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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 116-98
25-18 30-23 27-33 34-24
Position#22
Record26-38
FormLWLWW
Points / game101.7
Allowed / game104.3
vs
Position#27
Record17-47
FormLLWWL
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game107.7
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
110-116
110
116
-6
101avg 92
A20/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
101-121
101
121
-20
92avg 92
H21/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
110-114
110
114
-4
96avg 92
H24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 92
A25/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
116-122 OT
116
122
-6
101avg 92
A27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
96-103
96
103
-7
98avg 92
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
117-107
117
107
+10
110avg 92
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
120-121 OT
120
121
-1
115avg 92
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
116-114 OT
116
114
+2
103avg 92
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
110-94
110
94
+16
99avg 92
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
33-39
20-18
33-28
17-35
32-29
29-27
23-30
25-28
25-33
27-30
33-23
23-19
30-20
18-23
16-19
28-20
28-24
24-32
28-32
19-22
28-26
24-23
25-32
27-29
30-31
26-22
34-25
25-31
32-32
33-27
22-22
22-19
35-31
20-29
29-27
31-25
29-24
22-19
28-26
217.6Avg total
108.3Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)101.7104.3206.0-2.641%
Season at home (33)104.0106.4210.4-2.442%
Season away (31)99.3102.2201.4-2.939%
Last 10 (10)108.3109.3217.6-1.040%
Last 5 (5)111.8107.8219.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)102.4104.6207.0-2.242%
vs Similar ◀ (15)104.5103.6208.1+0.953%
vs Weaker (3)113.7111.0224.7+2.733%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
100-116
100
116
-16
88avg 90
H20/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
111-118
111
118
-7
102avg 90
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
84-124
84
124
-40
67avg 90
A23/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
106-116
106
116
-10
86avg 90
H26/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
111-106
111
106
+5
107avg 90
H28/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
92-126
92
126
-34
70avg 90
A02/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
92-108
92
108
-16
73avg 90
A04/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
102-84
102
84
+18
98avg 90
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
109-100
109
100
+9
112avg 90
A06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
97-128
97
128
-31
78avg 90
H10/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
21-35
20-25
35-35
21-30
29-30
32-28
29-30
17-36
25-23
19-31
23-34
29-34
16-32
26-24
35-26
25-18
29-28
32-30
25-30
18-35
24-33
19-30
31-28
21-29
22-28
25-27
24-24
29-29
29-21
26-16
18-18
24-24
29-35
32-15
24-26
19-29
24-34
32-25
22-40
213.0Avg total
100.4Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)100.5107.7208.2-7.227%
Season at home (33)103.2106.2209.4-3.033%
Season away (31)97.6109.3206.9-11.619%
Last 10 (10)100.4112.6213.0-12.230%
Last 5 (5)98.4109.2207.6-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)98.4110.4208.8-12.014%
vs Similar ◀ (8)96.8109.9206.6-13.125%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.5-2.5
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A20/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H21/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A25/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H09/03
NBA
109.1Avg total
54.3Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.754.4107.0-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.856.4110.2-2.728%-
Last 30 away (12)51.051.2102.2-0.242%-
Last 10 (10)54.354.8109.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)55.654.0109.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)52.654.2106.8-1.742%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.453.5105.9-1.133%-
vs Weaker (3)54.359.3113.7-5.00%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H20/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A23/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
45-66
45
66
-21
H26/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H28/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
42-68
42
68
-26
A02/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A04/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A06/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
43-63
43
63
-20
H10/03
NBA
105.9Avg total
47.5Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.055.0101.0-9.017%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.553.7100.2-7.127%-
Last 30 away (15)45.556.3101.9-10.87%-
Last 10 (10)47.558.4105.9-10.920%-
Last 5 (5)47.859.4107.2-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)46.954.7101.5-7.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.855.999.6-12.112%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.532.7
49.9%
49.0%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.0
32.5%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.718.9
76.5%
75.5%18.9
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 100.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.027.5
46.6%
49.0%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.4%
35.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws27.319.9
72.9%
75.5%19.9
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLLWLLL
Phoenix Suns
LWWLLWLLLL
#22
League position
#27
-1.0
Net rating
-12.1
105.1
Offensive rating
99.6
106.1
Defensive rating
111.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
47.2%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.0%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
32.4%
58.5%
Assist %
52.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 99.6Defence106.1 · 111.8Shooting49.6% · 47.2%3-point %32.5% · 32.4%Ball care14.2% · 15.0%Off. rebounds26.1% · 24.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Denver Nuggets wins
8
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/16HNew York Knicks110-94
06/03/16HDallas Mavericks116-114 OT
05/03/16HBrooklyn Nets120-121 OT
03/03/16HLos Angeles Lakers117-107
01/03/16HMemphis Grizzlies96-103
27/02/16ADallas Mavericks116-122 OT
25/02/16ALos Angeles Clippers87-81
24/02/16HSacramento Kings110-114
21/02/16HBoston Celtics101-121
20/02/16ASacramento Kings110-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/16HNew York Knicks97-128
06/03/16AMemphis Grizzlies109-100
05/03/16AOrlando Magic102-84
04/03/16AMiami Heat92-108
02/03/16ACharlotte Hornets92-126
28/02/16HMemphis Grizzlies111-106
26/02/16HBrooklyn Nets106-116
23/02/16ALos Angeles Clippers84-124
21/02/16HSan Antonio Spurs111-118
20/02/16HHouston Rockets100-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW41%
HomeLWLWW42%
AwayLWLWL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643331
Win %41%42%39%
Points / game101.7104.099.3
Allowed / game104.3106.4102.2
Point differential-2.6-2.4-2.9
Avg total206.0210.4201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%9%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (24)60% (15)56% (9)
Overtime %9%9%10%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL27%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLLWW19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643331
Win %27%33%19%
Points / game100.5103.297.6
Allowed / game107.7106.2109.3
Point differential-7.2-3.0-11.6
Avg total208.2209.4206.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)60% (5)29% (7)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors6357690%115.1104.3+10.9
2 San Antonio Spurs65551085%104.792.4+12.3
3 Cleveland Cavaliers63451871%103.597.4+6.1
4 Oklahoma City Thunder64442069%110.1103.2+6.9
5 Toronto Raptors63432068%102.798.3+4.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers63412265%104.9100.5+4.5
7 Boston Celtics65392660%106.2101.9+4.3
8 Memphis Grizzlies64382659%99.199.8-0.7
9 Miami Heat64372758%98.197.2+0.9
10 Charlotte Hornets63352856%102.7100.7+2.0
11 Atlanta Hawks65362955%102.199.2+2.9
12 Indiana Pacers64343053%102.2100.4+1.8
13 Portland Trail Blazers65343152%103.8102.9+0.9
14 Detroit Pistons64333152%101.7100.5+1.2
15 Chicago Bulls63323151%101.6102.6-1.0
16 Dallas Mavericks65333251%102.3102.7-0.4
17 Houston Rockets64323250%105.8106.9-1.1
18 Washington Wizards63303348%102.7104.5-1.8
19 Utah Jazz64293545%97.697.4+0.3
20 Orlando Magic63273643%100.8102.5-1.7
21 Milwaukee Bucks65273842%99.4103.3-3.9
22 New York Knicks66273941%99.3101.6-2.2
23 Denver Nuggets64263841%101.7104.3-2.6
24 Sacramento Kings63253840%107.0109.6-2.6
25 New Orleans Pelicans63243938%102.7105.8-3.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves65204531%101.4105.7-4.3
27 Brooklyn Nets64184628%97.8104.3-6.6
28 Phoenix Suns64174727%100.5107.7-7.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers65145122%97.9106.9-9.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers6485612%96.7107.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets25302734116
Phoenix Suns1823332498
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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