PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2010
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 98-80
29-19 26-26 29-22 14-13
Position#10
Record21-18
FormLWWLL
Points / game98.8
Allowed / game96.5
vs
Position#13
Record20-18
FormWLLWW
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game97.7
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat
31 Dec 2026
OKC v MIA
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
OKC124
MIA112
12 Feb 2025
OKC115
MIA101
08 Mar 2024
OKC107
MIA100
14 Dec 2022
OKC108
MIA110
15 Nov 2021
OKC90
MIA103
22 Feb 2021
OKC94
MIA108
12 Aug 2020
OKC116
MIA115
17 Jan 2020
OKC108
MIA115
18 Mar 2019
OKC107
MIA116
23 Mar 2018
OKC105
MIA99
07 Nov 2016
OKC97
MIA85
17 Jan 2016
OKC99
MIA74
22 Mar 2015
OKC93
MIA75
20 Feb 2014
OKC81
MIA103
14 Feb 2013
OKC100
MIA110
14 Jun 2012
OKC96
MIA100
12 Jun 2012
OKC105
MIA94
25 Mar 2012
OKC103
MIA87
30 Jan 2011
OKC103
MIA108
16 Jan 2010
OKC98
MIA80
18 Jan 2009
OKC94
MIA104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
105-89
105
89
+16
A29/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
110-98
110
98
+12
A30/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H01/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
A03/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
98-85
98
85
+13
A05/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
92-97
92
97
-5
H07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
108-102
108
102
+6
H10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
106-88
106
88
+18
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
108-109 OT
108
109
-1
H14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
L
98-99
98
99
-1
A16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-27
29-28
23-21
21-13
30-25
23-30
23-21
34-22
22-24
26-22
17-16
22-24
20-23
29-25
24-23
15-17
23-28
24-24
32-14
19-19
23-23
23-25
35-31
11-18
24-21
29-26
34-27
21-28
34-24
29-23
21-15
22-26
18-35
33-28
26-13
22-23
28-19
27-29
16-26
27-25
196.5Avg total
100.9Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)98.896.5195.3+2.354%
Season at home (20)99.395.9195.2+3.455%
Season away (19)98.397.1195.4+1.253%
Last 10 (10)100.995.6196.5+5.360%
Last 5 (5)102.499.0201.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.0108.0202.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)96.899.3196.1-2.535%
vs Weaker (12)105.996.2202.1+9.883%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A31/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
78-108
78
108
-30
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
97-107
97
107
-10
H02/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H05/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
109-105
109
105
+4
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A10/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
L
89-118
89
118
-29
A12/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
115-102
115
102
+13
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
115-106
115
106
+9
A16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
21-23
19-25
32-22
26-26
23-32
13-28
16-22
30-17
16-32
26-24
25-34
30-14
21-20
22-24
19-17
35-30
19-27
24-18
23-26
27-33
32-20
22-23
28-29
20-30
21-26
17-23
26-15
22-24
25-34
24-32
18-28
22-23
30-21
38-32
25-26
27-29
35-24
29-24
24-29
199.8Avg total
97.6Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)97.797.7195.3+0.053%
Season at home (21)96.294.1190.4+2.152%
Season away (17)99.4102.0201.4-2.653%
Last 10 (10)97.6102.2199.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)102.4105.0207.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)101.592.0193.5+9.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)97.1103.2200.3-6.232%
vs Weaker (9)97.792.8190.4+4.967%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
Oklahoma City ThunderMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A29/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A30/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H01/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A03/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A05/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A16/01
NBA
103.5Avg total
52.6Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.151.4102.5-0.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.850.4102.2+1.469%-
Last 30 away (14)50.252.5102.7-2.357%-
Last 10 (10)52.650.9103.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)53.650.6104.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.061.0104.0-18.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)50.151.5101.6-1.571%-
vs Weaker (12)53.250.4103.6+2.858%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#16
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H02/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H05/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H07/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A10/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#7
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A12/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#26
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A16/01
NBA
101.1Avg total
50.1Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.249.799.0-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.547.396.7+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)49.052.2101.2-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)50.151.0101.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)52.252.8105.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.044.095.0+7.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)49.252.1101.3-2.937%-
vs Weaker (9)48.946.094.9+2.967%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
2
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/10ADallas Mavericks98-99
14/01/10HSan Antonio Spurs108-109 OT
12/01/10HNew York Knicks106-88
10/01/10HIndiana Pacers108-102
07/01/10HNew Orleans Pelicans92-97
05/01/10AChicago Bulls98-85
03/01/10AMilwaukee Bucks97-103 OT
01/01/10HUtah Jazz87-86
30/12/09AWashington Wizards110-98
29/12/09ABrooklyn Nets105-89
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/10AHouston Rockets115-106
14/01/10AGolden State Warriors115-102
12/01/10AUtah Jazz89-118
10/01/10ALos Angeles Clippers84-94
09/01/10APhoenix Suns109-105
07/01/10HBoston Celtics106-112 OT
05/01/10HAtlanta Hawks92-75
02/01/10HCharlotte Hornets97-107
01/01/10ASan Antonio Spurs78-108
31/12/09ANew Orleans Pelicans91-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL54%
HomeWLWWL55%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %54%55%53%
Points / game98.899.398.3
Allowed / game96.595.997.1
Point differential+2.3+3.4+1.2
Avg total195.3195.2195.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)25% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %8%10%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeWWLWL52%
AwayWLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382117
Win %53%52%53%
Points / game97.796.299.4
Allowed / game97.794.1102.0
Point differential+0.0+2.1-2.6
Avg total195.3190.4201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers4031978%103.696.5+7.1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers41301173%100.994.3+6.5
3 Boston Celtics38271171%100.593.7+6.8
4 Atlanta Hawks39261367%103.197.5+5.7
5 Dallas Mavericks39261367%100.697.8+2.7
6 Orlando Magic40261465%101.296.5+4.8
7 Denver Nuggets39251464%107.0101.7+5.3
8 San Antonio Spurs38241463%101.595.6+5.9
9 Portland Trail Blazers41251661%97.894.2+3.5
10 Phoenix Suns41241759%109.5107.2+2.2
11 Utah Jazz39221756%100.296.8+3.4
12 Houston Rockets40221855%100.6100.4+0.2
13 Oklahoma City Thunder39211854%98.896.5+2.3
14 New Orleans Pelicans39211854%98.7100.2-1.5
15 Miami Heat38201853%97.797.7+0.0
16 Memphis Grizzlies38201853%104.0104.2-0.2
17 Charlotte Hornets38191950%93.892.7+1.1
18 Toronto Raptors40202050%103.5105.3-1.8
19 Chicago Bulls38182047%94.397.4-3.1
20 Los Angeles Clippers38172145%96.099.2-3.1
21 Milwaukee Bucks37162143%97.798.7-1.1
22 New York Knicks40162440%100.8102.3-1.6
23 Sacramento Kings39152438%102.5105.2-2.8
24 Detroit Pistons39142536%92.297.1-4.8
25 Indiana Pacers40142635%99.3104.0-4.8
26 Philadelphia 76ers39132633%97.9100.9-3.0
27 Washington Wizards39132633%99.2102.9-3.7
28 Golden State Warriors38112729%107.3112.0-4.7
29 Minnesota Timberwolves4183320%96.9106.8-9.9
30 Brooklyn Nets393368%90.1101.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder2926291498
Miami Heat1926221380
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.