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Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 101-121
17-35 32-29 29-27 23-30
Position#22
Record22-33
FormWWLWL
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game103.7
Denver Nuggets
USA
vs
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
Position#9
Record32-24
FormWWLWL
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game101.7
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics
18 Nov 2026
DEN v BOS
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
DEN103
BOS84
07 Jan 2025
DEN106
BOS118
07 Mar 2024
DEN115
BOS109
01 Jan 2023
DEN123
BOS111
20 Mar 2022
DEN104
BOS124
11 Apr 2021
DEN87
BOS105
22 Nov 2019
DEN96
BOS92
05 Nov 2018
DEN115
BOS107
29 Jan 2018
DEN110
BOS111
10 Mar 2017
DEN119
BOS99
21 Feb 2016
DEN101
BOS121
23 Jan 2015
DEN99
BOS100
07 Jan 2014
DEN129
BOS98
19 Feb 2013
DEN97
BOS90
17 Mar 2012
DEN98
BOS91
24 Feb 2011
DEN89
BOS75
21 Feb 2010
DEN114
BOS105
23 Feb 2009
DEN76
BOS114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#9
L
103-111
103
111
-8
98avg 91
A28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
117-113
117
113
+4
111avg 91
A29/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
105-109 OT
105
109
-4
98avg 91
A31/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
112-93
112
93
+19
115avg 91
H02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
81-85
81
85
-4
67avg 91
A04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
115-110
115
110
+5
104avg 91
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
101-96
101
96
+5
91avg 91
A07/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
104-105
104
105
-1
95avg 91
A09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
103-92
103
92
+11
100avg 91
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
110-116
110
116
-6
101avg 91
A20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
24-26
26-31
32-25
29-29
35-29
27-21
26-34
27-35
24-24
32-21
16-19
28-28
32-21
20-16
32-28
23-21
23-19
17-21
18-24
30-26
25-31
18-32
42-21
31-20
29-29
17-30
24-17
22-26
27-29
29-26
26-24
20-22
32-31
23-18
28-21
24-31
33-39
20-18
33-28
208.1Avg total
105.1Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)100.7103.7204.3-3.040%
Season at home (26)102.4105.3207.7-2.942%
Season away (29)99.1102.2201.3-3.138%
Last 10 (10)105.1103.0208.1+2.150%
Last 5 (5)106.6103.8210.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)101.5105.1206.6-3.727%
vs Similar (13)103.9103.3207.2+0.654%
vs Weaker (2)105.5108.0213.5-2.50%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
111-103
111
103
+8
103avg 96
H28/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
113-94
113
94
+19
111avg 96
H30/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
114-119
114
119
-5
95avg 96
A31/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
97-89
97
89
+8
85avg 96
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 96
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
104-103
104
103
+1
95avg 96
A06/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
128-119
128
119
+9
132avg 96
H07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
111-112
111
112
-1
109avg 96
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
139-134 OT
139
134
+5
135avg 96
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
93-111
93
111
-18
74avg 96
A20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
26-24
31-26
25-32
26-22
32-28
28-27
27-17
32-24
22-23
27-34
33-38
21-22
24-25
25-18
27-24
27-16
29-20
22-24
24-35
20-32
23-17
22-24
39-30
46-37
28-21
21-29
33-32
30-26
24-27
20-40
37-19
33-37
38-27
27-27
24-31
24-26
25-28
23-29
21-28
219.1Avg total
111.2Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)105.5101.7207.2+3.857%
Season at home (27)106.2100.8207.0+5.463%
Season away (29)104.9102.6207.5+2.352%
Last 10 (10)111.2107.9219.1+3.370%
Last 5 (5)115.0115.8230.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)107.2105.2212.5+2.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)107.9102.9210.8+4.959%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
Denver NuggetsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#9
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A28/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A29/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A31/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A07/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A20/02
NBA
108.4Avg total
53.9Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.755.2107.9-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.156.6111.6-1.536%-
Last 30 away (16)50.654.1104.6-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)53.954.5108.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)54.656.8111.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)51.355.1106.4-3.733%-
vs Similar (13)53.655.8109.4-2.231%-
vs Weaker (2)56.553.0109.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H28/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H30/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A31/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A06/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A20/02
NBA
106.2Avg total
55.9Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.649.3103.9+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.849.7108.5+9.186%-
Last 30 away (16)50.949.099.9+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)55.950.3106.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)58.255.6113.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)52.349.7102.0+2.669%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)56.349.1105.4+7.271%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.731.9
50.1%
49.0%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.8
33.3%
35.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws27.320.9
76.6%
75.5%20.9
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.131.5
49.9%
49.0%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.5
35.3%
35.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.719.7
83.1%
75.5%19.7
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWWLWLWL
Boston Celtics
LWLWWWWLWW
#22
League position
#9
+2.1
Net rating
+3.2
104.5
Offensive rating
108.6
102.4
Defensive rating
105.4
50.1%
Effective FG%
50.8%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.4%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.3%
3-point %
35.3%
58.9%
Assist %
62.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 108.6Defence102.4 · 105.4Shooting50.1% · 50.8%3-point %33.3% · 35.3%Ball care14.5% · 12.4%Off. rebounds23.3% · 23.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Boston Celtics wins
DateGameScore
28/01/16Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets111-103
05/02/15Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets104-100
24/01/15Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics99-100
08/01/14Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics129-98
07/12/13Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets106-98
20/02/13Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics97-90
10/02/13Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets118-114 OT
18/03/12Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics98-91
25/02/11Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics89-75
09/12/10Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets105-89
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/16ASacramento Kings110-116
11/02/16ADetroit Pistons103-92
09/02/16ABrooklyn Nets104-105
07/02/16ANew York Knicks101-96
06/02/16HChicago Bulls115-110
04/02/16AUtah Jazz81-85
02/02/16HToronto Raptors112-93
31/01/16AIndiana Pacers105-109 OT
29/01/16AWashington Wizards117-113
28/01/16ABoston Celtics103-111
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/16AUtah Jazz93-111
11/02/16HLos Angeles Clippers139-134 OT
10/02/16AMilwaukee Bucks111-112
07/02/16HSacramento Kings128-119
06/02/16ACleveland Cavaliers104-103
04/02/16HDetroit Pistons102-95
03/02/16ANew York Knicks97-89
31/01/16AOrlando Magic114-119
30/01/16HOrlando Magic113-94
28/01/16HDenver Nuggets111-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL40%
HomeLWLWW42%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552629
Win %40%42%38%
Points / game100.7102.499.1
Allowed / game103.7105.3102.2
Point differential-3.0-2.9-3.1
Avg total204.3207.7201.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%4%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (21)67% (12)56% (9)
Overtime %5%4%7%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWWWWW63%
AwayLWWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562729
Win %57%63%52%
Points / game105.5106.2104.9
Allowed / game101.7100.8102.6
Point differential+3.8+5.4+2.3
Avg total207.2207.0207.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%30%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)43% (7)30% (10)
Overtime %5%7%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5449591%115.3103.8+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs5546984%104.992.4+12.5
3 Cleveland Cavaliers54401474%103.296.8+6.4
4 Oklahoma City Thunder56401671%109.6102.1+7.5
5 Toronto Raptors53351866%101.997.7+4.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers55361965%104.8100.7+4.1
7 Memphis Grizzlies54322259%98.499.1-0.8
8 Boston Celtics56322457%105.5101.7+3.8
9 Miami Heat55312456%96.796.6+0.1
10 Atlanta Hawks57312654%102.7100.2+2.4
11 Indiana Pacers54292554%102.5100.3+2.3
12 Charlotte Hornets54282652%102.0100.8+1.2
13 Chicago Bulls54282652%101.4102.1-0.7
14 Dallas Mavericks56292752%100.9101.8-1.0
15 Portland Trail Blazers55282751%103.1102.0+1.1
16 Utah Jazz54272750%97.996.5+1.4
17 Houston Rockets56282850%105.2106.7-1.5
18 Detroit Pistons56272948%101.6101.1+0.5
19 Washington Wizards54252946%102.4104.9-2.4
20 Orlando Magic53242945%99.6100.9-1.3
21 Sacramento Kings54233143%107.2109.1-1.9
22 New York Knicks57243342%99.2101.3-2.1
23 Milwaukee Bucks56233341%98.4102.9-4.5
24 New Orleans Pelicans55223340%102.6105.3-2.6
25 Denver Nuggets55223340%100.7103.7-3.0
26 Minnesota Timberwolves56173930%100.4104.1-3.7
27 Brooklyn Nets55154027%96.5103.5-7.0
28 Phoenix Suns55144125%100.5106.9-6.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers56114520%96.8106.4-9.6
30 Philadelphia 76ers5484615%95.5105.6-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets17322923101
Boston Celtics35292730121
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