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Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 121-108
26-28 36-30 32-24 27-26
Position#2
Record25-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game116.6
Allowed / game113.9
vs
Position#6
Record25-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game106.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers
18 Mar 2027
DEN v CLE
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DEN117
CLE119
27 Dec 2024
DEN135
CLE149
31 Mar 2024
DEN130
CLE101
06 Jan 2023
DEN121
CLE108
25 Oct 2021
DEN87
CLE99
10 Feb 2021
DEN133
CLE95
11 Jan 2020
DEN103
CLE111
19 Jan 2019
DEN124
CLE102
07 Mar 2018
DEN108
CLE113
22 Mar 2017
DEN126
CLE113
29 Dec 2015
DEN87
CLE93
07 Nov 2014
DEN101
CLE110
17 Jan 2014
DEN109
CLE117
11 Jan 2013
DEN98
CLE91
07 Mar 2012
DEN99
CLE100
15 Jan 2011
DEN127
CLE99
08 Jan 2010
DEN99
CLE97
19 Dec 2008
DEN88
CLE105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
119-115
119
115
+4
116avg 114
H19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
105-91
105
91
+14
98avg 114
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
120-107
120
107
+13
119avg 114
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
121avg 114
H26/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
113-106
113
106
+7
112avg 114
A28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
126-127
126
127
-1
124avg 114
A29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
124-119
124
119
+5
129avg 114
H31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
123-111
123
111
+12
124avg 114
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
111-124
111
124
-13
104avg 114
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
122-91
122
91
+31
125avg 114
H06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
35-27
39-28
25-35
35-14
20-26
29-31
21-20
32-27
26-37
35-16
27-27
28-24
23-33
30-27
32-29
20-32
27-24
32-27
34-23
40-24
35-38
30-32
21-33
23-19
37-38
25-33
39-29
37-28
25-26
36-31
25-26
23-23
30-36
32-31
26-34
32-15
34-17
36-27
20-32
230.7Avg total
119.1Scored
111.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)116.6113.9230.5+2.766%
Season at home (18)119.3108.9228.2+10.483%
Season away (20)114.2118.5232.6-4.350%
Last 10 (10)119.1111.6230.7+7.580%
Last 5 (5)121.2114.4235.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)116.5115.7232.2+0.755%
vs Weaker (19)117.3111.9229.2+5.374%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
118-112
118
112
+6
112avg 103
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
88avg 103
H18/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
122-99
122
99
+23
128avg 103
H20/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
114-106
114
106
+8
102avg 103
H22/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
107-118
107
118
-11
101avg 103
H24/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
117-125
117
125
-8
105avg 103
H27/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
126-135
126
135
-9
119avg 103
A30/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
103-102
103
102
+1
95avg 103
A01/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
145-134 OT
145
134
+11
137avg 103
H03/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
90-88
90
88
+2
80avg 103
H05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
25-30
29-33
35-18
27-29
20-20
20-26
29-21
29-21
33-23
28-27
32-28
35-20
25-22
33-35
21-29
31-39
22-30
25-29
29-20
22-34
27-31
30-26
38-34
34-29
34-35
28-35
30-36
28-30
32-25
24-22
19-25
27-34
20-31
44-31
39-34
15-14
18-29
26-21
31-24
226.0Avg total
114.2Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)111.6106.4218.0+5.264%
Season at home (22)113.9105.8219.7+8.182%
Season away (17)108.5107.2215.7+1.441%
Last 10 (10)114.2111.8226.0+2.470%
Last 5 (5)116.2116.8233.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)105.5106.5212.1-1.047%
vs Weaker (15)114.8107.8222.6+7.067%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
Denver NuggetsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H19/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H26/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-32
66
32
+34
H06/01
NBA
111.5Avg total
58.2Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.557.7118.2+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.554.5116.1+7.067%-
Last 30 away (15)59.560.9120.3-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)58.253.3111.5+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)63.252.8116.0+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)59.756.6116.4+3.164%-
vs Weaker (19)60.958.3119.3+2.653%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H18/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H20/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H22/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H24/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
49-65
49
65
-16
H27/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A30/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A01/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H03/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H05/01
NBA
109.0Avg total
53.3Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.153.7108.8+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.552.2106.7+2.356%-
Last 30 away (12)55.956.1112.0-0.242%-
Last 10 (10)53.355.7109.0-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)51.458.4109.8-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.752.9106.7+0.847%-
vs Weaker (15)56.454.5110.9+1.953%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 119.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.031.4
56.1%
54.5%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.412.8
42.1%
35.8%38.4
🏀 Free throws23.917.9
74.9%
78.1%17.9
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.128.5
58.0%
54.5%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.212.2
35.7%
35.8%36.6
🏀 Free throws27.520.6
74.9%
78.1%20.6
They take 83.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWWWW
Cleveland Cavaliers
WWWLLLWWWW
#2
League position
#6
+7.4
Net rating
+2.4
117.4
Offensive rating
115.3
110.0
Defensive rating
112.9
58.6%
Effective FG%
56.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.1%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
42.1%
3-point %
35.7%
69.2%
Assist %
56.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 115.3Defence110.0 · 112.9Shooting58.6% · 56.2%3-point %42.1% · 35.7%Ball care13.9% · 13.1%Off. rebounds23.6% · 23.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers122-91
03/01/23AMinnesota Timberwolves111-124
02/01/23HBoston Celtics123-111
31/12/22HMiami Heat124-119
29/12/22ASacramento Kings126-127
28/12/22ASacramento Kings113-106
26/12/22HPhoenix Suns128-125 OT
24/12/22HPortland Trail Blazers120-107
21/12/22HMemphis Grizzlies105-91
19/12/22HCharlotte Hornets119-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23HPhoenix Suns90-88
03/01/23HChicago Bulls145-134 OT
01/01/23AChicago Bulls103-102
30/12/22AIndiana Pacers126-135
27/12/22HBrooklyn Nets117-125
24/12/22HToronto Raptors107-118
22/12/22HMilwaukee Bucks114-106
20/12/22HUtah Jazz122-99
18/12/22HDallas Mavericks100-99 OT
17/12/22HIndiana Pacers118-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW66%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %66%83%50%
Points / game116.6119.3114.2
Allowed / game113.9108.9118.5
Point differential+2.7+10.4-4.3
Avg total230.5228.2232.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%56%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)62% (8)83% (6)
Overtime %5%6%5%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWLLWW82%
AwayLLWLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392217
Win %64%82%41%
Points / game111.6113.9108.5
Allowed / game106.4105.8107.2
Point differential+5.2+8.1+1.4
Avg total218.0219.7215.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%55%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %15%23%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics39271269%118.7112.9+5.8
2 Brooklyn Nets39261367%114.9110.8+4.1
3 Memphis Grizzlies38251366%116.1111.1+4.9
4 Denver Nuggets38251366%116.6113.9+2.7
5 Cleveland Cavaliers39251464%111.6106.4+5.2
6 Milwaukee Bucks39251464%112.4111.2+1.2
7 New Orleans Pelicans39241562%117.1112.7+4.4
8 Philadelphia 76ers38231561%112.6109.2+3.4
9 Dallas Mavericks39221756%112.1110.6+1.5
10 New York Knicks40221855%114.2111.3+2.9
11 Indiana Pacers40221855%115.6115.7-0.1
12 Sacramento Kings37201754%117.9116.8+1.2
13 Los Angeles Clippers40211952%109.0109.8-0.7
14 Phoenix Suns39201951%113.5111.2+2.4
15 Golden State Warriors39201951%117.2117.6-0.4
16 Miami Heat39201951%109.0109.5-0.4
17 Portland Trail Blazers38191950%112.4111.9+0.5
18 Utah Jazz41202149%117.5116.5+1.0
19 Atlanta Hawks38182047%115.4116.3-0.9
20 Chicago Bulls39182146%114.8115.4-0.6
21 Minnesota Timberwolves39182146%114.6115.5-0.9
22 Los Angeles Lakers38172145%116.0117.4-1.4
23 Oklahoma City Thunder39172244%116.4116.9-0.5
24 Washington Wizards40172342%112.1113.1-1.0
25 Toronto Raptors39162341%111.0111.3-0.3
26 Orlando Magic39142536%110.3114.2-3.9
27 San Antonio Spurs39132633%111.9120.6-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets40112928%112.0118.2-6.2
29 Detroit Pistons42113126%111.8119.0-7.2
30 Houston Rockets39102926%109.4116.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26363227121
Cleveland Cavaliers28302426108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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