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Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 123-106
25-32 37-26 28-20 33-28
Position#4
Record43-22
FormWWLWW
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game104.6
Miami Heat 🏆
USA
vs
Houston Rockets
USA
Position#30
Record16-48
FormLLLLW
Points / game108.6
Allowed / game117.9
USANBA· FTX Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Miami Heat v Houston Rockets
16 Nov 2026
MIA v HOU
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
MIA115
HOU105
21 Mar 2025
MIA98
HOU102
08 Jan 2024
MIA120
HOU113
10 Feb 2023
MIA97
HOU95
07 Mar 2022
MIA123
HOU106
19 Apr 2021
MIA113
HOU91
03 Nov 2019
MIA129
HOU100
20 Dec 2018
MIA101
HOU99
07 Feb 2018
MIA101
HOU109
17 Jan 2017
MIA109
HOU103
01 Nov 2015
MIA109
HOU89
04 Nov 2014
MIA91
HOU108
16 Mar 2014
MIA113
HOU104
06 Feb 2013
MIA114
HOU108
22 Apr 2012
MIA97
HOU88
27 Mar 2011
MIA125
HOU119
09 Feb 2010
MIA99
HOU66
24 Nov 2008
MIA98
HOU107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
112-97
112
97
+15
108avg 103
A11/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
115-111
115
111
+4
112avg 103
H13/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 103
H16/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
111-107 OT
111
107
+4
102avg 103
A18/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
115-100
115
100
+15
106avg 103
A26/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
133-129
133
129
+4
123avg 103
H27/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
112-99
112
99
+13
108avg 103
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
119-120
119
120
-1
112avg 103
A03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
113-107
113
107
+6
110avg 103
A04/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
99-82
99
82
+17
94avg 103
H06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
29-31
27-18
29-24
26-26
38-32
27-18
24-35
28-23
31-28
19-30
21-26
37-30
10-24
17-17
23-16
30-32
35-23
25-30
25-15
28-40
33-18
38-39
34-32
30-21
25-25
36-21
21-32
28-36
38-28
31-29
22-27
23-35
37-32
28-17
25-23
22-14
32-26
19-28
26-14
218.7Avg total
112.8Scored
105.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)109.5104.6214.1+4.966%
Season at home (29)110.3103.8214.2+6.576%
Season away (36)108.8105.2214.0+3.658%
Last 10 (10)112.8105.9218.7+6.980%
Last 5 (5)115.2107.4222.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)109.5108.3217.9+1.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)114.4103.7218.1+10.793%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
120-139
120
139
-19
113avg 99
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
101-135
101
135
-34
86avg 99
A15/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
121-124
121
124
-3
109avg 99
A17/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
111-142
111
142
-31
100avg 99
A18/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
111-119
111
119
-8
94avg 99
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
98-99
98
99
-1
82avg 99
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
100-113
100
113
-13
83avg 99
H02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
127-132 OT
127
132
-5
116avg 99
H03/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
101-116
101
116
-15
95avg 99
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
123-112
123
112
+11
117avg 99
H07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-37
23-36
28-31
28-35
24-36
29-42
25-22
23-35
32-27
35-32
28-30
26-35
27-36
32-35
20-36
32-35
33-27
18-31
32-28
28-33
28-19
22-27
30-28
18-25
27-29
23-20
25-40
25-24
20-25
33-41
30-27
34-24
26-25
20-26
24-36
31-29
27-34
25-28
40-30
31-20
234.4Avg total
111.3Scored
123.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)108.6117.9226.5-9.225%
Season at home (30)110.2117.4227.6-7.230%
Season away (34)107.2118.3225.5-11.121%
Last 10 (10)111.3123.1234.4-11.810%
Last 5 (5)109.8114.4224.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)110.7122.1232.8-11.519%
vs Similar (4)113.2120.5233.8-7.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
Miami HeatHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A11/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H13/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H16/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A18/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A26/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H27/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A03/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A04/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H06/03
NBA
113.5Avg total
58.7Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.253.8112.0+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.551.9110.5+6.685%-
Last 30 away (17)57.955.2113.1+2.859%-
Last 10 (10)58.754.8113.5+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)59.255.0114.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)57.855.1112.9+2.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)58.652.4111.0+6.280%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
53-78
53
78
-25
A15/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A17/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A18/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H03/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H07/03
NBA
115.8Avg total
54.5Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.762.6118.3-6.923%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.164.1119.2-9.125%-
Last 30 away (14)56.460.9117.2-4.521%-
Last 10 (10)54.561.3115.8-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)50.254.8105.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)55.862.7118.5-6.827%-
vs Similar (4)54.862.2117.0-7.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.328.1
54.8%
53.1%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.0
36.5%
35.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws26.520.6
77.7%
77.4%20.6
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.126.1
54.3%
53.1%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.514.2
35.1%
35.3%42.6
🏀 Free throws24.816.5
66.5%
77.4%16.5
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLWWWWLWW
Houston Rockets
WLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#30
+6.9
Net rating
-11.4
113.5
Offensive rating
107.2
106.5
Defensive rating
118.6
54.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.0%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
35.1%
61.1%
Assist %
60.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 107.2Defence106.5 · 118.6Shooting54.8% · 53.5%3-point %36.5% · 35.1%Ball care12.4% · 14.0%Off. rebounds21.3% · 21.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Houston Rockets wins
DateGameScore
01/01/22Houston Rockets v Miami Heat110-120
20/04/21Miami Heat v Houston Rockets113-91
12/02/21Houston Rockets v Miami Heat94-101
28/11/19Houston Rockets v Miami Heat117-108
03/11/19Miami Heat v Houston Rockets129-100
01/03/19Houston Rockets v Miami Heat121-118
21/12/18Miami Heat v Houston Rockets101-99
08/02/18Miami Heat v Houston Rockets101-109
23/01/18Houston Rockets v Miami Heat99-90
16/02/17Houston Rockets v Miami Heat109-117
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/22HPhiladelphia 76ers99-82
04/03/22ABrooklyn Nets113-107
03/03/22AMilwaukee Bucks119-120
01/03/22HChicago Bulls112-99
27/02/22HSan Antonio Spurs133-129
26/02/22ANew York Knicks115-100
18/02/22ACharlotte Hornets111-107 OT
16/02/22HDallas Mavericks99-107
13/02/22HBrooklyn Nets115-111
11/02/22ANew Orleans Pelicans112-97
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/22HMemphis Grizzlies123-112
05/03/22ADenver Nuggets101-116
03/03/22HUtah Jazz127-132 OT
02/03/22HLos Angeles Clippers100-113
28/02/22HLos Angeles Clippers98-99
26/02/22AOrlando Magic111-119
18/02/22ALos Angeles Clippers111-142
17/02/22APhoenix Suns121-124
15/02/22AUtah Jazz101-135
11/02/22HToronto Raptors120-139

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW66%
HomeWLWWW76%
AwayWWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games652936
Win %66%76%58%
Points / game109.5110.3108.8
Allowed / game104.6103.8105.2
Point differential+4.9+6.5+3.6
Avg total214.1214.2214.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%41%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)83% (6)30% (10)
Overtime %6%3%8%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643034
Win %25%30%21%
Points / game108.6110.2107.2
Allowed / game117.9117.4118.3
Point differential-9.2-7.2-11.1
Avg total226.5227.6225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)60% (5)50% (8)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns64511380%113.9106.2+7.7
2 Golden State Warriors64432167%111.0104.6+6.4
3 Memphis Grizzlies66442267%113.9109.2+4.7
4 Miami Heat65432266%109.5104.6+4.9
5 Utah Jazz63402363%113.8107.6+6.2
6 Philadelphia 76ers64402462%108.5106.1+2.4
7 Milwaukee Bucks65402562%114.0110.4+3.7
8 Dallas Mavericks64392561%107.1103.7+3.3
9 Chicago Bulls65392660%112.4111.0+1.4
10 Denver Nuggets64382659%111.0108.0+2.9
11 Boston Celtics66392759%109.6104.1+5.5
12 Cleveland Cavaliers64372758%106.6103.2+3.4
13 Minnesota Timberwolves65362955%114.3112.2+2.0
14 Toronto Raptors64343053%108.2107.3+1.0
15 Los Angeles Clippers66343252%107.0107.5-0.5
16 Charlotte Hornets65323349%114.3114.6-0.3
17 Brooklyn Nets65323349%110.8111.8-1.1
18 Atlanta Hawks64313348%112.5111.8+0.8
19 Washington Wizards63293446%108.1110.7-2.6
20 Los Angeles Lakers63283544%110.6112.7-2.1
21 New Orleans Pelicans64273742%107.7109.1-1.4
22 New York Knicks64263841%105.4107.2-1.8
23 Portland Trail Blazers63253840%107.6113.0-5.4
24 San Antonio Spurs64244038%112.8113.0-0.2
25 Sacramento Kings66244236%110.1115.1-5.0
26 Indiana Pacers66224433%110.1112.6-2.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder64204431%102.1109.3-7.2
28 Detroit Pistons65184728%103.5112.5-8.9
29 Houston Rockets64164825%108.6117.9-9.2
30 Orlando Magic65164925%103.8111.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat25372833123
Houston Rockets32262028106
← all games of the day
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