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Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 123-126
44-30 28-33 23-32 28-31
Position#9
Record43-24
FormWLWLW
Points / game121.2
Allowed / game116.7
vs
Position#29
Record14-51
FormWWLLW
Points / game108.7
Allowed / game120.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards
21 Jan 2027
DEN v WAS
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
DEN121
WAS115
15 Mar 2025
DEN123
WAS126
22 Feb 2024
DEN130
WAS110
14 Dec 2022
DEN141
WAS128
13 Dec 2021
DEN113
WAS107
25 Feb 2021
DEN110
WAS112
22 Jul 2020
DEN89
WAS82
26 Nov 2019
DEN117
WAS104
31 Mar 2019
DEN90
WAS95
23 Oct 2017
DEN104
WAS109
08 Mar 2017
DEN113
WAS123
12 Mar 2016
DEN116
WAS100
25 Jan 2015
DEN115
WAS117
23 Mar 2014
DEN105
WAS102
18 Jan 2013
DEN108
WAS112
25 Mar 2011
DEN114
WAS94
16 Mar 2010
DEN97
WAS87
20 Mar 2009
DEN116
WAS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
125-116
125
116
+9
130avg 113
A25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
112-121
112
121
-9
104avg 113
A28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
134-119
134
119
+15
135avg 113
A01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
103-110
103
110
-7
96avg 113
A02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
116-110
116
110
+6
111avg 113
H06/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
149-141 OT
149
141
+8
153avg 113
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
103-127
103
127
-24
87avg 113
A09/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
140-127
140
127
+13
144avg 113
A11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
95-115
95
115
-20
80avg 113
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
131-126
131
126
+5
126avg 113
H15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-28
28-30
36-25
25-33
30-30
27-24
24-30
31-37
39-31
29-32
39-24
27-32
20-32
28-29
29-22
26-27
29-42
26-23
29-28
32-17
37-28
31-28
34-35
23-34
29-28
31-33
23-25
20-41
34-32
33-41
34-26
39-28
26-34
22-23
27-32
20-26
32-40
39-27
31-32
29-27
242.0Avg total
120.8Scored
121.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)121.2116.7238.0+4.564%
Season at home (33)122.8116.6239.4+6.270%
Season away (34)119.6116.9236.6+2.759%
Last 10 (10)120.8121.2242.0-0.460%
Last 5 (5)123.6127.2250.8-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)115.3121.3236.7-6.033%
vs Similar (16)116.1114.9231.0+1.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)132.4118.8251.2+13.591%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#15
L
90-110
90
110
-20
79avg 99
A23/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
107-99
107
99
+8
108avg 99
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
121-129
121
129
-8
114avg 99
H27/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
113-100
113
100
+13
114avg 99
A01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
90-106
90
106
-16
79avg 99
A04/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
125-122
125
122
+3
118avg 99
H06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
118-117
118
117
+1
108avg 99
A09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
104-119
104
119
-15
85avg 99
A10/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
103-123
103
123
-20
90avg 99
A11/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
129-125
129
125
+4
126avg 99
A13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
18-22
17-32
26-29
30-20
37-39
18-28
22-12
27-34
27-21
34-39
33-35
24-25
30-34
30-16
29-25
24-32
12-23
32-26
22-25
32-32
30-23
34-36
29-31
33-39
36-26
26-24
23-28
33-33
27-26
19-34
25-26
21-35
28-31
25-27
29-30
31-31
38-31
27-39
33-24
225.0Avg total
110.0Scored
115.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)108.7120.6229.3-12.022%
Season at home (33)110.6122.5233.1-12.021%
Season away (32)106.7118.7225.3-12.022%
Last 10 (10)110.0115.0225.0-5.050%
Last 5 (5)115.8121.2237.0-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)107.1120.0227.1-12.919%
vs Similar (3)120.7112.0232.7+8.7100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
Denver NuggetsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H06/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A09/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H15/03
NBA
122.1Avg total
60.6Scored
61.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.959.3122.2+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)64.459.5123.9+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)61.659.1120.7+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)60.661.5122.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)62.862.8125.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.365.0123.3-6.70%-
vs Similar (16)60.158.9119.0+1.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)68.258.3126.5+9.991%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#15
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A23/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H27/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A04/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H06/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A09/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A10/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A11/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A13/03
NBA
115.1Avg total
56.7Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.060.5115.5-5.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.060.1115.1-5.138%-
Last 30 away (17)55.160.8115.8-5.741%-
Last 10 (10)56.758.4115.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)61.861.4123.2+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)54.061.0115.0-7.037%-
vs Similar (3)64.356.0120.3+8.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 120.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.132.8
56.5%
54.3%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.9
39.2%
35.9%38.7
🏀 Free throws21.716.5
76.0%
77.8%16.5
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.024.3
51.7%
54.3%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.414.1
34.1%
35.9%42.3
🏀 Free throws23.318.9
81.1%
77.8%18.9
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWLWLW
Washington Wizards
WLLWWLWLWL
#9
League position
#29
-0.4
Net rating
-5.1
118.1
Offensive rating
106.8
118.5
Defensive rating
111.9
57.3%
Effective FG%
51.4%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
12.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.2%
3-point %
34.1%
65.4%
Assist %
68.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 106.8Defence118.5 · 111.9Shooting57.3% · 51.4%3-point %39.2% · 34.1%Ball care12.2% · 14.7%Off. rebounds25.2% · 23.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HLos Angeles Lakers131-126
13/03/25HMinnesota Timberwolves95-115
11/03/25AOklahoma City Thunder140-127
09/03/25AOklahoma City Thunder103-127
08/03/25HPhoenix Suns149-141 OT
06/03/25HSacramento Kings116-110
02/03/25ABoston Celtics103-110
01/03/25ADetroit Pistons134-119
28/02/25AMilwaukee Bucks112-121
25/02/25AIndiana Pacers125-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25ADetroit Pistons129-125
11/03/25ADetroit Pistons103-123
10/03/25AToronto Raptors104-119
09/03/25AToronto Raptors118-117
06/03/25HUtah Jazz125-122
04/03/25AMiami Heat90-106
01/03/25ACharlotte Hornets113-100
27/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers121-129
25/02/25HBrooklyn Nets107-99
23/02/25AOrlando Magic90-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW64%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayLWLLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673334
Win %64%70%59%
Points / game121.2122.8119.6
Allowed / game116.7116.6116.9
Point differential+4.5+6.2+2.7
Avg total238.0239.4236.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%45%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won65% (17)62% (8)67% (9)
Overtime %7%3%12%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW22%
HomeLLWLW21%
AwayLWLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653332
Win %22%21%22%
Points / game108.7110.6106.7
Allowed / game120.6122.5118.7
Point differential-12.0-12.0-12.0
Avg total229.3233.1225.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%6%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)40% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers66561085%122.8111.6+11.2
2 Oklahoma City Thunder65531282%119.7107.4+12.3
3 Boston Celtics68491972%116.6108.2+8.4
4 New York Knicks65422365%117.0112.5+4.5
5 Denver Nuggets67432464%121.2116.7+4.5
6 Houston Rockets66422464%113.8109.0+4.8
7 Memphis Grizzlies68432563%122.7116.6+6.1
8 Los Angeles Lakers65402562%113.0111.7+1.3
9 Golden State Warriors66392759%113.9111.2+2.7
10 Minnesota Timberwolves68392957%112.9109.0+3.9
11 Milwaukee Bucks64362856%115.0112.8+2.3
12 Indiana Pacers66372956%116.3115.3+1.0
13 Los Angeles Clippers67373055%111.2108.7+2.5
14 Detroit Pistons68373154%114.8113.2+1.7
15 Sacramento Kings66333350%116.3115.5+0.8
16 Dallas Mavericks67333449%114.7114.9-0.2
17 Atlanta Hawks65313448%117.5120.1-2.6
18 Orlando Magic67313646%104.4105.9-1.5
19 Phoenix Suns67313646%114.4116.3-1.8
20 Miami Heat67293843%109.3110.7-1.4
21 San Antonio Spurs66283842%114.2116.5-2.3
22 Chicago Bulls67283942%116.6120.1-3.5
23 Portland Trail Blazers67283942%110.6114.6-4.0
24 Toronto Raptors67244336%111.1115.7-4.6
25 Philadelphia 76ers66224433%109.3114.4-5.1
26 Brooklyn Nets67224533%105.4111.6-6.3
27 New Orleans Pelicans68185026%110.8119.0-8.2
28 Charlotte Hornets66174926%106.0113.3-7.3
29 Utah Jazz67155222%112.6119.9-7.3
30 Washington Wizards65145122%108.7120.6-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets44282328123
Washington Wizards30333231126
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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