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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 96-108
27-23 26-27 16-30 27-28
Position#26
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#13
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
111-89
111
89
+22
114avg 93
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
139-105
139
105
+34
141avg 93
H29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
114-94
114
94
+20
108avg 93
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
110-113
110
113
-3
110avg 93
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
119-107
119
107
+12
111avg 93
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
104-108
104
108
-4
98avg 93
H06/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
112-109
112
109
+3
104avg 93
H08/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
96-118
96
118
-22
81avg 93
A10/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
107-98
107
98
+9
98avg 93
H11/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
103-117
103
117
-14
88avg 93
A14/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-22
32-28
21-21
22-18
32-23
41-22
30-28
36-32
33-28
24-23
32-28
25-15
22-31
35-27
28-26
25-29
29-30
38-26
30-29
22-22
21-25
30-19
26-29
27-35
19-27
34-28
26-25
33-29
28-31
21-25
20-33
27-29
32-22
26-22
27-29
22-25
22-38
28-28
29-20
24-31
217.3Avg total
111.5Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)111.5105.8217.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)104.4110.0214.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)105.2114.0219.2-8.80%
vs Similar (20)104.9107.2212.1-2.345%
vs Weaker (5)115.0109.0224.0+6.060%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 92
H28/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
86avg 92
A30/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
106-73
106
73
+33
105avg 92
H01/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
87avg 92
A04/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
83avg 92
A06/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
76avg 92
H07/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
81avg 92
H10/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
78avg 92
A12/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
103-91
103
91
+12
90avg 92
H14/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
89-116
89
116
-27
76avg 92
A15/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
22-21
24-16
17-25
27-24
32-26
16-20
22-20
29-18
25-24
29-11
23-20
18-18
23-25
27-20
22-27
19-29
22-19
24-15
21-23
19-23
21-26
28-19
23-27
25-21
19-14
16-27
23-21
18-28
27-27
17-20
29-24
21-20
32-24
29-28
21-19
24-25
23-28
31-33
11-30
188.6Avg total
95.3Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)95.393.3188.6+2.050%
Last 5 (5)93.697.6191.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.0106.5211.5-1.550%
vs Similar (23)99.696.3195.8+3.352%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)111.8105.0216.8+6.880%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H26/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
73-45
73
45
+28
H29/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H06/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H08/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A10/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H11/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A14/04
NBA
110.8Avg total
58.3Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.855.0110.7+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.951.4111.2+8.571%-
Last 30 away (16)52.258.1110.3-5.938%-
Last 10 (10)58.352.5110.8+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)52.253.0105.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)53.458.0111.4-4.640%-
vs Similar (20)54.454.9109.3-0.550%-
vs Weaker (5)63.652.2115.8+11.480%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H28/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A30/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H01/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A04/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A06/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H07/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A12/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H14/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A15/05
NBA
93.9Avg total
47.1Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.148.7100.8+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.648.6103.2+6.067%-
Last 30 away (15)49.748.798.4+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)47.146.893.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.847.293.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.050.0106.0+6.050%-
vs Similar (23)50.348.698.9+1.843%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)58.848.6107.4+10.2100%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers74.4 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.037.2
55.5%
50.2%74.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.5
36.4%
35.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.214.6
72.3%
77.0%14.6
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.830.6
48.7%
50.2%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.36.0
32.8%
35.7%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.416.1
78.9%
77.0%16.1
They take 81.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWLWLWLWWW
Miami Heat
LWLWLLWWWL
#26
League position
#13
+5.7
Net rating
+2.1
111.8
Offensive rating
100.7
106.1
Defensive rating
98.6
55.3%
Effective FG%
48.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
12.6%
Turnover %
13.4%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.4%
3-point %
32.8%
61.5%
Assist %
41.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 100.7Defence106.1 · 98.6Shooting55.3% · 48.8%3-point %36.4% · 32.8%Ball care12.6% · 13.4%Off. rebounds21.4% · 22.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Orlando Magic wins
8
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/16ACharlotte Hornets103-117
11/04/16HMilwaukee Bucks107-98
10/04/16AMiami Heat96-118
08/04/16HMiami Heat112-109
06/04/16HDetroit Pistons104-108
03/04/16HMemphis Grizzlies119-107
02/04/16AMilwaukee Bucks110-113
31/03/16AIndiana Pacers114-94
29/03/16HBrooklyn Nets139-105
26/03/16HChicago Bulls111-89
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/16AToronto Raptors89-116
14/05/16HToronto Raptors103-91
12/05/16AToronto Raptors91-99
10/05/16HToronto Raptors94-87 OT
07/05/16HToronto Raptors91-95
06/05/16AToronto Raptors92-96 OT
04/05/16AToronto Raptors102-96 OT
01/05/16HCharlotte Hornets106-73
30/04/16ACharlotte Hornets97-90
28/04/16HCharlotte Hornets88-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers110100%117.088.0+29.0
2 San Antonio Spurs110100%129.0100.0+29.0
3 Portland Trail Blazers110100%113.0104.0+9.0
4 Utah Jazz1010%104.0113.0-9.0
5 Golden State Warriors1010%100.0129.0-29.0
6 New York Knicks1010%88.0117.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic2726162796
Miami Heat23273028108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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