
117
+11
124avg 107
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
93-114
93
114
-21
76avg 107
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
114-119
114
119
-5
107avg 107
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
112-125
112
125
-13
no box
H09/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
34-21
32-22
22-27
25-34
29-34
37-27
23-19
28-30
30-31
15-16
25-21
38-31
32-27
22-36
25-19
26-12
32-21
16-32
35-17
30-37
25-24
31-26
23-32
43-29
36-25
24-37
25-26
30-27
28-19
17-37
18-31
25-26
27-27
29-34
33-32
42-37
20-22
26-34
24-32
227.9Avg total
115.1Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)115.8111.1226.9+4.754%
Season at home (13)117.7111.5229.2+6.254%
Season away (13)113.9110.8224.7+3.254%
Last 10 (10)115.1112.8227.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)111.2118.8230.0-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)108.0110.5218.5-2.525%
vs Similar (17)114.8110.8225.6+4.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)117.7111.8229.4+5.956%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
L
103-141
103
141
-38
87avg 98
A25/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
108-115
108
115
-7
98avg 98
H26/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
122-107
122
107
+15
113avg 98
H28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
81-102
81
102
-21
65avg 98
A30/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
104-109
104
109
-5
101avg 98
A01/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
100-98
100
98
+2
96avg 98
H02/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
99-121
99
121
-22
83avg 98
H04/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
105-123
105
123
-18
90avg 98
H06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
99-124
99
124
-25
87avg 98
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
113-119
113
119
-6
no box
A09/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-38
30-35
27-41
25-27
23-34
35-31
31-22
19-28
32-28
22-28
36-26
32-25
17-19
16-28
22-25
26-30
35-30
26-25
25-33
18-21
29-29
23-15
24-23
24-31
25-33
24-19
25-36
25-33
33-26
30-34
26-34
16-29
22-25
32-34
23-35
22-30
28-34
33-30
30-25
22-30
219.3Avg total
103.4Scored
115.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)103.4109.9213.3-6.541%
Season at home (16)108.6110.6219.2-2.156%
Season away (13)97.0109.0206.0-12.023%
Last 10 (10)103.4115.9219.3-12.520%
Last 5 (5)103.2117.0220.2-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)104.6110.8215.4-6.242%
vs Similar (4)95.2103.8199.0-8.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.5-5.5
Denver NuggetsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H09/02
NBA
115.6Avg total
61.1Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.155.4115.5+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.955.7118.6+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)57.355.1112.5+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)61.154.5115.6+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)61.254.6115.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.858.5113.2-3.825%-
vs Similar (17)61.554.7116.2+6.871%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)59.955.4115.3+4.456%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A25/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H26/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H28/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A30/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A01/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H02/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H04/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H07/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A09/02
NBA
111.1Avg total
53.6Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.454.0105.4-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.852.7106.4+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)48.655.6104.2-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)53.657.5111.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)55.855.8111.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)51.354.6105.9-3.338%-
vs Similar (4)51.850.2102.0+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.429.9
51.2%
52.8%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.013.2
38.8%
36.6%39.6
🏀 Free throws18.815.7
83.5%
77.7%15.7
They take 92.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 103.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.331.2
49.3%
52.8%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.8
33.5%
36.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.017.4
75.7%
77.7%17.4
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLLWLWWWWW
Cleveland Cavaliers
LLLLWLLWLL
#6
League position
#26
+2.5
Net rating
-12.8
114.0
Offensive rating
103.9
111.5
Defensive rating
116.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
49.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
12.2%
Turnover %
13.8%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.8%
3-point %
33.5%
60.6%
Assist %
55.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 103.9Defence111.5 · 116.6Shooting53.8% · 49.5%3-point %38.8% · 33.5%Ball care12.2% · 13.8%Off. rebounds25.9% · 24.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks112-125
06/02/21ASacramento Kings114-119
05/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers93-114
31/01/21HUtah Jazz128-117
30/01/21ASan Antonio Spurs109-119
28/01/21AMiami Heat109-82
26/01/21ADallas Mavericks117-113
24/01/21APhoenix Suns120-112 OT
23/01/21APhoenix Suns130-126 OT
20/01/21HOklahoma City Thunder119-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/21APhoenix Suns113-119
07/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks99-124
06/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks105-123
04/02/21HLos Angeles Clippers99-121
02/02/21HMinnesota Timberwolves100-98
01/02/21AMinnesota Timberwolves104-109
30/01/21ANew York Knicks81-102
28/01/21HDetroit Pistons122-107
26/01/21HLos Angeles Lakers108-115
25/01/21ABoston Celtics103-141

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL54%
HomeWLWWL54%
AwayWWLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%54%54%
Points / game115.8117.7113.9
Allowed / game111.1111.5110.8
Point differential+4.7+6.2+3.2
Avg total226.9229.2224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%46%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %15%15%15%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %41%56%23%
Points / game103.4108.697.0
Allowed / game109.9110.6109.0
Point differential-6.5-2.1-12.0
Avg total213.3219.2206.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz2823582%115.0105.2+9.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers2923679%112.8104.5+8.3
3 Philadelphia 76ers2720774%114.0109.6+4.4
4 Los Angeles Clippers29181162%113.1108.7+4.5
5 Milwaukee Bucks27161159%120.0112.6+7.4
6 Brooklyn Nets29171259%120.1116.4+3.8
7 Memphis Grizzlies24131154%112.2110.4+1.8
8 Denver Nuggets26141254%115.8111.1+4.7
9 Golden State Warriors28151354%113.6112.4+1.2
10 New Orleans Pelicans25131252%113.0111.1+1.9
11 Phoenix Suns27141352%109.0108.1+0.9
12 Portland Trail Blazers27141352%113.3116.0-2.7
13 Toronto Raptors28141450%113.8111.3+2.5
14 Houston Rockets28141450%110.5109.2+1.3
15 San Antonio Spurs28141450%109.5112.4-2.9
16 Sacramento Kings28141450%113.2117.8-4.6
17 Dallas Mavericks29141548%112.6113.8-1.2
18 Boston Celtics25121348%109.5109.8-0.4
19 New York Knicks30141647%102.1102.0+0.1
20 Atlanta Hawks28131546%112.8112.1+0.6
21 Chicago Bulls27121544%113.7114.2-0.5
22 Charlotte Hornets30131743%111.1111.6-0.5
23 Indiana Pacers28121643%111.6111.6-0.0
24 Miami Heat26111542%106.7110.1-3.3
25 Oklahoma City Thunder26111542%107.8113.9-6.1
26 Cleveland Cavaliers29121741%103.4109.9-6.5
27 Orlando Magic29111838%106.1112.7-6.6
28 Detroit Pistons2882029%106.8110.4-3.6
29 Washington Wizards2571828%112.2118.8-6.7
30 Minnesota Timberwolves2872125%108.2116.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets34303633133
Cleveland Cavaliers1726232995
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.