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Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2008
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 98-107
21-30 27-26 27-24 23-27
Position#14
Record7-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game98.8
Allowed / game94.8
vs
Position#8
Record9-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game90.0
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Miami Heat v Houston Rockets
16 Nov 2026
MIA v HOU
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
MIA115
HOU105
21 Mar 2025
MIA98
HOU102
08 Jan 2024
MIA120
HOU113
10 Feb 2023
MIA97
HOU95
07 Mar 2022
MIA123
HOU106
19 Apr 2021
MIA113
HOU91
03 Nov 2019
MIA129
HOU100
20 Dec 2018
MIA101
HOU99
07 Feb 2018
MIA101
HOU109
17 Jan 2017
MIA109
HOU103
01 Nov 2015
MIA109
HOU89
04 Nov 2014
MIA91
HOU108
16 Mar 2014
MIA113
HOU104
06 Feb 2013
MIA114
HOU108
22 Apr 2012
MIA97
HOU88
27 Mar 2011
MIA125
HOU119
09 Feb 2010
MIA99
HOU66
24 Nov 2008
MIA98
HOU107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
106-83
106
83
+23
H06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
99-83
99
83
+16
A08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
89-100
89
100
-11
A09/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H13/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
97-77
97
77
+20
H15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
L
96-107
96
107
-11
A16/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A19/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
L
95-101
95
101
-6
H20/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
109-100
109
100
+9
H23/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
35-21
16-25
31-20
26-12
24-20
25-24
24-27
23-24
13-23
30-27
23-26
18-20
22-20
21-28
38-26
19-27
28-23
28-23
21-31
27-20
22-16
27-17
21-24
27-29
27-21
24-30
18-27
23-17
20-24
30-26
21-20
23-25
20-22
24-30
28-24
20-31
28-29
31-19
30-21
191.6Avg total
98.0Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)98.894.8193.7+4.054%
Season at home (7)100.790.9191.6+9.971%
Season away (6)96.799.5196.2-2.833%
Last 10 (10)98.093.6191.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)98.294.4192.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.0104.0200.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)99.498.7198.1+0.844%
vs Weaker (3)98.080.3178.3+17.7100%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
99-101 OT
99
101
-2
A07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
82-111
82
111
-29
A10/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
W
94-82
94
82
+12
A13/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H16/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
100-89
100
89
+11
A18/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H20/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
103-91
103
91
+12
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
W
100-95
100
95
+5
A23/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
33-31
20-22
19-16
25-18
24-23
22-25
21-17
28-16
20-34
17-22
17-39
23-22
21-15
30-18
20-27
23-21
20-19
19-15
13-22
26-21
22-15
22-17
21-29
32-30
24-20
25-19
19-20
25-31
21-22
15-19
25-24
17-29
32-21
21-27
33-14
25-17
26-36
22-18
27-24
182.9Avg total
92.2Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)93.190.0183.1+3.164%
Season at home (5)89.485.8175.2+3.660%
Season away (9)95.292.3187.6+2.967%
Last 10 (10)92.290.7182.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)96.090.6186.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0111.0193.0-29.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)94.592.2186.8+2.250%
vs Weaker (5)93.282.2175.4+11.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
Miami HeatHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A09/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H13/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A16/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A19/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H20/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H23/11
NBA
91.0Avg total
46.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)46.544.991.4+1.546%-
Last 30 at home (7)47.943.191.0+4.743%-
Last 30 away (6)44.847.091.8-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.944.191.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.446.894.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.050.097.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)46.247.393.6-1.133%-
vs Weaker (3)47.036.083.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#29
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A10/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A13/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H16/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A18/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H20/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A23/11
NBA
94.7Avg total
48.5Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)48.946.995.9+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (5)46.445.091.4+1.460%-
Last 30 away (9)50.348.098.3+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)48.546.294.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)50.048.498.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.050.098.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)49.848.598.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)47.843.891.6+4.080%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami Heat wins
0
Houston Rockets wins
No previous meetings.
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/08HIndiana Pacers109-100
20/11/08HToronto Raptors95-101
19/11/08AWashington Wizards94-87
16/11/08AToronto Raptors96-107
15/11/08HWashington Wizards97-77
13/11/08HPortland Trail Blazers96-104
11/11/08HBrooklyn Nets99-94
09/11/08ANew Orleans Pelicans89-100
08/11/08ASan Antonio Spurs99-83
06/11/08HPhiladelphia 76ers106-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/08AOrlando Magic100-95
22/11/08AWashington Wizards103-91
20/11/08HDallas Mavericks86-96
18/11/08AOklahoma City Thunder100-89
16/11/08HNew Orleans Pelicans91-82
15/11/08ASan Antonio Spurs75-77
13/11/08APhoenix Suns94-82
10/11/08ALos Angeles Lakers82-111
08/11/08ALos Angeles Clippers92-83
07/11/08APortland Trail Blazers99-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW54%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game98.8100.796.7
Allowed / game94.890.999.5
Point differential+4.0+9.9-2.8
Avg total193.7191.6196.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game93.189.495.2
Allowed / game90.085.892.3
Point differential+3.1+3.6+2.9
Avg total183.1175.2187.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1211192%105.992.7+13.2
2 Boston Celtics1513287%97.289.9+7.3
3 Cleveland Cavaliers1310377%101.293.1+8.2
4 Orlando Magic1410471%99.794.4+5.3
5 Houston Rockets149564%93.190.0+3.1
6 Utah Jazz149564%98.195.3+2.9
7 Denver Nuggets149564%99.597.2+2.3
8 Phoenix Suns149564%100.097.9+2.1
9 Atlanta Hawks138562%98.597.5+1.1
10 Detroit Pistons138562%95.896.6-0.8
11 New Orleans Pelicans127558%96.192.2+3.9
12 Portland Trail Blazers148657%98.496.1+2.3
13 Miami Heat137654%98.894.8+4.0
14 New York Knicks137654%105.2106.6-1.5
15 Philadelphia 76ers147750%95.193.0+2.1
16 San Antonio Spurs126650%92.893.2-0.4
17 Brooklyn Nets126650%99.9103.2-3.2
18 Dallas Mavericks136746%98.096.5+1.5
19 Toronto Raptors136746%98.7100.7-2.0
20 Milwaukee Bucks167944%95.496.5-1.1
21 Chicago Bulls146843%98.3101.4-3.1
22 Indiana Pacers125742%99.797.7+2.0
23 Golden State Warriors135838%103.5104.8-1.2
24 Sacramento Kings1551033%98.9104.9-6.0
25 Charlotte Hornets134931%87.291.4-4.2
26 Memphis Grizzlies134931%92.897.9-5.1
27 Minnesota Timberwolves123925%96.599.0-2.5
28 Los Angeles Clippers1321115%91.0100.7-9.7
29 Washington Wizards111109%94.6103.5-8.8
30 Oklahoma City Thunder141137%89.5101.8-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2127272398
Houston Rockets30262427107
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