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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 122-116 (OT)
20-28 24-28 32-24 32-28 14-8
Position#16
Record30-28
FormWLLWL
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game102.1
vs
Position#22
Record23-35
FormWLLLW
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game103.7
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
91-79
91
79
+12
87avg 90
H30/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
91-78
91
78
+13
80avg 90
H01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
97-112
97
112
-15
74avg 90
A02/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
90-93
90
93
-3
76avg 90
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
90-116
90
116
-26
80avg 90
H06/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
114-110 OT
114
110
+4
103avg 90
A07/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
119-121 OT
119
121
-2
114avg 90
H10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
92avg 90
A20/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
129-103
129
103
+26
125avg 90
H22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
103-116
103
116
-13
94avg 90
H25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
26-21
20-16
20-24
21-23
30-22
17-24
23-9
15-27
31-26
27-33
24-26
21-21
25-26
19-27
25-19
12-27
14-35
34-26
30-28
25-30
29-22
25-28
23-22
29-21
29-30
29-27
23-32
13-31
38-25
30-16
17-26
28-30
38-24
29-26
34-23
24-33
27-25
30-29
22-29
206.6Avg total
102.8Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)101.4102.1203.5-0.752%
Season at home (28)103.5100.5204.0+3.057%
Season away (30)99.4103.6203.0-4.147%
Last 10 (10)102.8103.8206.6-1.040%
Last 5 (5)113.8112.0225.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)99.6111.2210.8-11.711%
vs Similar ◀ (16)102.8102.4205.1+0.456%
vs Weaker (5)104.493.6198.0+10.8100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
112-93
112
93
+19
115avg 91
H02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
81-85
81
85
-4
67avg 91
A04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
115-110
115
110
+5
104avg 91
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
101-96
101
96
+5
91avg 91
A07/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
104-105
104
105
-1
95avg 91
A09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
103-92
103
92
+11
100avg 91
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
110-116
110
116
-6
101avg 91
A20/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
101-121
101
121
-20
92avg 91
H21/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
110-114
110
114
-4
96avg 91
H24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 91
A25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
32-21
20-16
32-28
23-21
23-19
17-21
18-24
30-26
25-31
18-32
42-21
31-20
29-29
17-30
24-17
22-26
27-29
29-26
26-24
20-22
32-31
23-18
28-21
24-31
33-39
20-18
33-28
17-35
32-29
29-27
23-30
25-28
25-33
27-30
33-23
23-19
30-20
18-23
16-19
203.7Avg total
102.4Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)100.6103.7204.3-3.240%
Season at home (28)102.6106.1208.8-3.539%
Season away (30)98.7101.5200.2-2.840%
Last 10 (10)102.4101.3203.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)102.2104.8207.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)101.4105.1206.5-3.831%
vs Similar ◀ (13)102.8102.1204.8+0.754%
vs Weaker (1)104.0105.0209.0-1.00%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H30/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A02/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
26-62
26
62
-36
H06/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A07/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H10/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A20/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H22/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H25/02
NBA
101.7Avg total
50.0Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.250.8100.9-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.148.9101.0+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)48.052.9100.9-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)50.051.7101.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)56.054.2110.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)46.353.099.3-6.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)50.049.899.8+0.244%-
vs Weaker (5)57.649.8107.4+7.880%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H02/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H06/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A07/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A20/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H21/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A25/02
NBA
106.8Avg total
53.1Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.555.0106.5-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.357.1109.4-4.821%-
Last 30 away (16)50.853.2104.0-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)53.153.7106.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)52.257.4109.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)51.454.8106.2-3.338%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)51.855.3107.1-3.523%-
vs Weaker (1)49.055.0104.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 102.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.525.2
46.2%
49.0%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.1
35.9%
35.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws28.022.1
78.9%
75.5%22.1
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 102.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.330.9
48.8%
49.0%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.0
32.0%
35.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws25.619.6
76.6%
75.5%19.6
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWLLWLLLWW
Denver Nuggets
WLLLWLWWLW
#16
League position
#22
-1.0
Net rating
+1.1
106.3
Offensive rating
102.0
107.4
Defensive rating
100.9
48.8%
Effective FG%
48.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
10.9%
Turnover %
14.3%
19.9%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.9%
3-point %
32.0%
58.9%
Assist %
58.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 102.0Defence107.4 · 100.9Shooting48.8% · 48.6%3-point %35.9% · 32.0%Ball care10.9% · 14.3%Off. rebounds19.9% · 22.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dallas Mavericks wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/16HOklahoma City Thunder103-116
22/02/16HPhiladelphia 76ers129-103
20/02/16AOrlando Magic104-110 OT
10/02/16HUtah Jazz119-121 OT
07/02/16AMemphis Grizzlies114-110 OT
06/02/16HSan Antonio Spurs90-116
04/02/16HMiami Heat90-93
02/02/16AAtlanta Hawks97-112
01/02/16HPhoenix Suns91-78
30/01/16HBrooklyn Nets91-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/16ALos Angeles Clippers87-81
24/02/16HSacramento Kings110-114
21/02/16HBoston Celtics101-121
20/02/16ASacramento Kings110-116
11/02/16ADetroit Pistons103-92
09/02/16ABrooklyn Nets104-105
07/02/16ANew York Knicks101-96
06/02/16HChicago Bulls115-110
04/02/16AUtah Jazz81-85
02/02/16HToronto Raptors112-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL52%
HomeLLLWL57%
AwayWLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %52%57%47%
Points / game101.4103.599.4
Allowed / game102.1100.5103.6
Point differential-0.7+3.0-4.1
Avg total203.5204.0203.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%32%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)22% (9)56% (9)
Overtime %16%18%13%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLWWLL39%
AwayWLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %40%39%40%
Points / game100.6102.698.7
Allowed / game103.7106.1101.5
Point differential-3.2-3.5-2.8
Avg total204.3208.8200.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%4%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (22)62% (13)56% (9)
Overtime %5%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5752591%115.3103.9+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs5849984%105.192.4+12.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers57411672%103.096.9+6.0
4 Oklahoma City Thunder58411771%109.8102.5+7.4
5 Toronto Raptors57391868%102.497.6+4.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers57372065%104.8100.2+4.5
7 Memphis Grizzlies56332359%98.699.5-0.8
8 Boston Celtics59342558%106.2102.2+4.0
9 Miami Heat57322556%97.196.9+0.2
10 Atlanta Hawks59322754%102.5100.1+2.4
11 Indiana Pacers58312753%102.4100.3+2.1
12 Charlotte Hornets57302753%101.9100.9+1.1
13 Chicago Bulls57302753%101.7102.3-0.6
14 Portland Trail Blazers58302852%103.5102.5+1.0
15 Dallas Mavericks58302852%101.4102.1-0.7
16 Detroit Pistons58292950%101.6100.7+0.9
17 Houston Rockets58292950%105.6106.8-1.2
18 Utah Jazz57282949%98.197.1+1.0
19 Washington Wizards57273047%102.6104.5-1.9
20 Orlando Magic57253244%100.3101.8-1.6
21 Sacramento Kings56243243%107.1109.1-2.0
22 New York Knicks60253542%99.4101.7-2.3
23 Milwaukee Bucks58243441%98.7103.0-4.3
24 New Orleans Pelicans57233440%102.7105.6-2.8
25 Denver Nuggets58233540%100.6103.7-3.2
26 Minnesota Timberwolves58184031%100.9104.6-3.7
27 Brooklyn Nets58164228%97.0103.7-6.7
28 Phoenix Suns58144424%100.5107.6-7.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers59114819%97.6107.1-9.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers5885014%95.8106.4-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Dallas Mavericks2024323214122
Denver Nuggets282824288116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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