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Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 109-89
30-35 14-28 31-12 34-14
Position#8
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game98.0
vs
Position#19
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game108.5
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Houston Rockets
16 Nov 2026
MIA v HOU
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
MIA115
HOU105
21 Mar 2025
MIA98
HOU102
08 Jan 2024
MIA120
HOU113
10 Feb 2023
MIA97
HOU95
07 Mar 2022
MIA123
HOU106
19 Apr 2021
MIA113
HOU91
03 Nov 2019
MIA129
HOU100
20 Dec 2018
MIA101
HOU99
07 Feb 2018
MIA101
HOU109
17 Jan 2017
MIA109
HOU103
01 Nov 2015
MIA109
HOU89
04 Nov 2014
MIA91
HOU108
16 Mar 2014
MIA113
HOU104
06 Feb 2013
MIA114
HOU108
22 Apr 2012
MIA97
HOU88
27 Mar 2011
MIA125
HOU119
09 Feb 2010
MIA99
HOU66
24 Nov 2008
MIA98
HOU107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
88-114
88
114
-26
no box
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
L
98-99
98
99
-1
no box
A04/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
89-112
89
112
-23
no box
A05/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
105-100
105
100
+5
no box
H07/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
H10/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
104-107
104
107
-3
no box
H11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
H13/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
105-101
105
101
+4
no box
A16/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
104-94
104
94
+10
104avg 88
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
92-102
92
102
-10
84avg 88
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-34
23-27
22-30
16-23
24-29
31-21
26-22
17-27
19-22
28-29
19-26
23-35
28-25
27-30
27-20
23-25
18-20
33-12
8-33
19-24
29-27
29-31
23-21
23-28
33-22
24-17
27-27
16-27
29-23
35-23
11-25
30-30
23-27
31-17
19-16
31-34
23-29
19-18
25-29
25-26
197.4Avg total
96.3Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.098.0196.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)104.094.0198.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)92.0102.0194.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)96.3101.1197.4-4.840%
Last 5 (5)101.099.4200.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)91.099.1190.1-8.118%
vs Similar ◀ (16)100.697.8198.3+2.862%
vs Weaker (3)108.0101.0209.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
124-103
124
103
+21
no box
H13/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
119-107
119
107
+12
no box
A15/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
113-100
113
100
+13
no box
H17/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
106-110
106
110
-4
no box
A20/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
98-99
98
99
-1
no box
A22/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
80-115
80
115
-35
no box
H24/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
128-115
128
115
+13
no box
H26/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
90-104
90
104
-14
no box
A28/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
85-105
85
105
-20
66avg 81
H29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
92-112
92
112
-20
81avg 81
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
36-26
27-28
34-27
25-29
37-35
17-28
40-15
28-21
28-25
29-22
28-32
31-24
24-34
24-26
27-26
28-36
27-19
20-22
23-22
18-30
19-32
24-30
19-23
45-22
24-37
30-25
29-31
22-17
24-35
22-22
22-30
21-27
28-26
14-23
22-29
29-30
15-27
21-24
27-31
210.5Avg total
103.5Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.5108.5197.0-20.00%
Season at home (2)88.5108.5197.0-20.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)103.5107.0210.5-3.540%
Last 5 (5)95.0110.2205.2-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)99.0109.2208.2-10.217%
vs Similar ◀ (21)108.5107.9216.4+0.762%
vs Weaker (3)111.7103.7215.3+8.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
Miami HeatHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A04/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A05/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H07/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H10/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H13/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
64-46
64
46
+18
A16/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/10
NBA
101.6Avg total
53.3Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.749.298.9+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.848.199.8+3.753%-
Last 30 away (13)47.050.697.6-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)53.348.3101.6+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)55.046.8101.8+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)45.148.793.8-3.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)51.548.9100.4+2.656%-
vs Weaker (3)57.052.3109.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H13/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A15/05
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H17/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A20/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A22/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
37-62
37
62
-25
H24/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H26/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A28/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H31/10
NBA
109.0Avg total
53.6Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.754.1108.8+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.752.1106.8+2.669%-
Last 30 away (14)54.656.5111.1-1.921%-
Last 10 (10)53.655.4109.0-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)49.056.6105.6-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.057.2108.2-6.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)55.453.5109.0+1.952%-
vs Weaker (3)56.752.3109.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 98.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.525.5
46.8%
49.0%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.59.0
43.9%
35.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.520.0
93.0%
75.5%20.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.523.5
42.3%
49.0%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.06.5
22.4%
35.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws31.022.0
71.0%
75.5%22.0
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWWLLWLLL
Houston Rockets
LLLWLLLWWW
#8
League position
#19
+0.0
Net rating
-19.9
105.1
Offensive rating
88.2
105.1
Defensive rating
108.2
52.0%
Effective FG%
39.3%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.9%
10.7%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
43.9%
3-point %
22.4%
63.8%
Assist %
60.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 88.2Defence105.1 · 108.2Shooting52.0% · 39.3%3-point %43.9% · 22.4%Ball care13.9% · 15.9%Off. rebounds10.7% · 26.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Houston Rockets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/15ACleveland Cavaliers92-102
28/10/15HCharlotte Hornets104-94
16/04/15APhiladelphia 76ers105-101
13/04/15HOrlando Magic100-93
11/04/15HToronto Raptors104-107
10/04/15HChicago Bulls78-89
07/04/15HCharlotte Hornets105-100
05/04/15AIndiana Pacers89-112
04/04/15ADetroit Pistons98-99
03/04/15ACleveland Cavaliers88-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/15HGolden State Warriors92-112
29/10/15HDenver Nuggets85-105
28/05/15AGolden State Warriors90-104
26/05/15HGolden State Warriors128-115
24/05/15HGolden State Warriors80-115
22/05/15AGolden State Warriors98-99
20/05/15AGolden State Warriors106-110
17/05/15HLos Angeles Clippers113-100
15/05/15ALos Angeles Clippers119-107
13/05/15HLos Angeles Clippers124-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game98.0104.092.0
Allowed / game98.094.0102.0
Point differential+0.0+10.0-10.0
Avg total196.0198.0194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game88.588.5-
Allowed / game108.5108.5-
Point differential-20.0-20.0-
Avg total197.0197.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors330100%119.0102.3+16.7
2 Los Angeles Clippers330100%109.7100.3+9.3
3 Minnesota Timberwolves220100%103.594.5+9.0
4 Toronto Raptors220100%109.5101.0+8.5
5 Detroit Pistons330100%98.791.7+7.0
6 Oklahoma City Thunder220100%125.5121.0+4.5
7 Atlanta Hawks43175%99.298.2+1.0
8 Utah Jazz32167%94.379.7+14.7
9 Cleveland Cavaliers32167%101.088.3+12.7
10 San Antonio Spurs32167%101.091.3+9.7
11 New York Knicks32167%113.3106.3+7.0
12 Chicago Bulls32167%102.097.7+4.3
13 Phoenix Suns32167%102.097.7+4.3
14 Washington Wizards32167%105.3105.7-0.3
15 Memphis Grizzlies32167%96.3100.0-3.7
16 Denver Nuggets21150%91.590.0+1.5
17 Dallas Mavericks21150%99.599.5+0.0
18 Miami Heat21150%98.098.0+0.0
19 Sacramento Kings31233%115.0113.0+2.0
20 Boston Celtics31233%100.7101.0-0.3
21 Portland Trail Blazers31233%98.0101.7-3.7
22 Orlando Magic2020%111.5113.5-2.0
23 Charlotte Hornets3030%93.398.3-5.0
24 Los Angeles Lakers2020%112.5122.0-9.5
25 Indiana Pacers3030%92.7105.0-12.3
26 Milwaukee Bucks2020%105.0120.0-15.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans3030%103.0119.0-16.0
28 Brooklyn Nets3030%88.7106.0-17.3
29 Houston Rockets2020%88.5108.5-20.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers2020%83.0105.5-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat30143134109
Houston Rockets3528121489
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