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Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 126-129
28-29 32-28 34-38 32-34
Position#7
Record36-21
FormWLLWL
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game108.9
Miami Heat
USA
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
Position#28
Record16-40
FormLLLLL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game116.8
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves
21 Oct 2026
MIA106
MIN131
03 Jan 2026
MIA115
MIN125
07 Mar 2025
MIA104
MIN106
18 Dec 2023
MIA108
MIN112
26 Dec 2022
MIA113
MIN110
12 Mar 2022
MIA104
MIN113
07 May 2021
MIA121
MIN112
26 Feb 2020
MIA126
MIN129
30 Dec 2018
MIA104
MIN113
30 Oct 2017
MIA122
MIN125
17 Mar 2017
MIA123
MIN105
17 Nov 2015
MIA91
MIN103
08 Nov 2014
MIA102
MIN92
04 Apr 2014
MIA121
MIN122
18 Dec 2012
MIA103
MIN92
02 Nov 2010
MIA129
MIN97
23 Feb 2010
MIA88
MIN91
18 Feb 2009
MIA104
MIN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
102-89
102
89
+13
100avg 106
A02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
137-106
137
106
+31
131avg 106
H04/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
111-128
111
128
-17
103avg 106
A06/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
97-105
97
105
-8
89avg 106
A08/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
109-115
109
115
-6
101avg 106
A10/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
113-101
113
101
+12
115avg 106
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
101-116
101
116
-15
85avg 106
A13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
124-129
124
129
-5
114avg 106
A21/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
124-105
124
105
+19
123avg 106
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
119-125 OT
119
125
-6
115avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
29-24
19-18
26-22
30-26
26-26
41-25
40-29
23-25
35-30
22-37
31-36
28-30
22-22
26-31
21-22
36-38
24-25
23-30
26-22
24-20
38-23
21-32
30-26
28-25
24-22
22-32
27-37
36-32
28-31
33-27
27-39
38-32
44-20
24-26
18-27
29-21
39-35
31-24
12-31
225.6Avg total
113.7Scored
111.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)112.3108.9221.2+3.363%
Season at home (26)116.9106.0222.9+10.988%
Season away (31)108.4111.4219.8-3.042%
Last 10 (10)113.7111.9225.6+1.840%
Last 5 (5)116.2115.2231.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)110.1108.3218.4+1.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)114.2112.3226.6+1.950%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
129-133 OT
129
133
-4
122avg 102
H28/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
106-118
106
118
-12
97avg 102
A01/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
109-113
109
113
-4
102avg 102
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
120-127
120
127
-7
101avg 102
H06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
142-115
142
115
+27
144avg 102
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
126-137
126
137
-11
115avg 102
A11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
108-115
108
115
-7
93avg 102
H13/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
117-127
117
127
-10
105avg 102
H22/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
116-128
116
128
-12
103avg 102
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
123-139
123
139
-16
102avg 102
A25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-24
31-26
29-28
22-41
32-40
23-22
31-36
20-20
20-29
30-36
34-28
25-20
24-36
32-28
21-32
43-31
40-31
41-28
31-29
30-27
36-40
39-34
19-32
32-31
36-28
30-22
21-31
21-34
20-24
33-37
35-34
29-32
38-43
27-30
22-24
29-31
27-41
38-40
31-29
27-29
244.8Avg total
119.6Scored
125.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)112.7116.8229.5-4.029%
Season at home (28)111.1115.0226.1-3.925%
Season away (28)114.4118.5232.9-4.232%
Last 10 (10)119.6125.2244.8-5.610%
Last 5 (5)118.0129.2247.2-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)112.5120.5233.0-8.06%
vs Similar (12)111.9112.9224.8-1.033%
vs Weaker (2)101.598.5200.0+3.050%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
Miami HeatMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H04/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A06/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A08/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A10/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A21/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A25/02
NBA
114.1Avg total
60.9Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.853.2112.0+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.851.8110.6+7.071%-
Last 30 away (16)58.854.4113.2+4.369%-
Last 10 (10)60.953.2114.1+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)65.652.2117.8+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)55.052.1107.1+2.971%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)62.154.1116.2+7.969%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H28/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A01/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H13/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H22/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A25/02
NBA
127.3Avg total
63.4Scored
63.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.057.7114.7-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.454.4112.8+4.047%-
Last 30 away (15)55.561.1116.6-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)63.463.9127.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)64.867.8132.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)58.862.0120.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (12)55.653.5109.1+2.150%-
vs Weaker (2)50.549.099.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.125.4
51.7%
52.3%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.715.0
38.8%
35.7%45.0
🏀 Free throws23.117.9
77.5%
77.2%17.9
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 119.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.025.3
51.6%
52.3%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.415.4
37.2%
35.7%46.2
🏀 Free throws29.722.8
76.8%
77.2%22.8
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLLWLLLWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLLLWLLLL
#7
League position
#28
+1.8
Net rating
-5.2
112.4
Offensive rating
111.2
110.7
Defensive rating
116.4
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.5%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
11.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
19.7%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.8%
3-point %
37.2%
69.8%
Assist %
61.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 111.2Defence110.7 · 116.4Shooting54.6% · 53.5%3-point %38.8% · 37.2%Ball care11.9% · 13.7%Off. rebounds19.7% · 20.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
27/10/19Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat116-109
06/04/19Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat111-109
30/12/18Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves104-113
25/11/17Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat97-109
30/10/17Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves122-125 OT
18/03/17Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves123-105
07/02/17Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat113-115
18/11/15Miami Heat v Minnesota Timberwolves91-103
06/11/15Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat84-96
05/02/15Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat102-101
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/20ACleveland Cavaliers119-125 OT
23/02/20HCleveland Cavaliers124-105
21/02/20AAtlanta Hawks124-129
13/02/20AUtah Jazz101-116
11/02/20AGolden State Warriors113-101
10/02/20APortland Trail Blazers109-115
08/02/20ASacramento Kings97-105
06/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers111-128
04/02/20HPhiladelphia 76ers137-106
02/02/20AOrlando Magic102-89
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/20ADallas Mavericks123-139
23/02/20ADenver Nuggets116-128
22/02/20HBoston Celtics117-127
13/02/20HCharlotte Hornets108-115
11/02/20AToronto Raptors126-137
09/02/20HLos Angeles Clippers142-115
06/02/20HAtlanta Hawks120-127
04/02/20ASacramento Kings109-113
01/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers106-118
28/01/20HSacramento Kings129-133 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL63%
HomeLWLWW88%
AwayLWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572631
Win %63%88%42%
Points / game112.3116.9108.4
Allowed / game108.9106.0111.4
Point differential+3.3+10.9-3.0
Avg total221.2222.9219.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)75% (8)50% (8)
Overtime %16%19%13%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %29%25%32%
Points / game112.7111.1114.4
Allowed / game116.8115.0118.5
Point differential-4.0-3.9-4.2
Avg total229.5226.1232.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)0% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %12%14%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks5850886%119.8107.6+12.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers56441279%114.8107.4+7.4
3 Toronto Raptors58421672%113.0106.1+6.9
4 Boston Celtics57401770%113.4106.5+6.9
5 Denver Nuggets58401869%110.7106.8+3.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers57381967%115.8110.1+5.7
7 Houston Rockets57372065%118.6114.2+4.4
8 Miami Heat57362163%112.3108.9+3.3
9 Utah Jazz57362163%111.1107.9+3.2
10 Oklahoma City Thunder58362262%111.2108.1+3.2
11 Philadelphia 76ers59362361%108.6106.5+2.1
12 Dallas Mavericks58352360%116.8110.6+6.2
13 Indiana Pacers58342459%109.3107.3+2.1
14 Memphis Grizzlies57282949%112.8114.9-2.1
15 Brooklyn Nets57263146%110.5110.6-0.2
16 Portland Trail Blazers59263344%113.2115.3-2.1
17 Orlando Magic57253244%104.2105.8-1.7
18 New Orleans Pelicans58253343%115.8117.0-1.2
19 San Antonio Spurs56243243%113.0114.6-1.6
20 Sacramento Kings57243342%108.4110.6-2.2
21 Phoenix Suns58243441%112.6113.5-0.9
22 Washington Wizards57213637%115.7119.9-4.2
23 Charlotte Hornets58203834%102.3110.0-7.7
24 Chicago Bulls59203934%106.7109.8-3.1
25 Detroit Pistons60194132%107.7110.8-3.1
26 New York Knicks58174129%104.7111.7-7.0
27 Cleveland Cavaliers58174129%106.6114.7-8.2
28 Atlanta Hawks59174229%110.6119.0-8.4
29 Minnesota Timberwolves56164029%112.7116.8-4.0
30 Golden State Warriors58124621%106.0115.1-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat28323432126
Minnesota Timberwolves29283834129
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