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Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 90-95
34-23 28-30 10-22 18-20
Position#4
Record54-25
FormWLWLW
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game106.8
vs
Position#22
Record34-47
FormLLLWL
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game116.8
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards
21 Jan 2027
DEN v WAS
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
DEN121
WAS115
15 Mar 2025
DEN123
WAS126
22 Feb 2024
DEN130
WAS110
14 Dec 2022
DEN141
WAS128
13 Dec 2021
DEN113
WAS107
25 Feb 2021
DEN110
WAS112
22 Jul 2020
DEN89
WAS82
26 Nov 2019
DEN117
WAS104
31 Mar 2019
DEN90
WAS95
23 Oct 2017
DEN104
WAS109
08 Mar 2017
DEN113
WAS123
12 Mar 2016
DEN116
WAS100
25 Jan 2015
DEN115
WAS117
23 Mar 2014
DEN105
WAS102
18 Jan 2013
DEN108
WAS112
25 Mar 2011
DEN114
WAS94
16 Mar 2010
DEN97
WAS87
20 Mar 2009
DEN116
WAS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
133-107
133
107
+26
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
100-99
100
99
+1
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
114-105
114
105
+9
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
113-108
113
108
+5
A21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
111-93
111
93
+18
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
88-124
88
124
-36
A24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
95-92
95
92
+3
H27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
85-112
85
112
-27
A29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
115-105
115
105
+10
A30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
27-28
36-30
39-29
26-29
25-28
28-32
21-10
25-36
32-24
22-15
23-25
24-22
31-30
25-28
34-25
33-30
28-23
24-32
28-23
37-18
19-24
26-20
29-31
23-27
23-35
21-30
21-32
27-9
39-30
15-23
14-30
25-22
19-40
21-25
20-25
33-29
23-23
30-23
29-30
210.1Avg total
105.6Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)111.1106.8217.9+4.368%
Season at home (37)115.1104.4219.5+10.784%
Season away (42)107.5108.9216.4-1.455%
Last 10 (10)105.6104.5210.1+1.180%
Last 5 (5)98.8105.2204.0-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)109.5109.4218.9+0.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)112.3106.4218.7+5.980%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#16
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H13/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
110-116
110
116
-6
H15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
135-128
135
128
+7
H16/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
95-116
95
116
-21
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
120-126 OT
120
126
-6
A21/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
108-113
108
113
-5
H21/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
108-113
108
113
-5
H23/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
106-124
106
124
-18
A27/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
124-121
124
121
+3
A28/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
124-128
124
128
-4
A30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
32-25
15-21
24-16
26-40
27-26
25-29
32-21
35-37
34-34
36-32
30-25
24-31
21-26
26-34
24-25
28-35
32-25
21-25
32-28
30-33
23-28
32-24
23-28
27-25
26-27
26-26
29-35
29-34
27-33
27-30
23-27
27-30
32-29
30-31
35-31
30-39
32-31
28-22
34-36
230.5Avg total
113.0Scored
117.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)114.4116.8231.1-2.442%
Season at home (40)117.0114.5231.4+2.557%
Season away (41)111.8119.0230.8-7.227%
Last 10 (10)113.0117.5230.5-4.530%
Last 5 (5)114.0119.8233.8-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)112.5121.2233.7-8.710%
vs Similar (15)117.3117.7234.9-0.447%
vs Weaker (5)122.0118.8240.8+3.260%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
Denver NuggetsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#18
W
66-39
66
39
+27
H27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A30/03
NBA
107.7Avg total
55.0Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.657.7115.3-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)62.357.1119.4+5.269%-
Last 30 away (17)54.058.2112.2-4.235%-
Last 10 (10)55.052.7107.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)53.651.4105.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)56.658.7115.3-2.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)58.656.7115.3+1.953%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#16
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H13/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H16/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A21/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H21/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H23/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
56-67
56
67
-11
A27/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A28/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A30/03
NBA
118.7Avg total
57.1Scored
61.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.060.4119.4-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.660.4117.9-2.836%-
Last 30 away (16)60.260.5120.8-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)57.161.6118.7-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)56.661.8118.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)56.363.4119.7-7.120%-
vs Similar (15)59.959.6119.5+0.347%-
vs Weaker (5)61.657.0118.6+4.640%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.729.6
53.1%
51.7%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.2
35.3%
35.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws15.412.4
80.5%
76.6%12.4
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.330.2
53.6%
51.7%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.7
34.3%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws26.520.6
77.7%
76.6%20.6
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWWWWW
Washington Wizards
LWLLLLLWLW
#4
League position
#22
+0.9
Net rating
-2.9
108.9
Offensive rating
111.3
107.9
Defensive rating
114.2
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.9%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.3%
3-point %
34.3%
66.7%
Assist %
58.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 111.3Defence107.9 · 114.2Shooting53.1% · 52.9%3-point %35.3% · 34.3%Ball care13.1% · 12.9%Off. rebounds24.3% · 22.8%Free throws0.18 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/19AOklahoma City Thunder115-105
29/03/19AHouston Rockets85-112
27/03/19HDetroit Pistons95-92
24/03/19AIndiana Pacers88-124
22/03/19ANew York Knicks111-93
21/03/19AWashington Wizards113-108
18/03/19ABoston Celtics114-105
17/03/19HIndiana Pacers102-100
15/03/19HDallas Mavericks100-99
13/03/19HMinnesota Timberwolves133-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/19AUtah Jazz124-128
28/03/19APhoenix Suns124-121
27/03/19ALos Angeles Lakers106-124
23/03/19HMiami Heat108-113
21/03/19HDenver Nuggets108-113
21/03/19AChicago Bulls120-126 OT
18/03/19HUtah Jazz95-116
16/03/19HMemphis Grizzlies135-128
15/03/19HCharlotte Hornets110-116
13/03/19HOrlando Magic100-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW68%
HomeLWWWW84%
AwayWWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games793742
Win %68%84%55%
Points / game111.1115.1107.5
Allowed / game106.8104.4108.9
Point differential+4.3+10.7-1.4
Avg total217.9219.5216.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%46%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (24)89% (9)80% (15)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeLWLLL57%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814041
Win %42%57%27%
Points / game114.4117.0111.8
Allowed / game116.8114.5119.0
Point differential-2.4+2.5-7.2
Avg total231.1231.4230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (21)36% (11)50% (10)
Overtime %10%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks81602174%118.1108.4+9.7
2 Toronto Raptors81572470%114.4108.2+6.1
3 Denver Nuggets79542568%111.1106.8+4.3
4 Golden State Warriors80522865%117.1111.9+5.2
5 Philadelphia 76ers79512865%115.3112.2+3.2
6 Houston Rockets81522964%113.0109.2+3.9
7 Portland Trail Blazers81513063%114.2110.2+4.1
8 Utah Jazz79493062%111.5105.9+5.6
9 Los Angeles Clippers80493161%115.0113.0+2.0
10 Indiana Pacers81473458%107.7104.3+3.4
11 Oklahoma City Thunder81473458%113.7110.5+3.2
12 San Antonio Spurs82473557%111.6109.9+1.7
13 Boston Celtics81463557%111.9108.1+3.8
14 Detroit Pistons81414051%107.3107.4-0.1
15 Brooklyn Nets81414051%111.6112.2-0.6
16 Miami Heat82414150%106.1106.1+0.0
17 Charlotte Hornets80394149%111.1111.8-0.6
18 Orlando Magic81394248%105.9106.0-0.1
19 Sacramento Kings82394348%113.6115.1-1.5
20 Los Angeles Lakers83384546%112.2113.6-1.4
21 Minnesota Timberwolves81354643%112.4114.4-2.0
22 Washington Wizards81344742%114.4116.8-2.4
23 Memphis Grizzlies81334841%103.3106.0-2.7
24 Dallas Mavericks79314839%108.7110.3-1.6
25 New Orleans Pelicans83325139%115.2117.0-1.8
26 Atlanta Hawks82305237%113.0118.7-5.7
27 Chicago Bulls82235928%104.9112.9-8.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers81216026%104.6113.5-8.9
29 Phoenix Suns81186322%106.6116.1-9.4
30 New York Knicks81176421%105.1113.9-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets3428101890
Washington Wizards2330222095
← all games of the day
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