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Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 130-110
38-25 34-24 29-34 29-27
Position#3
Record36-19
FormWWLLL
Points / game113.9
Allowed / game110.8
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
vs
Washington Wizards
USA
Position#29
Record9-45
FormLLLLL
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game123.9
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards
21 Jan 2027
DEN v WAS
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
DEN121
WAS115
15 Mar 2025
DEN123
WAS126
22 Feb 2024
DEN130
WAS110
14 Dec 2022
DEN141
WAS128
13 Dec 2021
DEN113
WAS107
25 Feb 2021
DEN110
WAS112
22 Jul 2020
DEN89
WAS82
26 Nov 2019
DEN117
WAS104
31 Mar 2019
DEN90
WAS95
23 Oct 2017
DEN104
WAS109
08 Mar 2017
DEN113
WAS123
12 Mar 2016
DEN116
WAS100
25 Jan 2015
DEN115
WAS117
23 Mar 2014
DEN105
WAS102
18 Jan 2013
DEN108
WAS112
25 Mar 2011
DEN114
WAS94
16 Mar 2010
DEN97
WAS87
20 Mar 2009
DEN116
WAS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
L
84-122
84
122
-38
72avg 109
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
111-105
111
105
+6
102avg 109
H27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
113-107
113
107
+6
110avg 109
H30/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
100-105
100
105
-5
86avg 109
A01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
120-108
120
108
+12
122avg 109
H03/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
112-103
112
103
+9
107avg 109
H05/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
114-106
114
106
+8
113avg 109
A09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
106-135
106
135
-29
96avg 109
A10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
95-112
95
112
-17
82avg 109
A13/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
98-102
98
102
-4
90avg 109
H15/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
20-29
25-36
18-24
31-27
33-35
22-26
25-17
25-26
31-30
26-19
31-32
28-19
23-28
21-26
28-32
33-20
26-35
33-29
28-24
25-37
35-26
26-21
26-19
29-23
30-26
24-30
31-27
35-32
22-35
29-39
20-29
23-28
21-32
19-31
32-21
27-16
26-25
21-30
24-31
215.8Avg total
105.3Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)113.9110.8224.8+3.165%
Season at home (26)118.7109.5228.2+9.281%
Season away (29)109.7112.0221.7-2.352%
Last 10 (10)105.3110.5215.8-5.250%
Last 5 (5)105.0111.6216.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0100.0202.0+2.0100%
vs Similar (17)111.4114.6226.1-3.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)117.9106.2224.1+11.892%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
118-104
118
104
+14
108avg 106
A27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
118-113
118
113
+5
118avg 106
A30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
109-125
109
125
-16
93avg 106
H01/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
102-110
102
110
-8
93avg 106
H03/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
112-140
112
140
-28
101avg 106
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 106
H08/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
129-133
129
133
-4
122avg 106
A10/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
113-119
113
119
-6
107avg 106
H11/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
104-112
104
112
-8
90avg 106
A13/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
126-133
126
133
-7
124avg 106
A15/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-33
25-30
26-22
31-19
25-35
29-23
33-35
31-20
35-37
25-29
19-40
30-19
33-31
26-25
15-31
28-23
28-42
30-37
28-37
26-24
27-27
30-30
22-23
27-34
35-31
36-33
16-36
42-33
26-33
30-26
24-31
33-29
22-26
36-25
30-27
16-34
26-31
34-37
38-31
28-34
234.0Avg total
113.7Scored
120.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)114.8123.9238.6-9.117%
Season at home (26)114.2125.1239.3-10.812%
Season away (28)115.3122.8238.0-7.521%
Last 10 (10)113.7120.3234.0-6.620%
Last 5 (5)115.6122.2237.8-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)112.3121.7234.0-9.38%
vs Similar (6)116.7121.0237.7-4.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
Denver NuggetsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H30/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H03/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H05/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A09/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A13/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/02
NBA
110.6Avg total
54.4Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.956.3114.2+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.853.3112.1+5.569%-
Last 30 away (14)56.959.7116.6-2.836%-
Last 10 (10)54.456.2110.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)54.656.0110.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.061.0116.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (17)58.057.7115.7+0.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)58.153.9112.0+4.258%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H01/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H03/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
58-79
58
79
-21
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H08/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A10/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H11/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A13/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A15/02
NBA
121.5Avg total
59.4Scored
62.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.060.3117.3-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.963.1120.1-6.219%-
Last 30 away (14)57.157.1114.1+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)59.462.1121.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)60.459.8120.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)56.260.0116.2-3.833%-
vs Similar (6)60.061.5121.5-1.517%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.029.1
50.2%
54.4%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.5
34.0%
36.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.115.6
77.6%
78.2%15.6
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.231.3
53.8%
54.4%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.012.4
34.4%
36.3%37.2
🏀 Free throws18.413.9
75.5%
78.2%13.9
They take 94.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLLWWWLWWL
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLLLWW
#3
League position
#29
-5.4
Net rating
-6.3
109.5
Offensive rating
108.1
114.9
Defensive rating
114.3
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.0%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
12.1%
Turnover %
13.5%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.0%
3-point %
34.4%
66.9%
Assist %
65.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 108.1Defence114.9 · 114.3Shooting50.4% · 53.0%3-point %34.0% · 34.4%Ball care12.1% · 13.5%Off. rebounds27.2% · 23.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Washington Wizards wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets104-113
22/03/23Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets104-118
15/12/22Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards141-128
16/03/22Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets109-127
14/12/21Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards113-107
26/02/21Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards110-112
18/02/21Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets130-128
22/07/20Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards89-82
05/01/20Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets128-114
27/11/19Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards117-104
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HSacramento Kings98-102
13/02/24AMilwaukee Bucks95-112
10/02/24ASacramento Kings106-135
09/02/24ALos Angeles Lakers114-106
05/02/24HPortland Trail Blazers112-103
03/02/24HPortland Trail Blazers120-108
01/02/24AOklahoma City Thunder100-105
30/01/24HMilwaukee Bucks113-107
27/01/24HPhiladelphia 76ers111-105
26/01/24ANew York Knicks84-122
Washington Wizardslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24ANew Orleans Pelicans126-133
13/02/24ADallas Mavericks104-112
11/02/24HPhiladelphia 76ers113-119
10/02/24ABoston Celtics129-133
08/02/24HCleveland Cavaliers106-114
04/02/24HPhoenix Suns112-140
03/02/24HMiami Heat102-110
01/02/24HLos Angeles Clippers109-125
30/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs118-113
27/01/24ADetroit Pistons118-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL65%
HomeWWWWL81%
AwayLLWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552629
Win %65%81%52%
Points / game113.9118.7109.7
Allowed / game110.8109.5112.0
Point differential+3.1+9.2-2.3
Avg total224.8228.2221.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%3%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)40% (5)55% (11)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayWWLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542628
Win %17%12%21%
Points / game114.8114.2115.3
Allowed / game123.9125.1122.8
Point differential-9.1-10.8-7.5
Avg total238.6239.3238.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%4%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (12)0% (3)22% (9)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics55441180%121.0110.4+10.6
2 Minnesota Timberwolves55391671%114.0106.7+7.3
3 Oklahoma City Thunder55381769%121.0113.5+7.5
4 Cleveland Cavaliers54361867%114.8109.3+5.4
5 Los Angeles Clippers54361867%118.1113.0+5.1
6 Denver Nuggets55361965%113.9110.8+3.1
7 Milwaukee Bucks54342063%121.6118.6+3.0
8 New York Knicks55342162%114.3109.0+5.2
9 New Orleans Pelicans54332161%117.0111.6+5.4
10 Phoenix Suns55332260%117.8114.7+3.1
11 Dallas Mavericks56332359%118.7117.2+1.6
12 Sacramento Kings53312258%118.4117.8+0.7
13 Philadelphia 76ers55322358%117.9113.9+4.1
14 Orlando Magic56312555%111.8110.8+1.0
15 Indiana Pacers55302555%123.8122.4+1.4
16 Miami Heat55302555%110.6110.4+0.2
17 Los Angeles Lakers54282652%116.9117.9-1.0
18 Golden State Warriors53272651%119.7118.2+1.5
19 Chicago Bulls56263046%111.8113.2-1.4
20 Utah Jazz56263046%118.0120.7-2.7
21 Houston Rockets55243144%113.2113.0+0.2
22 Atlanta Hawks55243144%121.3123.9-2.6
23 Brooklyn Nets55213438%113.0115.7-2.7
24 Toronto Raptors56203636%114.0117.3-3.3
25 Memphis Grizzlies56203636%107.1113.0-5.9
26 Portland Trail Blazers54153928%107.9116.7-8.8
27 Charlotte Hornets54134124%108.6119.4-10.7
28 San Antonio Spurs55114420%111.8120.4-8.6
29 Washington Wizards5494517%114.8123.9-9.1
30 Detroit Pistons5584715%112.9122.1-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets38342929130
Washington Wizards25243427110
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