PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 101-109
24-35 33-26 23-22 21-26
Position#16
Record29-25
FormWLLLL
Points / game100.4
Allowed / game101.3
vs
Position#1
Record39-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game105.9
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Houston Rockets
16 Nov 2026
MIA v HOU
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
MIA115
HOU105
21 Mar 2025
MIA98
HOU102
08 Jan 2024
MIA120
HOU113
10 Feb 2023
MIA97
HOU95
07 Mar 2022
MIA123
HOU106
19 Apr 2021
MIA113
HOU91
03 Nov 2019
MIA129
HOU100
20 Dec 2018
MIA101
HOU99
07 Feb 2018
MIA101
HOU109
17 Jan 2017
MIA109
HOU103
01 Nov 2015
MIA109
HOU89
04 Nov 2014
MIA91
HOU108
16 Mar 2014
MIA113
HOU104
06 Feb 2013
MIA114
HOU108
22 Apr 2012
MIA97
HOU88
27 Mar 2011
MIA125
HOU119
09 Feb 2010
MIA99
HOU66
24 Nov 2008
MIA98
HOU107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
95-101
95
101
-6
84avg 94
A20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
106-105
106
105
+1
103avg 94
A21/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
90-99
90
99
-9
80avg 94
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
88-89
88
89
-1
78avg 94
H26/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
95-91
95
91
+4
91avg 94
H28/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
95-88
95
88
+7
91avg 94
A30/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
79avg 94
A01/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
97-103
97
103
-6
85avg 94
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
107-111
107
111
-4
98avg 94
A04/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
109-111
109
111
-2
98avg 94
H06/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
29-22
16-24
26-34
31-27
26-21
16-35
33-22
33-25
17-21
18-25
22-28
17-19
30-28
25-24
16-18
22-26
32-22
17-30
24-13
22-26
29-20
24-15
20-27
21-27
29-21
22-24
17-19
23-24
18-27
19-35
37-17
26-27
24-27
27-22
30-35
35-26
25-33
27-34
22-18
196.0Avg total
97.1Scored
98.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)100.4101.3201.7-0.854%
Season at home (24)100.5102.0202.6-1.554%
Season away (30)100.4100.7201.0-0.353%
Last 10 (10)97.198.9196.0-1.830%
Last 5 (5)99.4100.8200.2-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)92.397.0189.3-4.733%
vs Similar (20)100.098.3198.2+1.770%
vs Weaker (7)106.1101.6207.7+4.643%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
116-98
116
98
+18
110avg 105
H19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
116-108
116
108
+8
104avg 105
H21/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
99-90
99
90
+9
87avg 105
H23/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
104-97
104
97
+7
92avg 105
A25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
113-115
113
115
-2
103avg 105
A27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
113-102
113
102
+11
104avg 105
H28/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
114-107
114
107
+7
106avg 105
H31/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
102-91
102
91
+11
90avg 105
A02/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
120-88
120
88
+32
117avg 105
A04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
123-113
123
113
+10
114avg 105
A07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
37-33
26-20
27-28
40-28
25-30
27-33
24-17
25-33
21-17
25-18
28-22
38-28
13-17
34-22
19-30
30-29
23-37
27-24
33-25
28-24
32-29
32-24
21-25
27-30
27-25
36-33
24-19
27-14
27-24
28-32
20-21
32-20
33-19
32-30
23-19
38-31
27-32
31-23
27-27
212.9Avg total
112.0Scored
100.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)114.1105.9220.0+8.275%
Season at home (26)116.6108.5225.0+8.177%
Season away (26)111.7103.3215.0+8.473%
Last 10 (10)112.0100.9212.9+11.190%
Last 5 (5)114.4100.2214.6+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)115.5108.0223.5+7.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)114.0108.2222.2+5.769%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
Miami HeatHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A21/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H26/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H28/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A30/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A01/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A04/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H06/02
NBA
100.3Avg total
51.3Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.149.899.9+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.249.8100.0+0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)50.149.899.9+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)51.349.0100.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)50.451.6102.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)47.346.093.3+1.367%-
vs Similar (20)50.649.099.6+1.660%-
vs Weaker (7)50.053.7103.7-3.729%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H19/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H21/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H23/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H28/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H31/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A02/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
65-39
65
39
+26
A04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A07/02
NBA
109.3Avg total
57.6Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.553.4112.0+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.155.5115.7+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)56.951.3108.3+5.667%-
Last 10 (10)57.651.7109.3+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)59.649.6109.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)57.554.0111.5+3.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)58.753.3112.0+5.362%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.428.3
51.1%
51.0%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.1
30.8%
36.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.413.2
68.0%
76.5%13.2
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.6
55.7%
51.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.815.2
38.2%
36.1%45.6
🏀 Free throws25.319.2
75.9%
76.5%19.2
They take 82.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLLWWLLWL
Houston Rockets
WWWWWLWWWW
#16
League position
#1
-1.9
Net rating
+11.5
100.8
Offensive rating
115.6
102.7
Defensive rating
104.2
49.4%
Effective FG%
56.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
14.0%
Turnover %
11.4%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
18.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.8%
3-point %
38.2%
59.6%
Assist %
52.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 115.6Defence102.7 · 104.2Shooting49.4% · 56.4%3-point %30.8% · 38.2%Ball care14.0% · 11.4%Off. rebounds23.8% · 18.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Houston Rockets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/18HOrlando Magic109-111
04/02/18ADetroit Pistons107-111
03/02/18APhiladelphia 76ers97-103
01/02/18ACleveland Cavaliers89-91
30/01/18ADallas Mavericks95-88
28/01/18HCharlotte Hornets95-91
26/01/18HSacramento Kings88-89
23/01/18AHouston Rockets90-99
21/01/18ACharlotte Hornets106-105
20/01/18ABrooklyn Nets95-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/18ABrooklyn Nets123-113
04/02/18ACleveland Cavaliers120-88
02/02/18ASan Antonio Spurs102-91
31/01/18HOrlando Magic114-107
28/01/18HPhoenix Suns113-102
27/01/18ANew Orleans Pelicans113-115
25/01/18ADallas Mavericks104-97
23/01/18HMiami Heat99-90
21/01/18HGolden State Warriors116-108
19/01/18HMinnesota Timberwolves116-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL54%
HomeWWLWL54%
AwayLWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542430
Win %54%54%53%
Points / game100.4100.5100.4
Allowed / game101.3102.0100.7
Point differential-0.8-1.5-0.3
Avg total201.7202.6201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)67% (9)67% (9)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %75%77%73%
Points / game114.1116.6111.7
Allowed / game105.9108.5103.3
Point differential+8.2+8.1+8.4
Avg total220.0225.0215.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%46%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors54411376%115.4108.1+7.3
2 Houston Rockets52391375%114.1105.9+8.2
3 Boston Celtics55391671%103.098.7+4.3
4 Toronto Raptors53371670%111.4103.6+7.8
5 San Antonio Spurs55342162%100.998.0+2.9
6 Minnesota Timberwolves56342261%109.0105.7+3.3
7 Cleveland Cavaliers52302258%109.0109.7-0.7
8 Washington Wizards54312357%107.4105.6+1.8
9 Milwaukee Bucks53302357%104.6104.6+0.1
10 Oklahoma City Thunder55312456%106.6102.8+3.8
11 Indiana Pacers55302555%106.7105.6+1.0
12 Denver Nuggets54292554%107.0105.9+1.1
13 Portland Trail Blazers54292554%104.5103.6+0.9
14 Miami Heat54292554%100.4101.3-0.8
15 New Orleans Pelicans53282553%110.7111.1-0.4
16 Los Angeles Clippers52272552%107.6107.1+0.6
17 Philadelphia 76ers51262551%107.6106.5+1.2
18 Detroit Pistons53272651%103.3103.0+0.4
19 Utah Jazz53252847%103.4102.3+1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets53233043%106.4106.4+0.0
21 New York Knicks55233242%103.8105.5-1.6
22 Los Angeles Lakers53223142%106.7109.7-2.9
23 Memphis Grizzlies53183534%99.2102.6-3.4
24 Chicago Bulls53183534%103.5109.2-5.8
25 Brooklyn Nets56193734%105.1109.1-4.0
26 Phoenix Suns55183733%104.6112.2-7.5
27 Orlando Magic53173632%105.8110.2-4.3
28 Sacramento Kings53173632%98.4106.5-8.1
29 Dallas Mavericks54173731%101.5103.6-2.1
30 Atlanta Hawks54173731%103.8107.8-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat24332321101
Houston Rockets35262226109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.