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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 139-123
41-27 40-38 29-31 29-27
Position#12
Record34-23
FormWLWWL
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game110.4
vs
Position#28
Record16-39
FormWLLLL
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game116.4
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
L
121-128
121
128
-7
119avg 107
A01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
123-100
123
100
+23
119avg 107
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
112-103
112
103
+9
105avg 107
A04/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
107-121
107
121
-14
88avg 107
H06/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
118-119
118
119
-1
113avg 107
A08/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
116-100
116
100
+16
116avg 107
A09/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
119-123
119
123
-4
104avg 107
H11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
130-111
130
111
+19
135avg 107
H13/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
122-106
122
106
+16
122avg 107
A22/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
107-111
107
111
-4
98avg 107
A23/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-35
32-30
25-36
36-27
36-26
26-23
35-23
26-28
25-22
28-33
29-22
30-26
32-31
24-28
22-41
29-21
33-29
31-33
29-30
25-27
31-10
33-33
30-22
22-35
24-32
26-39
34-29
35-23
32-28
31-24
33-25
34-34
34-18
30-34
27-32
31-22
35-21
31-37
20-19
21-34
229.7Avg total
117.5Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)116.4110.4226.8+6.060%
Season at home (29)115.1110.0225.1+5.052%
Season away (28)117.7110.8228.5+7.068%
Last 10 (10)117.5112.2229.7+5.350%
Last 5 (5)118.8110.2229.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)109.0111.1220.1-2.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)120.7111.8232.4+8.975%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
104-113
104
113
-9
98avg 102
H26/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
129-133 OT
129
133
-4
122avg 102
H28/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
106-118
106
118
-12
97avg 102
A01/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
109-113
109
113
-4
102avg 102
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
120-127
120
127
-7
101avg 102
H06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
142-115
142
115
+27
144avg 102
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
126-137
126
137
-11
115avg 102
A11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
108-115
108
115
-7
93avg 102
H13/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
117-127
117
127
-10
105avg 102
H22/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
116-128
116
128
-12
103avg 102
A23/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
26-24
24-39
32-22
37-24
31-26
29-28
22-41
32-40
23-22
31-36
20-20
20-29
30-36
34-28
25-20
24-36
32-28
21-32
43-31
40-31
41-28
31-29
30-27
36-40
39-34
19-32
32-31
36-28
30-22
21-31
21-34
20-24
33-37
35-34
29-32
38-43
27-30
22-24
29-31
240.3Avg total
117.7Scored
122.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)112.5116.4228.9-3.829%
Season at home (28)111.1115.0226.1-3.925%
Season away (27)114.0117.8231.8-3.733%
Last 10 (10)117.7122.6240.3-4.910%
Last 5 (5)121.8124.4246.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)111.8119.3231.1-7.57%
vs Similar (13)110.9112.5223.4-1.531%
vs Weaker (2)101.598.5200.0+3.050%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#11
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A04/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H06/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A08/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
64-43
64
43
+21
A09/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
50-71
50
71
-21
H11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H13/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A22/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A23/02
NBA
116.8Avg total
60.2Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.857.1115.9+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.958.8114.6-2.943%-
Last 30 away (16)61.455.7117.1+5.775%-
Last 10 (10)60.256.6116.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)61.455.2116.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)53.657.2110.8-3.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)63.457.1120.4+6.375%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H26/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H28/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A01/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H13/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H22/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A23/02
NBA
122.7Avg total
61.7Scored
61.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.557.1113.6-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.954.9112.8+2.944%-
Last 30 away (14)54.959.6114.5-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)61.761.0122.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)68.063.4131.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)58.460.7119.1-2.327%-
vs Similar (13)55.254.2109.4+0.946%-
vs Weaker (2)50.549.099.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.025.0
52.1%
52.3%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.316.3
40.4%
35.7%48.9
🏀 Free throws21.918.6
84.9%
77.2%18.6
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.425.4
52.5%
52.3%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.515.1
36.4%
35.7%45.3
🏀 Free throws28.121.6
76.9%
77.2%21.6
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWWLWLLWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLLWLLLLL
#12
League position
#28
+5.3
Net rating
-4.6
117.1
Offensive rating
110.6
111.8
Defensive rating
115.2
56.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
11.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.4%
3-point %
36.4%
62.2%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 110.6Defence111.8 · 115.2Shooting56.0% · 53.4%3-point %40.4% · 36.4%Ball care11.9% · 14.0%Off. rebounds22.6% · 20.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/20AAtlanta Hawks107-111
22/02/20AOrlando Magic122-106
13/02/20HSacramento Kings130-111
11/02/20HUtah Jazz119-123
09/02/20ACharlotte Hornets116-100
08/02/20AWashington Wizards118-119
06/02/20HMemphis Grizzlies107-121
04/02/20AIndiana Pacers112-103
02/02/20HAtlanta Hawks123-100
01/02/20AHouston Rockets121-128
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/20ADenver Nuggets116-128
22/02/20HBoston Celtics117-127
13/02/20HCharlotte Hornets108-115
11/02/20AToronto Raptors126-137
09/02/20HLos Angeles Clippers142-115
06/02/20HAtlanta Hawks120-127
04/02/20ASacramento Kings109-113
01/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers106-118
28/01/20HSacramento Kings129-133 OT
26/01/20HOklahoma City Thunder104-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLWLLW52%
AwayWLWWL68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572928
Win %60%52%68%
Points / game116.4115.1117.7
Allowed / game110.4110.0110.8
Point differential+6.0+5.0+7.0
Avg total226.8225.1228.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%24%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won26% (19)20% (10)33% (9)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552827
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game112.5111.1114.0
Allowed / game116.4115.0117.8
Point differential-3.8-3.9-3.7
Avg total228.9226.1231.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)0% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %13%14%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks5749886%120.0107.8+12.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers55431278%114.8107.4+7.4
3 Toronto Raptors57421574%113.3106.1+7.2
4 Boston Celtics56391770%113.3106.6+6.8
5 Denver Nuggets57391868%110.6106.9+3.6
6 Los Angeles Clippers56371966%115.7110.3+5.4
7 Houston Rockets57372065%118.6114.2+4.4
8 Utah Jazz56362064%111.1107.5+3.6
9 Miami Heat57362163%112.3108.9+3.3
10 Philadelphia 76ers58362262%108.9106.5+2.4
11 Oklahoma City Thunder57352261%111.0107.8+3.2
12 Dallas Mavericks57342360%116.4110.4+6.0
13 Indiana Pacers57332458%109.2107.8+1.4
14 Memphis Grizzlies56282850%113.1114.8-1.7
15 Brooklyn Nets56263046%110.6110.6-0.1
16 Portland Trail Blazers58263245%113.3115.3-2.0
17 New Orleans Pelicans57253244%116.0117.0-1.0
18 Orlando Magic57253244%104.2105.8-1.7
19 San Antonio Spurs56243243%113.0114.6-1.6
20 Sacramento Kings56233341%108.4110.9-2.6
21 Phoenix Suns57233440%112.2113.5-1.3
22 Washington Wizards56203636%115.8120.1-4.3
23 Chicago Bulls58203834%106.4109.5-3.1
24 Charlotte Hornets56193734%102.6110.0-7.4
25 Detroit Pistons59194032%107.9110.8-2.9
26 New York Knicks57174030%104.8111.8-7.1
27 Minnesota Timberwolves55163929%112.5116.4-3.8
28 Atlanta Hawks59174229%110.6119.0-8.4
29 Cleveland Cavaliers57164128%106.6115.1-8.5
30 Golden State Warriors57124521%106.2115.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks41402929139
Minnesota Timberwolves27383127123
← all games of the day
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