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Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 95-103
20-21 20-32 33-24 22-26
Position#27
Record13-25
FormLLLLW
Points / game102.8
Allowed / game106.2
Phoenix Suns
USA
vs
Miami Heat 🏆
USA
Position#8
Record21-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game94.7
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat
19 Mar 2027
PHX v MIA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PHX102
MIA111
06 Nov 2024
PHX115
MIA112
05 Jan 2024
PHX113
MIA97
06 Jan 2023
PHX96
MIA104
08 Jan 2022
PHX100
MIA123
13 Apr 2021
PHX106
MIA86
07 Nov 2019
PHX108
MIA124
07 Dec 2018
PHX98
MIA115
08 Nov 2017
PHX115
MIA126
03 Jan 2017
PHX99
MIA90
08 Jan 2016
PHX95
MIA103
09 Dec 2014
PHX97
MIA103
11 Feb 2014
PHX97
MIA103
17 Nov 2012
PHX88
MIA97
23 Dec 2010
PHX83
MIA95
08 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIA109
28 Nov 2008
PHX92
MIA107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
95-101
95
101
-6
87avg 92
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
89-110
89
110
-21
74avg 92
A22/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
96-104
96
104
-8
85avg 92
H24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
104-111
104
111
-7
85avg 92
H27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
97-101
97
101
-4
90avg 92
H29/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
79-112
79
112
-33
62avg 92
A31/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
106-110
106
110
-4
101avg 92
A01/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
119-142
119
142
-23
108avg 92
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
77-97
77
97
-20
60avg 92
A04/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
111-102
111
102
+9
104avg 92
H07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
27-18
18-25
24-31
21-33
22-21
18-25
28-31
21-33
29-23
22-23
24-25
15-29
30-22
30-34
29-26
30-34
24-26
19-21
24-20
12-32
21-29
23-23
23-28
26-28
27-26
27-33
26-23
18-31
35-28
34-44
32-39
10-25
12-18
29-38
26-16
34-32
26-20
26-33
25-17
206.3Avg total
97.3Scored
109.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)102.8106.2209.0-3.434%
Season at home (19)105.4103.3208.7+2.247%
Season away (19)100.2109.2209.3-9.021%
Last 10 (10)97.3109.0206.3-11.710%
Last 5 (5)98.4112.6211.0-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)102.1111.4213.5-9.324%
vs Similar (13)102.8101.7204.5+1.238%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
116-109
116
109
+7
111avg 89
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
92-93
92
93
-1
74avg 89
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
85avg 89
H25/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-101
108
101
+7
103avg 89
A27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
105-111
105
111
-6
97avg 89
H29/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
90-99 OT
90
99
-9
80avg 89
A30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
106-82
106
82
+24
108avg 89
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
97-75
97
75
+22
98avg 89
A03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
86avg 89
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
90-98
90
98
-8
74avg 89
H07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
29-30
30-24
34-23
34-18
18-36
23-18
17-21
27-15
15-23
21-14
15-26
20-24
24-32
25-20
39-25
26-24
32-20
19-34
28-33
30-26
17-21
15-22
21-14
22-10
36-35
22-16
26-21
25-24
25-7
23-20
24-24
19-29
25-18
22-27
29-21
21-22
18-25
20-24
31-27
195.7Avg total
100.1Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)97.294.7191.9+2.560%
Season at home (23)99.495.7195.1+3.765%
Season away (12)93.092.8185.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)100.195.6195.7+4.560%
Last 5 (5)97.290.8188.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)98.089.5187.5+8.5100%
vs Similar (16)95.995.7191.6+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)98.294.8193.1+3.467%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -9.1-9.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -9.1-9.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
Phoenix SunsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A22/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H27/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H29/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
33-61
33
61
-28
A31/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A01/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A04/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H07/01
NBA
100.1Avg total
46.6Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.952.2102.1-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.451.9106.2+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)45.952.698.5-6.612%-
Last 10 (10)46.653.5100.1-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)44.253.898.0-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)50.254.6104.9-4.429%-
vs Similar (13)49.449.198.5+0.346%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H29/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/01
NBA
95.7Avg total
48.6Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.848.296.9+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (20)49.748.197.8+1.650%-
Last 30 away (10)46.948.395.2-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)48.647.195.7+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.643.491.0+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.046.5101.5+8.550%-
vs Similar (16)48.450.298.6-1.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.245.793.9+2.667%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.026.4
45.5%
49.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.7
39.4%
35.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.815.4
77.8%
75.5%15.4
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.530.5
50.4%
49.0%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.7
35.0%
35.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.116.0
75.8%
75.5%16.0
They take 82.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLLLLLLLLL
Miami Heat
LWWWLLWWLW
#27
League position
#8
-12.0
Net rating
+4.8
99.5
Offensive rating
107.5
111.5
Defensive rating
102.7
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.0%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
15.5%
Turnover %
12.1%
19.8%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.4%
3-point %
35.0%
54.8%
Assist %
52.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 107.5Defence111.5 · 102.7Shooting49.6% · 51.0%3-point %39.4% · 35.0%Ball care15.5% · 12.1%Off. rebounds19.8% · 23.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Phoenix Suns wins
10
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
03/03/15Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns115-98
10/12/14Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat97-103
12/02/14Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat97-103
26/11/13Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns107-92
18/11/12Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat88-97
06/11/12Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns124-99
20/03/12Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns99-95
24/12/10Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat83-95
18/11/10Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns123-96
09/01/10Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat105-109
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/16HCharlotte Hornets111-102
04/01/16ALos Angeles Lakers77-97
02/01/16ASacramento Kings119-142
01/01/16AOklahoma City Thunder106-110
31/12/15ASan Antonio Spurs79-112
29/12/15HCleveland Cavaliers97-101
27/12/15HPhiladelphia 76ers104-111
24/12/15HDenver Nuggets96-104
22/12/15AUtah Jazz89-110
20/12/15HMilwaukee Bucks95-101
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/16HNew York Knicks90-98
05/01/16HIndiana Pacers103-100 OT
03/01/16AWashington Wizards97-75
02/01/16HDallas Mavericks106-82
30/12/15AMemphis Grizzlies90-99 OT
29/12/15HBrooklyn Nets105-111
27/12/15AOrlando Magic108-101
25/12/15HNew Orleans Pelicans94-88 OT
23/12/15HDetroit Pistons92-93
20/12/15HPortland Trail Blazers116-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW34%
HomeLLLLW47%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %34%47%21%
Points / game102.8105.4100.2
Allowed / game106.2103.3109.2
Point differential-3.4+2.2-9.0
Avg total209.0208.7209.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%32%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWLWWL65%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games352312
Win %60%65%50%
Points / game97.299.493.0
Allowed / game94.795.792.8
Point differential+2.5+3.7+0.2
Avg total191.9195.1185.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%30%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)83% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %9%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3533294%113.7101.8+12.0
2 San Antonio Spurs3832684%103.689.7+13.9
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3425974%101.895.4+6.4
4 Oklahoma City Thunder36251169%108.6100.5+8.1
5 Chicago Bulls34221265%102.199.7+2.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers36231364%103.8100.4+3.4
7 Toronto Raptors38231561%100.096.7+3.3
8 Miami Heat35211460%97.294.7+2.5
9 Atlanta Hawks37221559%102.5100.5+2.0
10 Indiana Pacers36211558%101.998.0+3.8
11 Dallas Mavericks37211657%101.7101.1+0.6
12 Detroit Pistons36201656%101.299.2+1.9
13 Orlando Magic37201754%98.998.5+0.5
14 Boston Celtics36191753%102.499.0+3.4
15 Memphis Grizzlies38201853%95.898.6-2.7
16 Houston Rockets37181949%103.9105.5-1.6
17 Charlotte Hornets35171849%101.8100.7+1.1
18 New York Knicks38182047%98.299.4-1.3
19 Washington Wizards34151944%100.7104.1-3.3
20 Utah Jazz35152043%96.697.7-1.1
21 Sacramento Kings36152142%106.2108.1-1.8
22 Portland Trail Blazers38152339%100.8102.2-1.4
23 Milwaukee Bucks38152339%97.9103.7-5.9
24 Denver Nuggets37132435%98.4103.1-4.7
25 Phoenix Suns38132534%102.8106.2-3.4
26 Minnesota Timberwolves37122532%98.9102.8-3.9
27 New Orleans Pelicans35112431%101.0105.7-4.7
28 Brooklyn Nets36102628%95.9102.3-6.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers3782922%96.9106.1-9.2
30 Philadelphia 76ers3843411%93.1105.2-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns2020332295
Miami Heat21322426103
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