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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 116-114 (OT)
22-19 35-31 20-29 29-27 10-8
Position#22
Record24-38
FormWLLWL
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game104.4
vs
Position#16
Record33-29
FormLWWWL
Points / game102.5
Allowed / game102.4
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
104-105
104
105
-1
95avg 92
A09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
103-92
103
92
+11
100avg 92
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
110-116
110
116
-6
101avg 92
A20/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
101-121
101
121
-20
92avg 92
H21/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
110-114
110
114
-4
96avg 92
H24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 92
A25/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
116-122 OT
116
122
-6
101avg 92
A27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
96-103
96
103
-7
98avg 92
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
117-107
117
107
+10
110avg 92
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
120-121 OT
120
121
-1
115avg 92
H05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
27-29
29-26
26-24
20-22
32-31
23-18
28-21
24-31
33-39
20-18
33-28
17-35
32-29
29-27
23-30
25-28
25-33
27-30
33-23
23-19
30-20
18-23
16-19
28-20
28-24
24-32
28-32
19-22
28-26
24-23
25-32
27-29
30-31
26-22
34-25
25-31
32-32
33-27
22-22
214.6Avg total
106.4Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)101.3104.4205.7-3.039%
Season at home (31)103.4106.5210.0-3.139%
Season away (31)99.3102.2201.4-2.939%
Last 10 (10)106.4108.2214.6-1.830%
Last 5 (5)107.2106.8214.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)102.8105.1207.9-2.238%
vs Similar ◀ (14)103.1104.0207.1-0.943%
vs Weaker (3)113.7111.0224.7+2.733%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
90-116
90
116
-26
80avg 92
H06/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
114-110 OT
114
110
+4
103avg 92
A07/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
119-121 OT
119
121
-2
114avg 92
H10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
92avg 92
A20/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
129-103
129
103
+26
125avg 92
H22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
103-116
103
116
-13
94avg 92
H25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
122-116 OT
122
116
+6
116avg 92
H27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
128-101
128
101
+27
130avg 92
H29/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
121-108
121
108
+13
119avg 92
H02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
101-104
101
104
-3
93avg 92
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
14-35
34-26
30-28
25-30
29-22
25-28
23-22
29-21
29-30
29-27
23-32
13-31
38-25
30-16
17-26
28-30
38-24
29-26
34-23
24-33
27-25
30-29
22-29
20-28
24-28
32-24
32-28
39-24
26-30
34-20
29-27
35-27
34-34
27-20
25-27
24-19
21-31
24-23
32-31
223.6Avg total
113.1Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)102.5102.4204.9+0.053%
Season at home (32)105.3101.3206.6+3.959%
Season away (30)99.4103.6203.0-4.147%
Last 10 (10)113.1110.5223.6+2.650%
Last 5 (5)115.0109.0224.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)97.8113.8211.5-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)105.3103.5208.8+1.856%
vs Weaker (4)100.887.5188.2+13.2100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A20/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H21/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A25/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H05/03
NBA
108.4Avg total
52.7Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.055.1107.1-3.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.257.3110.5-4.119%-
Last 30 away (14)50.752.6103.3-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)52.755.7108.4-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)54.050.8104.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)52.254.9107.1-2.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)51.454.4105.8-2.921%-
vs Weaker (3)54.359.3113.7-5.00%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
26-62
26
62
-36
H06/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A07/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A20/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H27/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H29/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H04/03
NBA
108.3Avg total
52.9Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.551.3100.8-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.650.1101.6+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)46.852.899.6-6.123%-
Last 10 (10)52.955.4108.3-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.855.8110.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.654.499.0-9.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)50.250.4100.6-0.244%-
vs Weaker (4)56.049.0105.0+7.075%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.531.9
51.0%
49.0%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.0
32.9%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.018.6
77.5%
75.5%18.6
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.629.0
53.1%
49.0%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.0
36.9%
35.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws27.022.1
81.9%
75.5%22.1
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWLLLWL
Dallas Mavericks
LWWWLWLLWL
#22
League position
#16
-1.8
Net rating
+2.6
104.8
Offensive rating
113.8
106.6
Defensive rating
111.2
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
12.2%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.9%
3-point %
36.9%
58.6%
Assist %
62.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 113.8Defence106.6 · 111.2Shooting50.6% · 53.9%3-point %32.9% · 36.9%Ball care15.1% · 12.2%Off. rebounds25.3% · 20.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/16HBrooklyn Nets120-121 OT
03/03/16HLos Angeles Lakers117-107
01/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies96-103
27/02/16ADallas Mavericks116-122 OT
25/02/16ALos Angeles Clippers87-81
24/02/16HSacramento Kings110-114
21/02/16HBoston Celtics101-121
20/02/16ASacramento Kings110-116
11/02/16ADetroit Pistons103-92
09/02/16ABrooklyn Nets104-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/16HSacramento Kings101-104
02/03/16HOrlando Magic121-108
29/02/16HMinnesota Timberwolves128-101
27/02/16HDenver Nuggets122-116 OT
25/02/16HOklahoma City Thunder103-116
22/02/16HPhiladelphia 76ers129-103
20/02/16AOrlando Magic104-110 OT
10/02/16HUtah Jazz119-121 OT
07/02/16AMemphis Grizzlies114-110 OT
06/02/16HSan Antonio Spurs90-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL39%
HomeLLLWL39%
AwayLWLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623131
Win %39%39%39%
Points / game101.3103.499.3
Allowed / game104.4106.5102.2
Point differential-3.0-3.1-2.9
Avg total205.7210.0201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%6%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (23)57% (14)56% (9)
Overtime %8%6%10%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeLWWWL59%
AwayWLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623230
Win %53%59%47%
Points / game102.5105.399.4
Allowed / game102.4101.3103.6
Point differential+0.0+3.9-4.1
Avg total204.9206.6203.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%34%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won37% (19)20% (10)56% (9)
Overtime %16%19%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors6155690%115.1104.3+10.8
2 San Antonio Spurs6253985%104.792.2+12.5
3 Cleveland Cavaliers61441772%103.297.1+6.2
4 Toronto Raptors60411968%102.698.1+4.5
5 Oklahoma City Thunder63432068%110.0103.2+6.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers61402166%104.8100.3+4.5
7 Memphis Grizzlies62372560%99.199.5-0.4
8 Boston Celtics64382659%106.1102.0+4.1
9 Miami Heat62362658%97.996.9+1.0
10 Atlanta Hawks63352856%102.499.4+3.0
11 Charlotte Hornets61332854%102.3100.5+1.8
12 Dallas Mavericks62332953%102.5102.4+0.0
13 Indiana Pacers63333052%102.2100.6+1.7
14 Portland Trail Blazers63333052%103.6102.5+1.1
15 Chicago Bulls61313051%101.6102.7-1.1
16 Detroit Pistons62313150%101.3100.5+0.8
17 Houston Rockets62303248%105.5106.9-1.5
18 Washington Wizards62303248%102.6104.3-1.7
19 Utah Jazz62293347%97.997.2+0.7
20 Orlando Magic61273444%100.6102.2-1.5
21 Milwaukee Bucks63263741%99.3103.3-4.0
22 Sacramento Kings61253641%106.8109.3-2.5
23 New York Knicks64263841%99.0101.5-2.5
24 Denver Nuggets62243839%101.3104.4-3.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans61233838%102.3105.4-3.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves63204332%101.5105.5-3.9
27 Brooklyn Nets63184529%97.7104.3-6.6
28 Phoenix Suns63174627%100.6107.4-6.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers64135120%97.7107.0-9.3
30 Philadelphia 76ers6285413%96.5107.2-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Denver Nuggets2235202910116
Dallas Mavericks193129278114
← all games of the day
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