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Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 117-104
25-23 39-24 22-22 31-35
Position#9
Record12-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game101.7
vs
Position#24
Record5-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game119.1
Allowed / game120.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards
21 Jan 2027
DEN v WAS
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
DEN121
WAS115
15 Mar 2025
DEN123
WAS126
22 Feb 2024
DEN130
WAS110
14 Dec 2022
DEN141
WAS128
13 Dec 2021
DEN113
WAS107
25 Feb 2021
DEN110
WAS112
22 Jul 2020
DEN89
WAS82
26 Nov 2019
DEN117
WAS104
31 Mar 2019
DEN90
WAS95
23 Oct 2017
DEN104
WAS109
08 Mar 2017
DEN113
WAS123
12 Mar 2016
DEN116
WAS100
25 Jan 2015
DEN115
WAS117
23 Mar 2014
DEN105
WAS102
18 Jan 2013
DEN108
WAS112
25 Mar 2011
DEN114
WAS94
16 Mar 2010
DEN97
WAS87
20 Mar 2009
DEN116
WAS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
91-87
91
87
+4
77avg 104
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
109-89
109
89
+20
112avg 104
H06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
100-97
100
97
+3
93avg 104
H09/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
89avg 104
A10/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
121-125
121
125
-4
107avg 104
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
101-93
101
93
+8
95avg 104
H15/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
131-114
131
114
+17
130avg 104
A17/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 104
H21/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
90avg 104
H23/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
116-104
116
104
+12
110avg 104
H25/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
23-19
29-18
22-24
29-28
29-20
31-21
20-20
18-24
24-33
23-27
35-13
27-27
22-24
27-13
14-26
34-25
20-38
35-35
32-27
28-35
21-26
30-18
22-14
28-32
44-17
36-31
23-34
27-22
27-29
28-22
23-22
27-13
18-21
25-23
26-35
28-28
24-29
27-20
37-27
206.4Avg total
107.0Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)106.7101.7208.4+4.980%
Season at home (9)106.9101.2208.1+5.778%
Season away (6)106.3102.5208.8+3.883%
Last 10 (10)107.099.4206.4+7.690%
Last 5 (5)109.899.6209.4+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.092.0188.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (26)108.1104.3212.5+3.865%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)106.7106.0212.7+0.767%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
109-131
109
131
-22
90avg 107
H03/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
115-99
115
99
+16
105avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
106-121
106
121
-15
95avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
100-113
100
113
-13
91avg 107
H09/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
133-140
133
140
-7
121avg 107
A14/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
137-116
137
116
+21
138avg 107
A16/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
121-125
121
125
-4
111avg 107
A17/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
138-132
138
132
+6
139avg 107
H21/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
125-118
125
118
+7
123avg 107
H23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
106-113
106
113
-7
100avg 107
H24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-42
22-28
16-36
37-25
31-30
32-31
30-17
22-21
26-26
36-44
18-24
26-27
26-30
26-37
32-21
16-25
34-34
32-34
30-34
37-38
39-30
37-43
26-19
35-24
22-29
30-32
25-27
44-37
35-38
28-31
38-29
37-34
33-34
29-34
28-28
35-22
27-24
30-33
28-33
21-23
239.8Avg total
119.0Scored
120.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)119.1120.3239.4-1.236%
Season at home (7)121.6123.6245.1-2.043%
Season away (7)116.6117.0233.6-0.429%
Last 10 (10)119.0120.8239.8-1.840%
Last 5 (5)125.4120.8246.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)112.5118.6231.2-6.118%
vs Similar (15)116.9117.1234.0-0.347%
vs Weaker (4)117.0118.8235.8-1.825%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.4+3.4
Denver NuggetsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H09/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A10/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H15/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
72-49
72
49
+23
A17/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H21/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H23/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H25/11
NBA
103.1Avg total
51.5Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.852.1103.9-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)50.650.6101.2+0.056%-
Last 30 away (12)53.754.3108.0-0.717%-
Last 10 (10)51.551.6103.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)54.450.4104.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.034.079.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (26)52.252.5104.7-0.338%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)51.354.7106.0-3.333%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H03/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A07/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
52-67
52
67
-15
H09/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A14/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A16/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A17/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H21/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H23/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H24/11
NBA
127.3Avg total
60.9Scored
66.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.863.1121.9-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.963.8122.7-4.835%-
Last 30 away (13)58.662.3120.9-3.723%-
Last 10 (10)60.966.4127.3-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)62.065.6127.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)58.264.7122.9-6.527%-
vs Similar (15)59.563.7123.1-4.227%-
vs Weaker (4)58.056.8114.8+1.250%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.130.7
49.4%
52.3%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.7
36.5%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
77.2%13.5
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 119.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.633.1
53.7%
52.3%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.112.5
37.8%
35.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws18.815.3
81.4%
77.2%15.3
They take 94.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLWWWW
Washington Wizards
LWWLWLLLWL
#9
League position
#24
+7.6
Net rating
-1.7
106.8
Offensive rating
112.6
99.2
Defensive rating
114.3
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.8%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
12.4%
Turnover %
12.9%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.5%
3-point %
37.8%
66.2%
Assist %
64.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 112.6Defence99.2 · 114.3Shooting51.1% · 54.8%3-point %36.5% · 37.8%Ball care12.4% · 12.9%Off. rebounds24.7% · 23.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/19HPhoenix Suns116-104
23/11/19HBoston Celtics96-92
21/11/19HHouston Rockets105-95
17/11/19AMemphis Grizzlies131-114
15/11/19HBrooklyn Nets101-93
13/11/19HAtlanta Hawks121-125
10/11/19AMinnesota Timberwolves100-98 OT
09/11/19HPhiladelphia 76ers100-97
06/11/19HMiami Heat109-89
02/11/19AOrlando Magic91-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/19HSacramento Kings106-113
23/11/19HCharlotte Hornets125-118
21/11/19HSan Antonio Spurs138-132
17/11/19AOrlando Magic121-125
16/11/19AMinnesota Timberwolves137-116
14/11/19ABoston Celtics133-140
09/11/19HCleveland Cavaliers100-113
07/11/19AIndiana Pacers106-121
05/11/19HDetroit Pistons115-99
03/11/19HMinnesota Timberwolves109-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %80%78%83%
Points / game106.7106.9106.3
Allowed / game101.7101.2102.5
Point differential+4.9+5.7+3.8
Avg total208.4208.1208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %13%11%17%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL36%
HomeWLWWL43%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game119.1121.6116.6
Allowed / game120.3123.6117.0
Point differential-1.2-2.0-0.4
Avg total239.4245.1233.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1715288%112.1103.2+8.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks1714382%119.9110.6+9.2
3 Denver Nuggets1512380%106.7101.7+4.9
4 Toronto Raptors1612475%112.9105.5+7.4
5 Miami Heat1612475%111.1104.3+6.8
6 Boston Celtics1612475%110.2103.7+6.5
7 Los Angeles Clippers1813572%114.2106.8+7.4
8 Dallas Mavericks1711665%117.9110.2+7.7
9 Philadelphia 76ers1711665%109.4104.8+4.6
10 Utah Jazz1711665%107.1103.5+3.5
11 Houston Rockets1711665%118.2115.1+3.2
12 Indiana Pacers1610662%108.8103.9+4.9
13 Minnesota Timberwolves179853%114.1115.2-1.1
14 Brooklyn Nets179853%112.7113.9-1.2
15 Phoenix Suns168850%113.8110.8+2.9
16 Sacramento Kings167944%105.3108.9-3.6
17 Oklahoma City Thunder1661038%106.7107.1-0.4
18 Orlando Magic1661038%101.2102.9-1.7
19 Washington Wizards145936%119.1120.3-1.2
20 Detroit Pistons1761135%107.2109.6-2.4
21 New Orleans Pelicans1761135%116.0120.4-4.4
22 Portland Trail Blazers1861233%112.7115.1-2.3
23 San Antonio Spurs1861233%112.3115.3-3.0
24 Chicago Bulls1861233%107.1110.8-3.7
25 Charlotte Hornets1861233%105.9113.9-7.9
26 Memphis Grizzlies1651131%109.2118.3-9.1
27 Cleveland Cavaliers1751229%104.4111.4-7.0
28 New York Knicks1741324%102.0108.6-6.6
29 Atlanta Hawks1741324%108.1118.1-10.0
30 Golden State Warriors1831517%107.6117.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets25392231117
Washington Wizards23242235104
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