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Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 132-136
36-37 37-32 33-34 26-33
Position#8
Record51-29
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game109.8
vs
Position#10
Record47-33
FormLLLWL
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game114.3
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Jan 2027
HOU v MIN
upcoming
04 Nov 2026
HOU v MIN
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
HOU132
MIN136
16 Jan 2026
HOU110
MIN105
21 Feb 2025
HOU121
MIN115
27 Dec 2024
HOU112
MIN113
05 Jan 2024
HOU95
MIN122
23 Jan 2023
HOU119
MIN114
08 Jan 2023
HOU96
MIN104
03 Apr 2022
HOU132
MIN139
09 Jan 2022
HOU123
MIN141
27 Apr 2021
HOU107
MIN114
10 Mar 2020
HOU117
MIN111
11 Jan 2020
HOU139
MIN109
17 Mar 2019
HOU117
MIN102
25 Apr 2018
HOU122
MIN104
18 Apr 2018
HOU102
MIN82
15 Apr 2018
HOU104
MIN101
23 Feb 2018
HOU120
MIN102
18 Jan 2018
HOU116
MIN98
12 Apr 2017
HOU123
MIN118
25 Feb 2017
HOU142
MIN130
18 Mar 2016
HOU116
MIN111
13 Jan 2016
HOU107
MIN104
27 Mar 2015
HOU120
MIN110
23 Feb 2015
HOU113
MIN102
20 Mar 2014
HOU129
MIN106
23 Nov 2013
HOU112
MIN101
15 Mar 2013
HOU108
MIN100
17 Feb 2012
HOU98
MIN111
30 Jan 2012
HOU108
MIN120
08 Feb 2011
HOU108
MIN112
07 Nov 2010
HOU120
MIN94
13 Jan 2010
HOU120
MIN114
20 Mar 2009
HOU107
MIN88
07 Feb 2009
HOU107
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
124-132
124
132
-8
115avg 108
A24/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
108-110 OT
108
110
-2
102avg 108
A26/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
119-109
119
109
+10
118avg 108
A28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
134-102
134
102
+32
132avg 108
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
111-94
111
94
+17
115avg 108
H01/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
119-113
119
113
+6
115avg 108
H02/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
140-106
140
106
+34
137avg 108
H04/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
117-116
117
116
+1
117avg 108
A06/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
119-105
119
105
+14
112avg 108
A08/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
113-102
113
102
+11
103avg 108
H10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-41
27-24
39-30
37-37
19-23
24-21
25-26
27-25
32-30
24-19
31-33
32-27
29-29
39-18
33-33
33-22
37-21
26-29
29-22
19-22
27-20
27-24
31-34
34-35
34-22
35-28
38-28
33-28
26-31
29-22
37-29
25-34
21-37
33-20
27-27
38-21
35-26
38-30
23-17
17-29
229.3Avg total
120.4Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)114.8109.8224.6+5.064%
Season at home (39)113.9106.7220.6+7.274%
Season away (41)115.7112.7228.4+3.054%
Last 10 (10)120.4108.9229.3+11.580%
Last 5 (5)121.6108.4230.0+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)112.0106.0218.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)108.8109.8218.6-1.047%
vs Weaker (14)120.1109.1229.1+11.086%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
104-108
104
108
-4
88avg 109
H21/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
102-92
102
92
+10
98avg 109
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
110-108 OT
110
108
+2
95avg 109
H26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
87-109
87
109
-22
66avg 109
H28/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
124-94
124
94
+30
124avg 109
A31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
108-113
108
113
-5
96avg 109
A02/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
103-115
103
115
-12
81avg 109
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
108-122
108
122
-14
99avg 109
H05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
124-104
124
104
+20
118avg 109
A07/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
120-132
120
132
-12
106avg 109
A08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-33
31-35
27-19
18-21
14-23
33-21
29-33
26-15
23-19
21-24
26-25
25-27
24-33
20-16
16-25
27-35
35-23
21-23
38-25
30-23
31-30
23-24
26-25
28-34
17-19
30-22
24-42
32-32
21-29
39-26
19-34
29-33
35-27
28-26
39-24
22-27
32-34
21-29
30-38
37-31
218.7Avg total
109.0Scored
109.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)117.6114.3231.9+3.359%
Season at home (40)114.3110.7225.1+3.662%
Season away (40)120.8117.8238.7+3.055%
Last 10 (10)109.0109.7218.7-0.740%
Last 5 (5)112.6117.2229.8-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)100.0107.5207.5-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (19)114.1117.0231.1-2.953%
vs Weaker (7)125.3112.3237.6+13.071%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
Houston RocketsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A24/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A26/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H01/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H02/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H04/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A06/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A08/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H10/04
NBA
109.8Avg total
58.3Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.852.8109.6+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.552.2112.7+8.381%-
Last 30 away (14)52.653.5106.1-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)58.351.5109.8+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)61.052.0113.0+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.052.098.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)55.154.1109.1+1.060%-
vs Weaker (14)59.451.5110.9+7.979%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H21/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H28/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A31/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A02/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A07/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A08/04
NBA
104.3Avg total
52.7Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.355.1112.4+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.156.9116.0+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)55.553.3108.9+2.260%-
Last 10 (10)52.751.6104.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)55.453.2108.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.548.598.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)56.655.9112.5+0.758%-
vs Weaker (7)63.656.9120.4+6.771%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 120.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.830.9
55.4%
54.8%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.513.6
38.3%
35.8%40.8
🏀 Free throws22.517.8
79.1%
78.1%17.8
They take 91.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.027.0
50.0%
54.8%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.013.3
35.0%
35.8%39.9
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
78.1%15.1
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWWWWWWLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLLWLWWL
#8
League position
#10
+11.5
Net rating
-0.7
120.8
Offensive rating
105.0
109.3
Defensive rating
105.6
56.2%
Effective FG%
51.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
12.8%
Turnover %
13.8%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.3%
3-point %
35.0%
64.7%
Assist %
59.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence120.8 · 105.0Defence109.3 · 105.6Shooting56.2% · 51.0%3-point %38.3% · 35.0%Ball care12.8% · 13.8%Off. rebounds32.9% · 27.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/26HPhiladelphia 76ers113-102
08/04/26APhoenix Suns119-105
06/04/26AGolden State Warriors117-116
04/04/26HUtah Jazz140-106
02/04/26HMilwaukee Bucks119-113
01/04/26HNew York Knicks111-94
29/03/26ANew Orleans Pelicans134-102
28/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies119-109
26/03/26AMinnesota Timberwolves108-110 OT
24/03/26AChicago Bulls124-132
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26AOrlando Magic120-132
07/04/26AIndiana Pacers124-104
05/04/26HCharlotte Hornets108-122
03/04/26APhiladelphia 76ers103-115
02/04/26ADetroit Pistons108-113
31/03/26ADallas Mavericks124-94
28/03/26HDetroit Pistons87-109
26/03/26HHouston Rockets110-108 OT
23/03/26ABoston Celtics102-92
21/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers104-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayLWWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games803941
Win %64%74%54%
Points / game114.8113.9115.7
Allowed / game109.8106.7112.7
Point differential+5.0+7.2+3.0
Avg total224.6220.6228.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)67% (12)46% (13)
Overtime %10%5%15%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL59%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayWLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804040
Win %59%62%55%
Points / game117.6114.3120.8
Allowed / game114.3110.7117.8
Point differential+3.3+3.6+3.0
Avg total231.9225.1238.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (22)58% (12)30% (10)
Overtime %5%2%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder79631680%119.1107.7+11.4
2 San Antonio Spurs79601976%119.8111.3+8.6
3 Detroit Pistons81592273%117.6109.5+8.1
4 Boston Celtics81552668%114.9107.1+7.7
5 Denver Nuggets81532865%122.0116.9+5.1
6 New York Knicks79512865%116.5110.1+6.4
7 Los Angeles Lakers79512865%116.3115.0+1.3
8 Houston Rockets80512964%114.8109.8+5.0
9 Cleveland Cavaliers81513063%119.4115.4+4.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves80473359%117.6114.3+3.3
11 Atlanta Hawks81463557%118.5115.7+2.8
12 Toronto Raptors80453556%114.5111.9+2.7
13 Phoenix Suns79443556%113.1111.0+2.1
14 Orlando Magic79443556%115.8115.0+0.8
15 Philadelphia 76ers81443754%115.8116.2-0.4
16 Charlotte Hornets81433853%116.1111.4+4.7
17 Miami Heat80423852%120.8118.6+2.2
18 Los Angeles Clippers80413951%114.0112.6+1.3
19 Portland Trail Blazers80404050%115.4116.1-0.7
20 Golden State Warriors80374346%114.6115.1-0.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks81324940%110.7116.7-6.0
22 Chicago Bulls81315038%116.2121.2-5.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans81265532%115.4119.9-4.5
24 Memphis Grizzlies80255531%115.0120.2-5.2
25 Dallas Mavericks81255631%113.7119.5-5.8
26 Utah Jazz80215926%117.3126.3-8.9
27 Sacramento Kings80215926%110.8121.0-10.2
28 Brooklyn Nets81206125%106.0115.7-9.7
29 Indiana Pacers81196223%112.3120.3-7.9
30 Washington Wizards81176421%112.9124.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets36373326132
Minnesota Timberwolves37323433136
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