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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jan 2009
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 94-104
27-31 23-26 23-27 21-20
Position#27
Record8-34
FormLWLWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Position#14
Record23-22
FormWLWWL
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game96.5
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat
31 Dec 2026
OKC v MIA
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
OKC124
MIA112
12 Feb 2025
OKC115
MIA101
08 Mar 2024
OKC107
MIA100
14 Dec 2022
OKC108
MIA110
15 Nov 2021
OKC90
MIA103
22 Feb 2021
OKC94
MIA108
12 Aug 2020
OKC116
MIA115
17 Jan 2020
OKC108
MIA115
18 Mar 2019
OKC107
MIA116
23 Mar 2018
OKC105
MIA99
07 Nov 2016
OKC97
MIA85
08 Jul 2016
OKC86
MIA72
17 Jan 2016
OKC99
MIA74
22 Mar 2015
OKC93
MIA75
11 Jul 2014
OKC103
MIA98
20 Feb 2014
OKC81
MIA103
14 Feb 2013
OKC100
MIA110
14 Jun 2012
OKC96
MIA100
12 Jun 2012
OKC105
MIA94
25 Mar 2012
OKC103
MIA87
30 Jan 2011
OKC103
MIA108
16 Jan 2010
OKC98
MIA80
14 Oct 2009
OKC96
MIA91
18 Jan 2009
OKC94
MIA104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#11
L
102-110
102
110
-8
H30/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
107-100
107
100
+7
H01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
120-122
120
122
-2
H03/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#20
W
107-99
107
99
+8
H07/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
87-129
87
129
-42
A08/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#6
L
96-98
96
98
-2
H10/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
109-98 OT
109
98
+11
A11/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
A13/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#12
W
114-93
114
93
+21
H15/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H17/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-34
21-26
32-32
15-18
22-28
29-27
27-15
29-30
26-32
38-21
32-36
24-33
35-23
28-27
28-29
16-20
24-42
19-30
23-26
21-31
24-24
16-29
32-24
24-21
31-29
23-22
22-23
18-20
25-25
26-19
14-23
23-21
27-22
23-26
36-23
28-22
21-18
28-28
22-21
18-12
206.1Avg total
103.0Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)95.0102.0197.0-6.919%
Season at home (22)95.599.9195.5-4.427%
Season away (20)94.5104.2198.7-9.710%
Last 10 (10)103.0103.1206.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)101.494.2195.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)96.8102.2198.9-5.417%
vs Similar (12)98.3104.3202.7-6.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
104-95
104
95
+9
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
97-108
97
108
-11
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
119-115 OT
119
115
+4
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
105-108
105
108
-3
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
99-96
99
96
+3
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#6
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
24-15
24-33
30-28
21-24
23-21
21-22
11-19
14-27
24-19
23-17
24-22
15-21
24-18
21-26
24-26
21-27
27-32
24-24
25-25
25-30
33-32
16-20
30-22
21-26
30-24
22-27
32-31
20-21
26-31
27-24
26-20
28-24
27-31
25-18
22-26
21-25
15-20
28-24
22-24
196.0Avg total
97.3Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)96.196.5192.6-0.451%
Season at home (21)96.292.5188.7+3.762%
Season away (24)96.0100.0196.0-4.042%
Last 10 (10)97.398.7196.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)102.2102.2204.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.397.6186.9-8.329%
vs Similar (17)97.097.2194.2-0.259%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)99.899.3199.2+0.567%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
Oklahoma City ThunderMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#11
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H30/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H03/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#20
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H07/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
43-72
43
72
-29
A08/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#6
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H10/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A11/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A13/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H15/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H17/01
NBA
105.2Avg total
52.0Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.451.9100.3-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.250.4100.6-0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)46.353.7100.0-7.421%-
Last 10 (10)52.053.2105.2-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.848.497.2+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)47.552.299.7-4.733%-
vs Similar (12)49.751.6101.2-1.950%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A10/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/01
NBA
95.2Avg total
46.5Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.749.597.2-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.047.392.3-2.331%-
Last 30 away (17)49.751.2100.9-1.541%-
Last 10 (10)46.548.795.2-2.220%-
Last 5 (5)49.252.8102.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.948.194.0-2.329%-
vs Similar (17)47.149.496.5-2.335%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)51.351.5102.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
1
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
07/12/08Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder105-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/09HDetroit Pistons89-79
15/01/09HUtah Jazz114-93
13/01/09ABrooklyn Nets99-103 OT
11/01/09AChicago Bulls109-98 OT
10/01/09HHouston Rockets96-98
08/01/09AMinnesota Timberwolves87-129
07/01/09HNew York Knicks107-99
03/01/09HDenver Nuggets120-122
01/01/09HGolden State Warriors107-100
30/12/08HPhoenix Suns102-110
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/09AHouston Rockets86-93
15/01/09AMilwaukee Bucks102-99
14/01/09AMinnesota Timberwolves99-96
12/01/09ALos Angeles Lakers105-108
10/01/09ASacramento Kings119-115 OT
08/01/09ADenver Nuggets97-108
06/01/09HSan Antonio Spurs84-91
04/01/09HBrooklyn Nets101-96 OT
03/01/09AOrlando Magic76-86
31/12/08HCleveland Cavaliers104-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW19%
HomeLWLWW27%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %19%27%10%
Points / game95.095.594.5
Allowed / game102.099.9104.2
Point differential-6.9-4.4-9.7
Avg total197.0195.5198.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%9%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)17% (6)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL51%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayWLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452124
Win %51%62%42%
Points / game96.196.296.0
Allowed / game96.592.5100.0
Point differential-0.4+3.7-4.0
Avg total192.6188.7196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%24%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (16)80% (5)64% (11)
Overtime %9%10%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Orlando Magic4537882%102.293.6+8.6
2 Boston Celtics48381079%100.391.6+8.6
3 Los Angeles Lakers4334979%106.198.9+7.2
4 Cleveland Cavaliers44341077%99.589.1+10.3
5 New Orleans Pelicans42291369%95.891.4+4.5
6 Denver Nuggets48331569%103.8100.0+3.8
7 Houston Rockets46291763%96.793.5+3.2
8 San Antonio Spurs45281762%96.493.6+2.7
9 Phoenix Suns45271860%103.1101.1+1.9
10 Detroit Pistons44261859%93.092.1+0.9
11 Portland Trail Blazers46271959%97.495.0+2.5
12 Atlanta Hawks46271959%97.896.8+0.9
13 Utah Jazz47272057%101.498.2+3.2
14 Dallas Mavericks47262155%99.998.5+1.4
15 Miami Heat45232251%96.196.5-0.4
16 Philadelphia 76ers45222349%96.495.8+0.7
17 Chicago Bulls48222646%99.1101.7-2.6
18 Brooklyn Nets48222646%98.7102.1-3.5
19 Milwaukee Bucks49212843%97.598.4-0.8
20 New York Knicks44182641%103.2106.2-2.9
21 Indiana Pacers47192840%104.5105.4-0.9
22 Toronto Raptors46172937%97.099.6-2.6
23 Minnesota Timberwolves44162836%97.1100.5-3.4
24 Charlotte Hornets47163134%91.294.4-3.3
25 Golden State Warriors44143032%106.6111.5-4.9
26 Memphis Grizzlies46133328%93.099.1-6.0
27 Los Angeles Clippers45113424%92.999.4-6.5
28 Washington Wizards45103522%92.599.3-6.8
29 Sacramento Kings47103721%98.6107.5-8.9
30 Oklahoma City Thunder4283419%95.0102.0-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder2723232194
Miami Heat31262720104
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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