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Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 129-100
46-14 25-32 28-25 30-29
Position#7
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game115.6
Allowed / game107.4
vs
Position#11
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game125.6
Allowed / game126.6
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Miami Heat v Houston Rockets
16 Nov 2026
MIA v HOU
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
MIA115
HOU105
21 Mar 2025
MIA98
HOU102
08 Jan 2024
MIA120
HOU113
10 Feb 2023
MIA97
HOU95
07 Mar 2022
MIA123
HOU106
19 Apr 2021
MIA113
HOU91
03 Nov 2019
MIA129
HOU100
20 Dec 2018
MIA101
HOU99
07 Feb 2018
MIA101
HOU109
17 Jan 2017
MIA109
HOU103
01 Nov 2015
MIA109
HOU89
04 Nov 2014
MIA91
HOU108
16 Mar 2014
MIA113
HOU104
06 Feb 2013
MIA114
HOU108
22 Apr 2012
MIA97
HOU88
27 Mar 2011
MIA125
HOU119
09 Feb 2010
MIA99
HOU66
24 Nov 2008
MIA98
HOU107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
L
102-112
102
112
-10
90avg 99
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
109-111
109
111
-2
no box
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
100avg 99
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
122-99
122
99
+23
119avg 99
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A11/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
120-101
120
101
+19
112avg 99
H23/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
131-126 OT
131
126
+5
124avg 99
A26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
109-116
109
116
-7
102avg 99
A27/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
112-97
112
97
+15
107avg 99
H29/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
106-97
106
97
+9
101avg 99
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
18-24
32-30
21-29
35-36
34-25
22-29
18-21
26-25
31-25
22-28
24-25
34-20
27-22
30-18
31-39
23-32
24-31
24-29
23-21
24-32
30-28
29-24
37-17
29-33
24-37
29-23
39-28
23-36
34-19
27-22
25-39
29-26
30-23
29-21
24-27
30-26
22-20
33-29
21-22
220.3Avg total
111.4Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)115.6107.4223.0+8.280%
Season at home (2)116.099.0215.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)115.3113.0228.3+2.367%
Last 10 (10)111.4108.9220.3+2.550%
Last 5 (5)115.6107.4223.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)108.9118.3227.2-9.422%
vs Similar ◀ (14)106.699.1205.7+7.671%
vs Weaker (7)112.6107.0219.6+5.671%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
109-115
109
115
-6
100avg 104
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
126-121 OT
126
121
+5
117avg 104
H05/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
112-108
112
108
+4
no box
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
99-104
99
104
-5
88avg 104
A09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
113-118
113
118
-5
100avg 104
H11/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
111-117
111
117
-6
103avg 104
H25/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
126-123
126
123
+3
118avg 104
H27/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
116-112
116
112
+4
101avg 104
H29/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
159-158
159
158
+1
152avg 104
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
116-123
116
123
-7
96avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
29-29
26-24
34-33
25-26
33-23
33-35
21-28
25-28
36-26
32-30
19-24
17-31
26-26
29-15
27-32
28-27
29-30
30-25
26-36
30-23
36-27
21-28
24-39
29-24
32-37
36-39
29-23
22-35
30-27
39-18
25-32
35-34
41-43
35-40
48-41
33-24
26-37
24-34
33-28
238.6Avg total
118.7Scored
119.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)125.6126.6252.2-1.060%
Season at home (3)117.7117.3235.0+0.367%
Season away (2)137.5140.5278.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)118.7119.9238.6-1.250%
Last 5 (5)125.6126.6252.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)102.5112.5215.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)110.6106.0216.6+4.662%
vs Weaker (12)126.0110.9236.9+15.183%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
Miami HeatHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A11/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H23/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A27/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H29/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A31/10
NBA
110.7Avg total
55.8Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.353.8109.1+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.451.9107.3+3.650%-
Last 30 away (14)55.155.9111.1-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)55.854.9110.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)55.056.0111.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)57.357.9115.2-0.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)52.850.8103.6+2.050%-
vs Weaker (7)57.754.4112.1+3.357%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H05/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H11/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H25/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H27/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H29/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A01/11
NBA
116.8Avg total
58.2Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.752.9111.5+5.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.750.6111.3+10.175%-
Last 30 away (14)56.455.4111.8+0.936%-
Last 10 (10)58.258.6116.8-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)62.862.2125.0+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.554.0113.5+5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)55.651.9107.6+3.750%-
vs Weaker (12)62.653.9116.5+8.767%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.728.7
51.5%
52.3%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.812.1
35.8%
35.7%36.3
🏀 Free throws24.317.3
71.2%
77.2%17.3
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 118.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.225.1
55.5%
52.3%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.115.5
34.4%
35.7%46.5
🏀 Free throws27.822.0
79.1%
77.2%22.0
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLWWLWLLL
Houston Rockets
LWWWLLLWWL
#7
League position
#11
+2.0
Net rating
-0.9
103.4
Offensive rating
112.7
101.4
Defensive rating
113.6
52.3%
Effective FG%
53.5%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
13.8%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.8%
3-point %
34.4%
61.5%
Assist %
54.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 112.7Defence101.4 · 113.6Shooting52.3% · 53.5%3-point %35.8% · 34.4%Ball care15.7% · 13.8%Off. rebounds21.8% · 25.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Houston Rockets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/19AAtlanta Hawks106-97
29/10/19HAtlanta Hawks112-97
27/10/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-116
26/10/19AMilwaukee Bucks131-126 OT
23/10/19HMemphis Grizzlies120-101
11/04/19ABrooklyn Nets94-113
09/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers122-99
07/04/19AToronto Raptors109-117 OT
06/04/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-111
03/04/19HBoston Celtics102-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/19ABrooklyn Nets116-123
31/10/19AWashington Wizards159-158
29/10/19HOklahoma City Thunder116-112
27/10/19HNew Orleans Pelicans126-123
25/10/19HMilwaukee Bucks111-117
11/05/19HGolden State Warriors113-118
09/05/19AGolden State Warriors99-104
07/05/19HGolden State Warriors112-108
05/05/19HGolden State Warriors126-121 OT
01/05/19AGolden State Warriors109-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game115.6116.0115.3
Allowed / game107.499.0113.0
Point differential+8.2+17.0+2.3
Avg total223.0215.0228.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game125.6117.7137.5
Allowed / game126.6117.3140.5
Point differential-1.0+0.3-3.0
Avg total252.2235.0278.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philadelphia 76ers550100%115.0106.0+9.0
2 Los Angeles Lakers54180%111.2100.0+11.2
3 Miami Heat54180%115.6107.4+8.2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves54180%118.0112.0+6.0
5 Boston Celtics54180%108.6103.0+5.6
6 San Antonio Spurs54180%116.2111.2+5.0
7 Phoenix Suns64267%115.2106.0+9.2
8 Milwaukee Bucks64267%119.2111.0+8.2
9 Utah Jazz64267%101.094.0+7.0
10 Toronto Raptors64267%113.0106.8+6.2
11 Los Angeles Clippers64267%114.2109.5+4.7
12 Denver Nuggets64267%103.5103.2+0.3
13 Dallas Mavericks53260%113.8112.4+1.4
14 Houston Rockets53260%125.6126.6-1.0
15 Indiana Pacers63350%105.2103.8+1.3
16 Portland Trail Blazers63350%113.8113.3+0.5
17 Charlotte Hornets63350%105.5112.5-7.0
18 Detroit Pistons73443%108.3112.0-3.7
19 Atlanta Hawks52340%103.4104.4-1.0
20 Cleveland Cavaliers52340%103.8107.0-3.2
21 Oklahoma City Thunder62433%104.3101.8+2.5
22 Brooklyn Nets62433%118.7119.5-0.8
23 Orlando Magic62433%93.598.2-4.7
24 Chicago Bulls72529%105.0110.3-5.3
25 Washington Wizards51420%117.2121.4-4.2
26 Memphis Grizzlies51420%106.6119.4-12.8
27 New Orleans Pelicans61517%118.3122.5-4.2
28 New York Knicks61517%100.8108.0-7.2
29 Golden State Warriors61517%109.2120.8-11.7
30 Sacramento Kings61517%99.2113.2-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat46252830129
Houston Rockets14322529100
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