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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 111-108 (OT)
37-13 26-34 27-30 12-25 9-6
Position#1
Record30-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Position#22
Record12-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game98.9
Allowed / game103.8
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
131-123
131
123
+8
127avg 108
A09/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
124-119 OT
124
119
+5
116avg 108
A12/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
95-108
95
108
-13
84avg 108
A13/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
128-103
128
103
+25
129avg 108
H17/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
121-112
121
112
+9
118avg 108
H19/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
103-85
103
85
+18
99avg 108
H24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 108
H25/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
122-103
122
103
+19
126avg 108
H29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
91-114
91
114
-23
78avg 108
A31/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
114-110
114
110
+4
114avg 108
A01/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-28
35-32
32-23
20-40
26-25
31-28
25-22
21-28
28-30
20-29
29-21
18-28
26-28
33-18
46-19
23-38
33-36
25-34
27-23
36-19
23-13
24-25
26-20
30-27
28-19
17-23
19-17
25-24
27-29
31-32
32-14
32-28
21-27
21-33
26-27
23-27
33-30
28-29
29-23
24-28
217.8Avg total
111.8Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)114.1102.0216.1+12.094%
Season at home (15)112.895.9208.7+16.9100%
Season away (17)115.2107.5222.6+7.788%
Last 10 (10)111.8106.0217.8+5.880%
Last 5 (5)103.899.0202.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)89.083.0172.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)115.1103.3218.4+11.893%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
114-108
114
108
+6
116avg 89
H15/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
112-100
112
100
+12
111avg 89
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
88-97
88
97
-9
76avg 89
A19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
125-130
125
130
-5
112avg 89
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
107-111
107
111
-4
99avg 89
H23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
104-96
104
96
+8
98avg 89
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
86-101
86
101
-15
76avg 89
A27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
112-122
112
122
-10
98avg 89
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
77avg 89
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
103-110
103
110
-7
92avg 89
A31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-22
18-36
34-24
26-26
27-24
36-25
29-31
20-20
23-30
26-23
24-24
15-20
31-36
43-31
22-32
29-31
34-26
30-25
16-32
27-28
33-21
23-29
23-22
25-24
20-22
22-34
23-20
21-25
31-32
30-21
29-38
22-31
21-26
21-27
20-19
25-21
27-26
24-32
20-26
32-26
210.6Avg total
103.8Scored
106.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)98.9103.8202.7-4.936%
Season at home (15)98.9104.3203.2-5.333%
Season away (18)98.9103.4202.3-4.539%
Last 10 (10)103.8106.8210.6-3.030%
Last 5 (5)98.4104.4202.8-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)94.9105.6200.5-10.79%
vs Similar (16)100.6102.6203.1-2.050%
vs Weaker (3)111.7108.3220.0+3.367%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +8.2+8.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +8.2+8.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A09/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A12/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A13/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H19/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H29/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A31/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A01/01
NBA
110.2Avg total
55.4Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.651.7109.3+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.247.8104.0+8.479%-
Last 30 away (16)58.855.2114.0+3.675%-
Last 10 (10)55.454.8110.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)50.652.0102.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)58.052.1110.1+6.076%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H15/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A31/12
NBA
110.4Avg total
55.6Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.854.1105.9-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.953.4106.4-0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)50.854.6105.4-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)55.654.8110.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)50.454.0104.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)49.054.3103.3-5.327%-
vs Similar (16)52.453.6106.1-1.244%-
vs Weaker (3)58.755.7114.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.530.1
49.8%
49.0%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.7
38.8%
35.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws26.119.5
74.7%
75.5%19.5
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 103.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.730.5
50.2%
49.0%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.5
36.5%
35.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.214.3
78.6%
75.5%14.3
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
WLWWWWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
LLLLWLLLWW
#1
League position
#22
+5.5
Net rating
-3.1
106.7
Offensive rating
108.7
101.1
Defensive rating
111.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
51.6%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.8%
3-point %
36.5%
68.1%
Assist %
57.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 108.7Defence101.1 · 111.8Shooting52.4% · 51.6%3-point %38.8% · 36.5%Ball care15.4% · 14.3%Off. rebounds25.7% · 30.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/16AHouston Rockets114-110
31/12/15ADallas Mavericks91-114
29/12/15HSacramento Kings122-103
25/12/15HCleveland Cavaliers89-83
24/12/15HUtah Jazz103-85
19/12/15HMilwaukee Bucks121-112
17/12/15HPhoenix Suns128-103
13/12/15AMilwaukee Bucks95-108
12/12/15ABoston Celtics124-119 OT
09/12/15AIndiana Pacers131-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/15APortland Trail Blazers103-110
30/12/15HCleveland Cavaliers87-93
28/12/15AOklahoma City Thunder112-122
27/12/15ASan Antonio Spurs86-101
24/12/15APhoenix Suns104-96
23/12/15HLos Angeles Lakers107-111
21/12/15HNew Orleans Pelicans125-130
19/12/15AUtah Jazz88-97
16/12/15AMinnesota Timberwolves112-100
15/12/15HHouston Rockets114-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game114.1112.8115.2
Allowed / game102.095.9107.5
Point differential+12.0+16.9+7.7
Avg total216.1208.7222.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLWLLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %36%33%39%
Points / game98.998.998.9
Allowed / game103.8104.3103.4
Point differential-4.9-5.3-4.5
Avg total202.7203.2202.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3230294%114.1102.0+12.0
2 San Antonio Spurs3529683%102.689.0+13.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3122971%99.894.5+5.3
4 Oklahoma City Thunder34241071%108.7100.2+8.4
5 Toronto Raptors34211362%99.996.4+3.6
6 Los Angeles Clippers34211362%102.9100.6+2.3
7 Atlanta Hawks34211362%102.0100.1+1.9
8 Chicago Bulls31191261%101.399.4+1.9
9 Miami Heat32191359%97.295.1+2.2
10 Indiana Pacers33191458%102.598.6+3.8
11 Orlando Magic34191556%100.198.7+1.4
12 Dallas Mavericks34191556%101.5101.1+0.4
13 Boston Celtics33181555%102.999.1+3.8
14 Detroit Pistons34181653%100.899.7+1.1
15 Charlotte Hornets33171652%101.8100.1+1.8
16 Memphis Grizzlies35181751%96.299.2-3.0
17 Washington Wizards31151648%101.5104.0-2.5
18 Utah Jazz32151747%96.896.9-0.1
19 Houston Rockets35161946%104.2106.2-2.0
20 New York Knicks34151944%97.599.7-2.2
21 Portland Trail Blazers35142140%101.2102.2-1.1
22 Milwaukee Bucks35142140%97.7103.1-5.4
23 Sacramento Kings33132039%105.3107.7-2.4
24 Denver Nuggets33122136%98.9103.8-4.9
25 Minnesota Timberwolves34122235%99.7102.7-3.1
26 Phoenix Suns36122433%103.3106.6-3.3
27 New Orleans Pelicans33112233%101.8106.4-4.6
28 Brooklyn Nets33102330%97.2103.2-6.0
29 Los Angeles Lakers3472721%96.6106.6-9.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers353329%92.3104.1-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Golden State Warriors372627129111
Denver Nuggets133430256108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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