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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 91-111
24-28 20-35 21-18 26-30
Position#28
Record17-41
FormLLLWL
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game117.3
vs
Position#12
Record36-24
FormWLWWL
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game110.7
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
109-113
109
113
-4
102avg 102
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
120-127
120
127
-7
101avg 102
H06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
142-115
142
115
+27
144avg 102
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
126-137
126
137
-11
115avg 102
A11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
108-115
108
115
-7
93avg 102
H13/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
117-127
117
127
-10
105avg 102
H22/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
116-128
116
128
-12
103avg 102
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
123-139
123
139
-16
102avg 102
A25/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
129-126
129
126
+3
117avg 102
A27/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
125-136
125
136
-11
109avg 102
A29/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
30-36
34-28
25-20
24-36
32-28
21-32
43-31
40-31
41-28
31-29
30-27
36-40
39-34
19-32
32-31
36-28
30-22
21-31
21-34
20-24
33-37
35-34
29-32
38-43
27-30
22-24
29-31
27-41
38-40
31-29
27-29
29-28
28-32
38-34
34-32
35-35
30-34
31-34
29-33
247.8Avg total
121.5Scored
126.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)113.2117.3230.5-4.029%
Season at home (28)111.1115.0226.1-3.925%
Season away (30)115.2119.4234.6-4.233%
Last 10 (10)121.5126.3247.8-4.820%
Last 5 (5)122.0131.2253.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)114.3121.6235.9-7.212%
vs Similar (12)113.5114.8228.3-1.333%
vs Weaker (2)101.598.5200.0+3.050%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
107-121
107
121
-14
88avg 107
H06/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
118-119
118
119
-1
113avg 107
A08/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
116-100
116
100
+16
116avg 107
A09/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
119-123
119
123
-4
104avg 107
H11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
130-111
130
111
+19
135avg 107
H13/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
122-106
122
106
+16
122avg 107
A22/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
107-111
107
111
-4
98avg 107
A23/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
139-123
139
123
+16
132avg 107
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
109-103
109
103
+6
98avg 107
A27/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
118-126
118
126
-8
109avg 107
A29/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
24-28
22-41
29-21
33-29
31-33
29-30
25-27
31-10
33-33
30-22
22-35
24-32
26-39
34-29
35-23
32-28
31-24
33-25
34-34
34-18
30-34
27-32
31-22
35-21
31-37
20-19
21-34
41-27
40-38
29-31
29-27
36-20
23-29
29-28
21-26
31-31
24-32
38-25
25-38
232.8Avg total
118.5Scored
114.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)116.7110.7227.4+5.960%
Season at home (30)115.9110.5226.3+5.453%
Season away (30)117.4111.0228.4+6.467%
Last 10 (10)118.5114.3232.8+4.250%
Last 5 (5)119.0113.8232.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)109.2113.3222.5-4.123%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)122.2112.7234.9+9.576%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.5-1.5
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H13/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H22/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A25/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A27/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A29/02
NBA
128.9Avg total
63.3Scored
65.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.658.0115.6-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.454.4112.8+4.047%-
Last 30 away (15)56.861.5118.3-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)63.365.6128.9-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)61.068.8129.8-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)59.261.9121.1-2.825%-
vs Similar (12)56.754.2110.8+2.550%-
vs Weaker (2)50.549.099.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H06/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A08/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
64-43
64
43
+21
A09/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
50-71
50
71
-21
H11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H13/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A22/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A23/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A27/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A29/02
NBA
119.6Avg total
62.2Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.858.2117.9+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.960.1118.0-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)61.456.5117.9+4.969%-
Last 10 (10)62.257.4119.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)65.057.4122.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)53.258.8112.0-5.731%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)64.857.6122.5+7.276%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 121.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.826.5
53.2%
52.3%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.015.8
37.6%
35.7%47.4
🏀 Free throws27.621.1
76.4%
77.2%21.1
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.225.2
54.5%
52.3%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.216.5
39.1%
35.7%49.5
🏀 Free throws23.018.6
80.9%
77.2%18.6
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLLLLWLL
Dallas Mavericks
LWWLWWLWLL
#28
League position
#12
-4.4
Net rating
+4.1
112.5
Offensive rating
116.4
116.9
Defensive rating
112.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
56.5%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.1%
Turnover %
11.7%
19.4%
Off. rebound %
19.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.6%
3-point %
39.1%
59.3%
Assist %
62.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 116.4Defence116.9 · 112.3Shooting54.7% · 56.5%3-point %37.6% · 39.1%Ball care13.1% · 11.7%Off. rebounds19.4% · 19.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20AOrlando Magic125-136
27/02/20AMiami Heat129-126
25/02/20ADallas Mavericks123-139
23/02/20ADenver Nuggets116-128
22/02/20HBoston Celtics117-127
13/02/20HCharlotte Hornets108-115
11/02/20AToronto Raptors126-137
09/02/20HLos Angeles Clippers142-115
06/02/20HAtlanta Hawks120-127
04/02/20ASacramento Kings109-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20AMiami Heat118-126
27/02/20ASan Antonio Spurs109-103
25/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves139-123
23/02/20AAtlanta Hawks107-111
22/02/20AOrlando Magic122-106
13/02/20HSacramento Kings130-111
11/02/20HUtah Jazz119-123
09/02/20ACharlotte Hornets116-100
08/02/20AWashington Wizards118-119
06/02/20HMemphis Grizzlies107-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game113.2111.1115.2
Allowed / game117.3115.0119.4
Point differential-4.0-3.9-4.2
Avg total230.5226.1234.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)0% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %12%14%10%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWLLWW53%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603030
Win %60%53%67%
Points / game116.7115.9117.4
Allowed / game110.7110.5111.0
Point differential+5.9+5.4+6.4
Avg total227.4226.3228.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%27%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won26% (19)20% (10)33% (9)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks6052887%119.6106.8+12.7
2 Los Angeles Lakers58451378%114.4107.0+7.4
3 Toronto Raptors59421771%112.7106.0+6.7
4 Boston Celtics59411869%113.4106.6+6.8
5 Los Angeles Clippers59401968%115.9109.7+6.2
6 Denver Nuggets59401968%110.5107.2+3.3
7 Houston Rockets59392066%118.8114.1+4.7
8 Miami Heat60382263%112.8109.5+3.3
9 Utah Jazz59372263%111.3108.2+3.1
10 Oklahoma City Thunder60372362%110.8108.5+2.4
11 Philadelphia 76ers60372362%108.7106.5+2.2
12 Dallas Mavericks60362460%116.7110.7+5.9
13 Indiana Pacers60362460%109.3107.1+2.2
14 Memphis Grizzlies60293148%112.5114.7-2.2
15 Orlando Magic60273345%105.3106.5-1.3
16 Brooklyn Nets59263344%110.6111.2-0.6
17 New Orleans Pelicans59263344%115.8116.8-0.9
18 San Antonio Spurs58253343%112.9114.5-1.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers61263543%113.0115.4-2.4
20 Sacramento Kings59253442%108.3110.5-2.1
21 Phoenix Suns61243739%112.0113.3-1.4
22 Washington Wizards58213736%115.8120.1-4.3
23 Charlotte Hornets60213935%102.0109.5-7.5
24 Chicago Bulls60204033%106.8110.0-3.2
25 Detroit Pistons61204133%107.8110.9-3.0
26 Atlanta Hawks62194331%111.5119.1-7.6
27 New York Knicks60184230%105.1111.8-6.8
28 Minnesota Timberwolves58174129%113.2117.3-4.0
29 Cleveland Cavaliers60174328%106.5114.7-8.2
30 Golden State Warriors60134722%105.8114.8-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves2420212691
Dallas Mavericks28351830111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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