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Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 135-149
38-40 27-40 36-36 34-33
Position#9
Record16-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game119.1
Allowed / game116.1
vs
Position#2
Record26-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game121.8
Allowed / game110.2
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers
18 Mar 2027
DEN v CLE
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DEN117
CLE119
27 Dec 2024
DEN135
CLE149
31 Mar 2024
DEN130
CLE101
06 Jan 2023
DEN121
CLE108
25 Oct 2021
DEN87
CLE99
10 Feb 2021
DEN133
CLE95
11 Jan 2020
DEN103
CLE111
19 Jan 2019
DEN124
CLE102
07 Mar 2018
DEN108
CLE113
22 Mar 2017
DEN126
CLE113
29 Dec 2015
DEN87
CLE93
07 Nov 2014
DEN101
CLE110
17 Jan 2014
DEN109
CLE117
11 Jan 2013
DEN98
CLE91
07 Mar 2012
DEN99
CLE100
15 Jan 2011
DEN127
CLE99
08 Jan 2010
DEN99
CLE97
19 Dec 2008
DEN88
CLE105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
119-115
119
115
+4
118avg 110
H04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
114-126
114
126
-12
105avg 110
A06/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
113-122
113
122
-9
109avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
141-111
141
111
+30
150avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
120-98
120
98
+22
120avg 110
H14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-129
130
129
+1
131avg 110
A17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
124-126
124
126
-2
124avg 110
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
132-129 OT
132
129
+3
131avg 110
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
117-90
117
90
+27
119avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
100-110
100
110
-10
94avg 110
A26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-31
24-26
33-28
29-30
27-37
35-29
25-36
27-24
29-36
28-33
36-30
20-23
38-23
33-25
35-36
35-27
29-22
19-25
35-22
37-29
41-21
34-47
21-35
34-26
35-30
31-36
21-38
37-22
28-29
31-38
22-26
38-26
27-26
28-25
45-28
17-11
34-38
22-20
22-27
22-25
236.6Avg total
121.0Scored
115.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)119.1116.1235.2+3.057%
Season at home (12)118.0114.0232.0+4.067%
Season away (16)119.9117.7237.6+2.250%
Last 10 (10)121.0115.6236.6+5.460%
Last 5 (5)120.6116.8237.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)108.3116.7225.0-8.333%
vs Similar (15)113.7115.7229.4-2.147%
vs Weaker (12)122.0114.8236.8+7.267%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCavaliers
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
W
115-111
115
111
+4
110avg 109
H01/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
118-87
118
87
+31
114avg 109
H04/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
126-114
126
114
+12
122avg 109
H06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
116-102
116
102
+14
115avg 109
A07/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
113-122
113
122
-9
104avg 109
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
115-105
115
105
+10
105avg 109
H14/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
130-101
130
101
+29
133avg 109
A17/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
124-101
124
101
+23
123avg 109
H21/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
126-99
126
99
+27
126avg 109
H22/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
124-113
124
113
+11
119avg 109
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
23-25
21-35
43-27
35-20
25-22
26-25
32-20
37-27
29-35
36-25
24-27
40-18
23-34
30-31
23-19
25-21
26-38
29-31
33-32
25-25
32-29
30-26
28-25
37-17
35-23
32-37
26-24
29-20
40-31
34-25
21-25
30-30
36-25
33-21
27-23
29-27
31-29
39-32
25-25
226.2Avg total
120.7Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)121.8110.2232.0+11.687%
Season at home (18)123.2109.1232.3+14.194%
Season away (12)119.7111.8231.5+7.875%
Last 10 (10)120.7105.5226.2+15.290%
Last 5 (5)123.8103.8227.6+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)116.0115.5231.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)122.2109.8232.0+12.489%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +8.6+8.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +8.6+8.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
Denver NuggetsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A06/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A08/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
71-48
71
48
+23
A08/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H14/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A17/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
D
66-66
66
66
+0
A20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A26/12
NBA
120.3Avg total
60.6Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.760.1117.7-2.430%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.558.2113.8-2.738%-
Last 30 away (17)59.361.5120.8-2.224%-
Last 10 (10)60.659.7120.3+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)62.262.0124.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)56.063.3119.3-7.30%-
vs Similar (15)56.059.1115.1-3.133%-
vs Weaker (12)60.260.4120.6-0.233%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H01/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H04/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A07/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H14/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
72-40
72
40
+32
A17/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H21/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H22/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H24/12
NBA
113.5Avg total
61.5Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.554.6117.2+7.977%-
Last 30 at home (18)65.854.2120.0+11.6100%-
Last 30 away (12)57.755.2112.9+2.442%-
Last 10 (10)61.552.0113.5+9.590%-
Last 5 (5)64.851.2116.0+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)49.557.0106.5-7.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)63.554.5117.9+9.079%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers71.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.635.6
59.7%
54.3%71.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.3
35.2%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws25.618.9
73.8%
77.8%18.9
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 120.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers53.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.9
56.2%
54.3%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.417.9
41.2%
35.9%53.7
🏀 Free throws22.917.2
75.1%
77.8%17.2
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWWWLLW
Cleveland Cavaliers
WWWWWLWWWW
#9
League position
#2
+5.1
Net rating
+15.0
114.7
Offensive rating
119.4
109.6
Defensive rating
104.4
57.4%
Effective FG%
59.0%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
12.7%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.2%
3-point %
41.2%
69.5%
Assist %
68.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 119.4Defence109.6 · 104.4Shooting57.4% · 59.0%3-point %35.2% · 41.2%Ball care15.1% · 12.7%Off. rebounds24.8% · 22.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/24APhoenix Suns100-110
24/12/24HPhoenix Suns117-90
23/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans132-129 OT
20/12/24APortland Trail Blazers124-126
17/12/24ASacramento Kings130-129
14/12/24HLos Angeles Clippers120-98
08/12/24AAtlanta Hawks141-111
08/12/24AWashington Wizards113-122
06/12/24ACleveland Cavaliers114-126
04/12/24HGolden State Warriors119-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24HUtah Jazz124-113
22/12/24HPhiladelphia 76ers126-99
21/12/24HMilwaukee Bucks124-101
17/12/24ABrooklyn Nets130-101
14/12/24HWashington Wizards115-105
08/12/24AMiami Heat113-122
07/12/24ACharlotte Hornets116-102
06/12/24HDenver Nuggets126-114
04/12/24HWashington Wizards118-87
01/12/24HBoston Celtics115-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game119.1118.0119.9
Allowed / game116.1114.0117.7
Point differential+3.0+4.0+2.2
Avg total235.2232.0237.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)67% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %11%0%19%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLLWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %87%94%75%
Points / game121.8123.2119.7
Allowed / game110.2109.1111.8
Point differential+11.6+14.1+7.8
Avg total232.0232.3231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%78%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3026487%121.8110.2+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder2722581%115.3103.8+11.5
3 Boston Celtics3123874%119.6109.7+10.0
4 New York Knicks3021970%117.6109.3+8.3
5 Houston Rockets2920969%114.8107.1+7.7
6 Memphis Grizzlies32221069%124.0113.7+10.2
7 Dallas Mavericks29191066%118.7111.6+7.1
8 Orlando Magic32191359%105.9103.3+2.7
9 Denver Nuggets28161257%119.1116.1+3.0
10 Los Angeles Clippers30171357%109.6107.6+2.0
11 Los Angeles Lakers30171357%111.3113.8-2.5
12 Miami Heat28151354%111.3108.6+2.7
13 Golden State Warriors28151354%113.6111.7+2.0
14 Minnesota Timberwolves30161453%109.2107.1+2.1
15 Milwaukee Bucks27141352%112.5111.6+0.9
16 Phoenix Suns29151452%113.3114.6-1.3
17 Atlanta Hawks29151452%118.0120.5-2.4
18 San Antonio Spurs31161552%111.2112.0-0.8
19 Indiana Pacers32151747%114.4116.8-2.4
20 Detroit Pistons31141745%111.9114.5-2.6
21 Sacramento Kings31131842%114.7113.6+1.2
22 Chicago Bulls31131842%117.7121.8-4.1
23 Philadelphia 76ers28111739%106.4110.5-4.2
24 Brooklyn Nets31121939%108.1113.1-5.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers30102033%107.6116.9-9.3
26 Utah Jazz2972224%110.6119.6-8.9
27 Charlotte Hornets3072323%106.5113.0-6.5
28 Toronto Raptors3172423%112.5118.5-6.0
29 Washington Wizards2852318%107.6121.8-14.2
30 New Orleans Pelicans3252716%106.5118.0-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets38273634135
Cleveland Cavaliers40403633149
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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