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Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 130-101
30-26 35-30 36-21 29-24
Position#3
Record51-23
FormWWWLL
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game109.9
vs
Position#12
Record45-29
FormLLWLW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers
18 Mar 2027
DEN v CLE
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DEN117
CLE119
27 Dec 2024
DEN135
CLE149
31 Mar 2024
DEN130
CLE101
06 Jan 2023
DEN121
CLE108
25 Oct 2021
DEN87
CLE99
10 Feb 2021
DEN133
CLE95
11 Jan 2020
DEN103
CLE111
19 Jan 2019
DEN124
CLE102
07 Mar 2018
DEN108
CLE113
22 Mar 2017
DEN126
CLE113
29 Dec 2015
DEN87
CLE93
07 Nov 2014
DEN101
CLE110
17 Jan 2014
DEN109
CLE117
11 Jan 2013
DEN98
CLE91
07 Mar 2012
DEN99
CLE100
15 Jan 2011
DEN127
CLE99
08 Jan 2010
DEN99
CLE97
19 Dec 2008
DEN88
CLE105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
125-119
125
119
+6
123avg 109
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
100-88
100
88
+12
94avg 109
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
117-106
117
106
+11
119avg 109
A16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
105-107
105
107
-2
96avg 109
A17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-112
115
112
+3
116avg 109
A20/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
113-100
113
100
+13
114avg 109
H22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
114-111
114
111
+3
105avg 109
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
128-103
128
103
+25
135avg 109
H26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
97-104
97
104
-7
86avg 109
H28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
98-111
98
111
-13
91avg 109
H30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
19-34
42-30
32-21
26-19
24-25
22-27
28-17
37-18
21-31
28-30
31-27
34-30
27-28
18-26
26-23
35-28
35-27
17-29
28-28
32-30
29-26
27-20
25-24
26-22
31-25
28-36
29-28
39-24
30-20
30-32
29-27
29-29
23-30
21-24
24-21
26-33
17-29
21-25
34-24
217.3Avg total
111.2Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)114.4109.9224.3+4.469%
Season at home (37)117.9109.1226.9+8.878%
Season away (37)110.9110.8221.7+0.159%
Last 10 (10)111.2106.1217.3+5.170%
Last 5 (5)110.0105.8215.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)115.0109.0224.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)105.3107.3212.6-2.150%
vs Weaker (11)123.0110.3233.3+12.7100%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
111-117
111
117
-6
106avg 107
H11/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
116-95
116
95
+21
120avg 107
A14/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
103-117
103
117
-14
97avg 107
A16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
108-103
108
103
+5
102avg 107
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
104-107
104
107
-3
104avg 107
H20/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
91-104
91
104
-13
83avg 107
A23/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
84-121
84
121
-37
75avg 107
A24/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
115-92
115
92
+23
124avg 107
H25/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
111-118
111
118
-7
105avg 107
A27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
117-114
117
114
+3
119avg 107
H29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-32
29-31
21-34
20-20
30-22
23-23
34-23
29-27
29-34
25-36
19-28
30-19
25-34
29-20
36-29
18-20
30-31
27-30
18-22
29-24
20-25
29-21
17-26
25-32
22-32
17-28
18-30
27-31
20-20
31-17
27-29
37-26
43-33
27-36
26-31
15-18
28-25
29-30
28-32
32-27
214.8Avg total
106.0Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)112.7109.4222.2+3.361%
Season at home (38)114.3110.4224.7+4.063%
Season away (36)111.0108.5219.5+2.558%
Last 10 (10)106.0108.8214.8-2.840%
Last 5 (5)103.6109.8213.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)103.0104.0207.0-1.067%
vs Similar ◀ (16)109.8112.6222.4-2.838%
vs Weaker (11)114.1104.9219.0+9.282%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
Denver NuggetsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A17/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A20/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H30/03
NBA
111.4Avg total
57.2Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.855.3113.1+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.455.2114.7+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)56.055.4111.4+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)57.254.2111.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)56.453.6110.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.054.0116.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.956.8111.8-1.950%-
vs Weaker (11)62.252.9115.1+9.373%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H11/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A14/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H20/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A23/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A24/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H25/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H29/03
NBA
111.4Avg total
55.4Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.054.6110.6+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.554.6111.1+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)55.654.6110.2+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)55.456.0111.4-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)53.253.4106.6-0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.350.399.7-1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.957.0111.9-2.144%-
vs Weaker (11)59.552.3111.8+7.373%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.632.3
55.1%
54.4%64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.4
36.4%
36.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.715.4
78.2%
78.2%15.4
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.625.2
57.8%
54.4%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.314.2
37.1%
36.3%42.6
🏀 Free throws16.813.0
77.4%
78.2%13.0
They take 81.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWLWWW
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLWLLLWLWL
#3
League position
#12
+5.3
Net rating
-3.0
115.7
Offensive rating
112.5
110.4
Defensive rating
115.5
54.9%
Effective FG%
56.8%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
11.5%
Turnover %
13.6%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.4%
3-point %
37.1%
69.3%
Assist %
76.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 112.5Defence110.4 · 115.5Shooting54.9% · 56.8%3-point %36.4% · 37.1%Ball care11.5% · 13.6%Off. rebounds25.2% · 19.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HMinnesota Timberwolves98-111
28/03/24HPhoenix Suns97-104
26/03/24HMemphis Grizzlies128-103
24/03/24APortland Trail Blazers114-111
22/03/24HNew York Knicks113-100
20/03/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-112
17/03/24ADallas Mavericks105-107
16/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs117-106
13/03/24AMiami Heat100-88
12/03/24HToronto Raptors125-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24HPhiladelphia 76ers117-114
27/03/24ACharlotte Hornets111-118
25/03/24HCharlotte Hornets115-92
24/03/24AMiami Heat84-121
23/03/24AMinnesota Timberwolves91-104
20/03/24HMiami Heat104-107
18/03/24AIndiana Pacers108-103
16/03/24AHouston Rockets103-117
14/03/24ANew Orleans Pelicans116-95
11/03/24HPhoenix Suns111-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeWWWLL78%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %69%78%59%
Points / game114.4117.9110.9
Allowed / game109.9109.1110.8
Point differential+4.4+8.8+0.1
Avg total224.3226.9221.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%49%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)40% (5)57% (14)
Overtime %1%3%0%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW61%
HomeLLLWW63%
AwayLWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743836
Win %61%63%58%
Points / game112.7114.3111.0
Allowed / game109.4110.4108.5
Point differential+3.3+4.0+2.5
Avg total222.2224.7219.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)70% (10)67% (6)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics73581579%121.0109.3+11.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder73512270%120.5113.0+7.5
3 Minnesota Timberwolves73512270%113.0106.2+6.8
4 Denver Nuggets74512369%114.4109.9+4.4
5 Milwaukee Bucks72462664%120.0116.6+3.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers73462763%116.1112.6+3.5
7 New Orleans Pelicans72442861%115.4109.9+5.6
8 New York Knicks72442861%112.5107.3+5.1
9 Cleveland Cavaliers74452961%112.7109.4+3.3
10 Dallas Mavericks73442960%118.6116.4+2.2
11 Phoenix Suns73433059%116.9114.2+2.7
12 Sacramento Kings72423058%117.1116.0+1.1
13 Orlando Magic74433158%110.5108.3+2.3
14 Indiana Pacers73403355%122.7120.7+2.0
15 Miami Heat73403355%109.8108.5+1.2
16 Los Angeles Lakers72393354%117.7118.3-0.6
17 Golden State Warriors73393453%118.0115.9+2.1
18 Philadelphia 76ers74393553%114.1112.1+2.0
19 Houston Rockets73383552%114.3112.4+1.9
20 Chicago Bulls74353947%112.1113.7-1.6
21 Atlanta Hawks74344046%119.2120.5-1.4
22 Brooklyn Nets74294539%111.2113.5-2.2
23 Utah Jazz74294539%116.3120.5-4.2
24 Memphis Grizzlies74245032%105.9113.2-7.3
25 Toronto Raptors73235032%112.6118.1-5.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers74195526%107.2116.2-9.0
27 Charlotte Hornets73185525%106.2116.7-10.5
28 San Antonio Spurs74185624%112.2119.3-7.1
29 Washington Wizards74146019%113.4123.0-9.6
30 Detroit Pistons74136118%110.6119.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30353629130
Cleveland Cavaliers26302124101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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