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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2009
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 104-86
33-18 26-26 30-16 15-26
Position#13
Record12-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game98.4
vs
Position#2
Record19-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game96.7
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#2
W
99-98
99
98
+1
A26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H28/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H29/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
107-100
107
100
+7
A02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
96-114
96
114
-18
A04/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
107-108
107
108
-1
A05/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
115-102
115
102
+13
A07/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
L
93-106
93
106
-13
H12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
90-118
90
118
-28
H13/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
115-95
115
95
+20
H16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
17-20
23-27
33-27
24-26
18-25
22-16
20-27
31-29
17-26
17-12
20-25
32-28
28-22
28-22
19-28
22-25
20-33
26-34
28-22
23-21
25-30
28-25
31-32
30-25
29-19
29-33
27-25
18-30
28-23
27-31
20-22
25-37
24-25
18-31
23-25
24-26
36-24
31-24
24-21
201.8Avg total
99.1Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)97.898.4196.2-0.752%
Season at home (14)95.296.1191.3-0.950%
Season away (9)101.8102.1203.9-0.356%
Last 10 (10)99.1102.7201.8-3.640%
Last 5 (5)104.0105.8209.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)101.5104.5206.0-3.050%
vs Similar (20)94.397.4191.8-3.135%
vs Weaker (8)97.089.8186.8+7.288%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A27/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
100-98
100
98
+2
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
114-102
114
102
+12
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
118-104
118
104
+14
H03/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
126-118
126
118
+8
A06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
97-86
97
86
+11
A09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
L
111-120
111
120
-9
A11/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
103-106
103
106
-3
A12/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
106-98
106
98
+8
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
118-99
118
99
+19
H17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
16-26
28-14
26-11
21-26
26-30
26-16
27-26
31-29
23-23
28-21
32-29
31-23
20-16
41-31
26-34
42-33
30-31
25-36
29-18
34-24
19-23
20-22
24-17
35-22
25-30
21-38
30-30
22-33
30-28
29-24
22-21
17-30
36-24
26-27
27-17
35-24
31-30
26-25
26-20
209.3Avg total
108.6Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)103.096.7199.7+6.476%
Season at home (11)107.197.1204.2+10.082%
Season away (14)99.996.4196.2+3.571%
Last 10 (10)108.6100.7209.3+7.980%
Last 5 (5)107.0101.8208.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)98.3103.4201.8-5.122%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)102.294.7197.0+7.586%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.6+4.6
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H28/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H29/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A04/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A05/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A07/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H13/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H16/12
NBA
101.5Avg total
49.7Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.249.697.8-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.147.796.8+1.453%-
Last 30 away (13)47.152.099.1-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)49.751.8101.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)52.452.0104.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)50.053.0103.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (20)47.550.698.1-3.140%-
vs Weaker (8)49.546.195.6+3.475%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A27/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H03/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A11/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A12/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H17/12
NBA
107.7Avg total
54.7Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.149.2101.3+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.148.7102.9+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)50.249.699.9+0.662%-
Last 10 (10)54.753.0107.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)56.853.6110.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)50.352.3102.7-2.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)52.847.9100.7+5.071%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Miami Heat wins
3
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/09HToronto Raptors115-95
13/12/09HMemphis Grizzlies90-118
12/12/09HDallas Mavericks93-106
07/12/09ASacramento Kings115-102
05/12/09ALos Angeles Lakers107-108
04/12/09ADenver Nuggets96-114
02/12/09APortland Trail Blazers107-100
29/11/09HBoston Celtics85-92
28/11/09HWashington Wizards84-94
26/11/09AOrlando Magic99-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/09HToronto Raptors118-99
15/12/09HIndiana Pacers106-98
12/12/09APhoenix Suns103-106
11/12/09AUtah Jazz111-120
09/12/09ALos Angeles Clippers97-86
06/12/09AGolden State Warriors126-118
03/12/09HNew York Knicks118-104
29/11/09ANew York Knicks114-102
29/11/09AMilwaukee Bucks100-98
27/11/09AAtlanta Hawks93-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %52%50%56%
Points / game97.895.2101.8
Allowed / game98.496.1102.1
Point differential-0.7-0.9-0.3
Avg total196.2191.3203.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%21%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW76%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayWWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %76%82%71%
Points / game103.0107.199.9
Allowed / game96.797.196.4
Point differential+6.4+10.0+3.5
Avg total199.7204.2196.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%55%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2420483%100.891.2+9.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers2420483%103.795.5+8.2
3 Orlando Magic2519676%103.096.7+6.4
4 Atlanta Hawks2418675%106.097.4+8.6
5 Denver Nuggets2619773%108.3101.2+7.1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers2619773%100.094.4+5.6
7 Dallas Mavericks2619773%101.396.1+5.3
8 Phoenix Suns2517868%108.7105.6+3.2
9 Utah Jazz25151060%101.798.8+2.9
10 Portland Trail Blazers26151158%96.392.3+4.1
11 San Antonio Spurs23131057%101.997.2+4.7
12 Houston Rockets25141156%101.099.6+1.4
13 Miami Heat23121152%97.898.4-0.7
14 Oklahoma City Thunder24121250%96.895.8+1.0
15 Milwaukee Bucks23111248%99.498.7+0.8
16 Sacramento Kings24111346%104.7105.0-0.4
17 Los Angeles Clippers24111346%95.497.6-2.2
18 New Orleans Pelicans24111346%98.4101.7-3.3
19 Detroit Pistons25111444%93.695.2-1.6
20 Charlotte Hornets24101442%90.891.8-1.0
21 Memphis Grizzlies25101540%101.4104.8-3.4
22 Toronto Raptors28111739%103.5108.6-5.1
23 Indiana Pacers2391439%98.2101.8-3.6
24 Chicago Bulls2381535%90.298.9-8.7
25 New York Knicks2481633%103.1106.3-3.2
26 Washington Wizards2371630%98.1101.5-3.4
27 Golden State Warriors2571828%106.3111.3-5.0
28 Philadelphia 76ers2561924%97.2101.6-4.4
29 Minnesota Timberwolves2642215%93.3104.7-11.3
30 Brooklyn Nets262248%89.3100.3-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat33263015104
Orlando Magic1826162686
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